NYSE: MMS

Maximus (MMS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$58.87−0.52 (−0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Maximus this week centers on its Q3 fiscal 2026 results and outlook. Revenue of $1.28 billion met expectations, with adjusted EPS of $2.22 slightly above the prior year, and the company maintained full-year revenue guidance while revising EPS guidance due to a temporary pause in performance incentives on a major VA contract. Separately, the company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.33 per share, payable 30 November to shareholders of record as of 13 November, and scheduled its fiscal fourth-quarter and year-end call.

Shares closed at $58.87, down 0.9%, sitting between the 50-day average of $56.82 and the 200-day average of $66.87, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 51.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -11.6. Price sits 43.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $103.56, a notable gap.

The next earnings date falls on 19 November 2026, before the open, which is 38 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 6 August showed an EPS beat with a -6.3% reaction, and average absolute reactions have run 8.9% across recent quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +0.4% over five years, rising in 2 of them, a mixed historical pattern worth noting.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Maximus price vs fair value

$103.56$58.87Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $58.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.56

Maximus quick facts

Market cap
$3.09B
P/E ratio
8.7
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$6.76
Revenue, TTM
$5.25B
Profit margin
7.1%
Dividend yield
2.26%
Beta
0.59
Volume
714,873 avg 791,467
1-year return
−33.3%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$56.82
200-day average
$66.87
Next earnings
Nov 19 before open
Shares outstanding
52.36M
52-week range
$51.04$100.00

Maximus swing-trade checklist

Maximus scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.87 sits between the 50-day ($56.82) and 200-day ($66.87) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.6, Neutral

    Reading 51.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    43.2% below

    Price is 43.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Nov 19, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Maximus stock chart and price history

Maximus closed at $58.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −33.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.04 to $100.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Maximus share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct58.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.4%
3 months
+2.2%
6 months
−12.6%
1 year
−33.3%
The full MMS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MMS in Gekko

Follow Maximus through every session

Put MMS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track MMS in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Maximus

Maximus provides business process services that help governments run health and human welfare programs. It is best known for operating the administrative and support work behind initiatives such as Medicaid, the Children's Health Insurance Program, the Affordable Care Act, and related benefit and assessment programs, acting as the operational layer between public agencies and the people those programs serve.

The company organizes its work into three segments. U.S. Services supports state and local government programs through eligibility and enrollment processing, multilingual contact centers, independent assessments, appeals handling, and consulting. U.S. Federal Services works with federal agencies, managing citizen engagement centers, case management, medical and benefit appeals, IT modernization, and data analytics. Its international segment, described as operations outside the U.S., serves both government and commercial clients with health and disability evaluations and employment program administration aimed at job seekers.

Maximus was established in 1975 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MMS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
maximus.com

Maximus GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Maximus’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.6, in the Neutral zone, down 11.6 points over five sessions.

010051.6Neutral

Down 11.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying70−0.4%+0.9%+2.4%−1.0%
Accumulation229+1.0%+0.4%−0.5%−0.9%
Neutral (current zone)340−1.0%−1.3%−1.4%−2.9%
Distribution42+0.3%−0.1%−3.1%−4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MMS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MMS price, zone by zone.Track MMS in Gekko

Is Maximus stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Maximus trades 43.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $103.56, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Maximus shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$103.56

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

43.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$104$59Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MMS in Gekko

Maximus insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Maximus, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MMS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MMS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MMS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MMS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MMS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MMS in Gekko

Buybacks

Maximus has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$49.92M
As a share of market cap
1.61%
Trailing four quarters
$346.0M

From company filings.

Maximus earnings: next date and track record

Maximus reports on Nov 19, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.1%Nov ’24−8.0%Feb ’25+12.2%May ’25+8.8%Aug ’25+9.1%Nov ’25−19.9%Feb ’26+0.5%May ’26−6.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Maximus reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $1.28 billion, in line with expectations. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 15.0% from 14.7% YoY, and adjusted EPS grew to $2.22 from $2.16. U.S. Federal Services margin reached 18.6%, while U.S. Services showed sequential margin improvement at 10.8%. Free cash flow was negative $137 million due to elevated DSO of 98 days, though $245 million in collections were received post-quarter.
Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance reiterated despite a VA MDE performance incentive pause impacting Q4 profitability. U.S. Services segment expected to return to positive mid-single-digit organic growth in Q4. Early FY2027 thoughts precede formal November guidance.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$2.22
est $2.21
+0.5%$1.28B
est $1.33B
−3.7%−6.3%
May 7, 2026$2.07
est $1.97
+5.1%$1.31B
est $1.32B
−0.6%+0.5%
Feb 5, 2026$1.85
est $1.84
+0.5%$1.35B
est $1.37B
−2.2%−19.9%
Nov 20, 2025$1.62
est $1.67
−3.0%$1.32B
est $1.34B
−1.7%+9.1%
Aug 7, 2025$2.16
est $1.39
+55.4%$1.35B
est $1.34B
+0.5%+8.8%
May 8, 2025$2.01
est $1.37
+46.7%$1.36B
est $1.29B
+5.5%+12.2%
Feb 6, 2025$1.61
est $1.39
+15.8%$1.40B
est $1.29B
+8.8%−8.0%
Nov 20, 2024$1.46
est $1.49
−2.0%$1.32B
est $1.31B
+0.7%−6.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Maximus stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Maximus is $92.50, +57.1% from the last close.

$92.50consensus 12-month target, +57.1% from the last close
−1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Maximus seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Maximus averaged +0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.9%2021+2.8%2022−0.7%2023+1.5%2024−1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.3%2 of 5

For scale, MMS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

Maximus market cap and key statistics

Maximus’s market cap is $3.09B, with a P/E ratio of 8.7 and revenue of $5.25B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.09B
P/E ratio
8.7
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$6.76
Gekko Fair Value
$103.56

Trading

Volume
714,873
Avg volume, 20 days
791,467
52-week high
$100.00
52-week low
$51.04
Shares outstanding
52.36M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.25B
Profit margin
7.1%
Return on equity
21.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
2.26%

Maximus stock news this week

Coverage of Maximus this week reads positive: 7 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Maximus peers

Maximus’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Maximus stock FAQ

What is Maximus’s market cap?

Maximus’s market cap is $3.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.87, with 52.36M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.7.

What is the Maximus stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Maximus is $92.50, +57.1% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Maximus stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Maximus is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.87 is 43.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $103.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Maximus report earnings next?

Maximus is expected to report on Nov 19, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.88 per share on revenue of $1.30B. Maximus beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.9% on average across the report.

What is Maximus’s 52-week high and low?

Maximus’s 52-week high is $100.00 and its 52-week low is $51.04; it closed at $58.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −33.3% over the past year.

Is Maximus stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Maximus the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.