Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CAE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CAE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAE in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCAE's stock this week reflected competing forces in its defense and civil aviation businesses. The company secured a $300 million U.S. Air Force contract extension for C-130H aircrew training, extending its prime contractor role through December 2035, which drove a 5.13% jump on the announcement. This was set against a Q4 FY2026 earnings call in which management described fiscal 2027 as a "reset year" with flat to declining Civil revenue and mid-single-digit Defence growth, alongside margin pressures from transformation costs. Separately, the stock slipped 3.39% amid investor scrutiny over defense contract margins, civil training utilization pacing, and valuation multiples.
CAE closed at $24.28, down 2.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $25.17 and its 200-day average of $27.33, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $23.55, a gap within typical trading range.
CAE's next earnings report is scheduled for 10 November 2026, 42 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.2% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $29.94, implying 23.3% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
CAE price vs fair value
Close $24.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.55
CAE quick facts
- Market cap
- $7.81B
- P/E ratio
- 39.5
- Forward P/E
- 27.1
- EPS, TTM
- $0.63
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.99B
- Profit margin
- 5.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.02
- Volume
- 707,431 avg 906,251
- 1-year return
- −14.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- 50-day average
- $25.17
- 200-day average
- $27.33
- Next earnings
- Nov 10
- Shares outstanding
- 321.8M
CAE swing-trade checklist
CAE scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $24.28 is below the 50-day ($25.17) and 200-day ($27.33) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59.1, Neutral
Reading 59.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.1% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.1% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 42 days
Next report Nov 10, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
CAE stock chart and price history
CAE closed at $24.28 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $22.76 to $34.24.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.5%
- 3 months
- −3.7%
- 6 months
- −6.1%
- 1 year
- −14.2%
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About CAE
CAE designs and delivers simulation-driven training and support services for aviation, defense and healthcare clients around the world. It has built its reputation chiefly on flight simulators and pilot instruction, serving airline, business jet and helicopter operators along with the maintenance and ground crews who keep aircraft running.
Its work spans three areas. In civil aviation it manufactures flight simulation equipment, trains pilots starting from their earliest lessons, helps place crews in jobs, and builds digital systems for scheduling and managing training operations. In defense and security it equips military personnel for operations spanning several domains and works with equipment manufacturers, government agencies and public safety groups. In healthcare it produces tools such as procedural and imaging simulators, teaching curricula, debriefing software, systems for running simulation centers, and realistic patient mannequins, reaching students, clinicians, hospitals, universities, nursing and medical schools, paramedic teams, military medical staff, professional associations, public health organizations and device makers.
The company is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada, and dates back to 1947, having once carried the name CAE Industries Ltd before becoming CAE Inc in 1993. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker CAE.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Miscellaneous commercial services
- Website
- cae.com
CAE GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
CAE’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, down 1.7 points over five sessions.
59.1Neutral
Down 1.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 38 | +1.6% | +4.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 220 | +0.4% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 383 | 0.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 28 | −0.5% | +0.7% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CAE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAE price, zone by zone.Track CAE in Gekko
Is CAE stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
CAE trades 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $23.55, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what CAE shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$23.55
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
3.1% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAE in Gekko
CAE insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CAE, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CAE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CAE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAE in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CAE.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
CAE earnings: next date and track record
CAE reports on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 10, 2026
42 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.20
- Revenue estimate
- $882.7M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 21, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Management reviewed CAE's fiscal 2026 results and outlined a broad transformation plan and long-term targets through fiscal 2030. Leadership emphasized strong Defense performance offset by a softer Civil market (notably impacted by Middle East developments) and a lighter civil full-flight simulator backlog entering fiscal 2027. The transformation program targets $125M–$150M of annual run-rate structural cost savings by 2030, one-time transformation costs of $200M–$250M (approximately $100M non-cash), network rationalization (reducing footprint ~10%, shuttering 5–6 training centers), and a focus on capital discipline. Management targets mid-single-digit organic revenue growth to FY2030, $950M–$1B of adjusted segment operating income in FY2030, and cumulative 100% cash conversion over the FY2027–2030 period. They signaled potential divestitures (e.g., Flightscape and other non-core aviation service assets representing ~8% of revenue) and emphasized discipline around returns on invested capital, possible future shareholder returns, and a selective approach to M&A (defense technology, scale, geography, domain expansion). Q&A focused on execution cadence, the impact and timing of cost savings, capital allocation priorities, stranded costs from network rationalization, margin targets (Defense ~11% target), and the nature of assets slated for strategic alternatives.
- Guidance
- Long-term fiscal 2030 targets: mid-single-digit organic revenue growth; $950M–$1B adjusted segment operating income (updated definition) in fiscal 2030; cumulative 100% cash conversion over fiscal 2027–2030; $125M–$150M annual run-rate cost savings from the transformation by fiscal 2030. Transformation one-time costs of $200M–$250M (approx. $100M non-cash). Management characterized fiscal 2027 as a 'reset' year (lighter civil backlog, network rationalization, transformation investments). No specific FY2027 numeric revenue/EBITDA guidance was quoted in this transcript.
- Risks flagged
- Near-term headwinds from the Middle East conflict affecting bookings and training demand; execution risk on the transformation program and divestitures (time, regulatory and contractual complexity); stranded costs and customer attrition from network rationalization; uncertainty around government funding previously benefiting results; and the need to maintain investment-grade leverage while funding transformation.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | $0.42 est $0.42 | $953.8M est $924.8M | −13.4% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.31 | $911.8M est $919.0M | −4.2% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $0.23 est $0.20 | $886.6M est $900.0M | +0.8% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.21 est $0.21 | $806.4M est $826.5M | −3.0% |
| May 13, 2025 | $0.47 est $0.46 | $895.6M est $889.5M | −7.1% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.29 | $850.1M est $809.4M | +13.7% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.24 est $0.18 | $837.5M est $798.3M | +11.8% |
| Aug 13, 2024 | $0.21 est $0.20 | $784.4M est $769.0M | +6.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
CAE stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CAE is $29.94, +23.3% from the last close.
$29.94consensus 12-month target, +23.3% from the last close
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
CAE seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, CAE averaged +2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CAE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.
CAE market cap and key statistics
CAE’s market cap is $7.81B, with a P/E ratio of 39.5 and revenue of $4.99B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $7.81B
- P/E ratio
- 39.5
- Forward P/E
- 27.1
- EPS, TTM
- $0.63
- Gekko Fair Value
- $23.55
Trading
- Volume
- 707,431
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 906,251
- 52-week high
- $34.24
- 52-week low
- $22.76
- Shares outstanding
- 321.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.99B
- Profit margin
- 5.8%
- Return on equity
- 5.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −46.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.02
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
CAE stock news this week
Coverage of CAE this week reads positive: 8 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Could CAE (TSX:CAE) Remain Undervalued After New Developments?Kalkine Media, Sep 27
- CAE Seasonals ChartTradingView, Sep 26
- CAE Inc. (CE9.SG) Q4 FY2026 earnings call transcriptYahoo Finance, Sep 24
- Nykredit A S Purchases Shares of 45,286 CAE Inc $CAEMarketBeat, Sep 23
- CAE Stock Jumps 5.13% as Major U.S. Air Force Contract Reinforces Defence and Training Momentumkalkine.ca, Sep 22
- CAE USA Secures $300M Air Force Contract to Continue C-130H Aircrew TrainingGovCon Wire, Sep 22
CAE peers
CAE’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SHOPShopify | Neutral | 5.0% above |
| CTASCintas | Neutral | 11.5% above |
| PYPLPayPal | Accumulation | 4.6% below |
| XYZBlock | Accumulation | 2.5% above |
| CPAYCorpay | Accumulation | 18.1% below |
| FISVFiserv | Buying | 40.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
CAE stock FAQ
What is CAE’s market cap?
CAE’s market cap is $7.81B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $24.28, with 321.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.5.
What is the CAE stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CAE is $29.94, +23.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is CAE stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate CAE is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $24.28 is 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $23.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does CAE report earnings next?
CAE is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $882.7M. CAE beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.6% on average across the report.
What is CAE’s 52-week high and low?
CAE’s 52-week high is $34.24 and its 52-week low is $22.76; it closed at $24.28 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.2% over the past year.
Is CAE stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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