NYSE: ROL

Rollins (ROL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$30.59+0.56 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Rollins fell to new 52-week lows this week after Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to Neutral from Overweight, cutting its price target to $33 from $46, citing AI-driven search changes, increased competition, and diminished organic growth prospects. BNP Paribas followed by lowering its target to $35 from $44 while maintaining a Neutral rating, and Rollins executives themselves acknowledged that AI-powered search shifts, including Google's AI Overviews, are driving volatile residential lead trends. The narrative around AI potentially disrupting pest control by directing customers to smaller local exterminators has weighed heavily on sentiment, even as other coverage noted the stability of Rollins' recurring contract revenue.

The stock closed at $30.59, up 1.9% on the day, but remains well below both its 50-day average of $36.28 and 200-day average of $50.23, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares sit near the 52-week low of $29.74, far from the 52-week high of $66.14, and one-year returns stand at -45.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 77.4, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price trades 24.4% below the Gekko Fair Value of $40.48.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October, 29 days out, just beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. The last earnings reaction was -10.1% following an EPS miss, with an average absolute reaction of 5.3%, a factor worth noting given the proximity of the next report.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Rollins price vs fair value

$40.48$30.59Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $30.59200-day averageGekko Fair Value $40.48

Rollins quick facts

Market cap
$14.72B
P/E ratio
27.3
Forward P/E
25.9
EPS, TTM
$1.10
Revenue, TTM
$3.92B
Profit margin
13.6%
Dividend yield
2.35%
Beta
0.74
Volume
10.84M avg 6.96M
1-year return
−45.8%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$36.28
200-day average
$50.23
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
481.1M
52-week range
$29.74$66.14

Rollins swing-trade checklist

Rollins scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $30.59 is below the 50-day ($36.28) and 200-day ($50.23) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    77.4, Buying

    Reading 77.4 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    24.4% below

    Price is 24.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    0.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged 0% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Rollins stock chart and price history

Rollins closed at $30.59 on Sep 28, 2026, −45.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $29.74 to $66.14.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Rollins share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep30.59

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.9%
3 months
−27.6%
6 months
−41.7%
1 year
−45.8%
The full ROL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ROL in Gekko

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About Rollins

Rollins provides pest and wildlife control services to households and businesses, working across the United States and in other countries. Its residential work centers on protecting homes from common pests such as rodents and insects, while its commercial offerings are shaped for industries like healthcare, foodservice and logistics. The company is also known for its termite protection, which spans both traditional treatments and baiting systems, along with related add-on services.

Rollins reaches customers partly through its own branches and partly through a network of franchisees, giving it both direct and licensed avenues into local markets. This structure supports a broad customer base that ranges from individual homeowners to larger commercial operators needing ongoing pest management.

Rollins was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ROL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
rollins.com

Rollins GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Rollins’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 77.4, in the Buying zone, down 3.7 points over five sessions.

010077.4Buying

Down 3.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)62−0.3%+0.7%+0.1%−4.9%
Accumulation199−0.1%−0.7%−1.4%−2.4%
Neutral396−0.2%−0.3%−0.1%+0.2%
Distribution14−1.6%−0.2%−2.8%−2.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ROL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ROL price, zone by zone.Track ROL in Gekko

Is Rollins stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Rollins trades 24.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Rollins shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$40.48

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

24.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ROL in Gekko

Rollins insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rollins, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ROL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ROL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ROL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ROL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROL in Gekko

Buybacks

Rollins has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$20.48M
As a share of market cap
0.14%
Trailing four quarters
$244.8M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ROL.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Rollins earnings: next date and track record

Rollins reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.2%Oct ’24+4.0%Feb ’25−0.3%Apr ’25+4.5%Jul ’25+3.1%Oct ’25−9.7%Feb ’26+4.2%Apr ’26−10.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Rollins reported Q2 2026 results that missed management's expectations due primarily to a slowdown in parts of the residential pest control business driven by weaker inbound/digital leads in May and parts of June. Total revenue grew 7.9% and organic growth was 5.7%, with residential up 6.6%, commercial up 8.6%, and termite & ancillary up 10.5%. Gross margin contracted 100 bps to 52.8% due to lower volume, higher medical-related costs and fuel headwinds; SG&A as a percent of revenue increased modestly. Management emphasized that customer retention and pricing were healthy, that the slowdown appeared concentrated in onetime/responsive demand (digital/inbound leads) rather than relationship-driven channels (door-to-door, homebuilder channels), and that specialty brands and commercial and termite/ancillary service lines performed well. The company reported signs of improvement at the end of June into early July. Management reiterated its full-year expectations (including a floor for incremental margins) and outlined actions to restore efficiency (fleet agreements, procurement, medical cost management, retention and operating execution) while continuing investments in people and M&A.
Guidance
- Full-year organic revenue growth: management referenced a full-year 6%+ organic growth expectation (versus earlier targeted 7%-8% for some channels), and emphasized modeling for the full year. - Incremental margin guidance: management reiterated a greater-than-10% incremental EBITDA margin floor for the full year (weighted to fourth quarter, with a tough Q3 comp). - Price/cost: management expects to be positive on price vs. cost for the year (price realization favorable). - Fuel: expected to remain below 2% of sales for 2026. - M&A: expect to continue driving ~2%-3% of revenue from acquisitions over time. - Capital allocation: continued focus on reinvesting in the business and disciplined M&A; modest buybacks to offset dilution.
Risks flagged
- Persistent slowdown in inbound/digital leads and onetime residential demand, which could pressure organic growth if sustained. - Higher medical-related costs and potential future volatility in insurance/claims. - Fuel and fleet cost pressures (though expected <2% of sales for 2026). - Difficult near-term comparables (notably Q3) that could depress results even if recovery occurs. - Weather/pest-pressure variability and possible structural shifts in consumer behavior (including potential LLM/AI effects on DIY behavior or routing of demand). - Execution risk in realizing identified cost savings (procurement, routing, retention).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.32
est $0.34
−5.9%$1.08B
est $1.09B
−1.4%−10.1%
Apr 22, 2026$0.24
est $0.24
0.0%$906.4M
est $895.5M
+1.2%+4.2%
Feb 11, 2026$0.25
est $0.27
−5.7%$912.9M
est $926.8M
−1.5%−9.7%
Oct 29, 2025$0.35
est $0.33
+6.7%$1.03B
est $1.02B
+0.5%+3.1%
Jul 23, 2025$0.30
est $0.30
0.0%$999.5M
est $989.1M
+1.1%+4.5%
Apr 23, 2025$0.22
est $0.22
0.0%$822.5M
est $816.7M
+0.7%−0.3%
Feb 12, 2025$0.23
est $0.23
−0.8%$832.2M
est $817.6M
+1.8%+4.0%
Oct 23, 2024$0.29
est $0.30
−3.3%$916.3M
est $911.2M
+0.6%−6.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Rollins stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rollins is $44.53, +45.6% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$44.53consensus 12-month target, +45.6% from the last close
Low $22High $60
Buy4
Hold7
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 25J.P. MorganHold, maintained$40+30.8%
Sep 24Piper SandlerHold, downgraded$33+7.9%
Aug 26UBSHold, maintained$43+40.6%
Aug 21J.P. MorganHold, maintained$45+47.1%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
0.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Rollins seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Rollins averaged 0.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.7%2021+16.7%2022−3.3%2023−6.6%2024−3.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days0.0%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.4%4 of 5

For scale, ROL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Rollins market cap and key statistics

Rollins’s market cap is $14.72B, with a P/E ratio of 27.3 and revenue of $3.92B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$14.72B
P/E ratio
27.3
Forward P/E
25.9
EPS, TTM
$1.10
Gekko Fair Value
$40.48

Trading

Volume
10.84M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.96M
52-week high
$66.14
52-week low
$29.74
Shares outstanding
481.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.92B
Profit margin
13.6%
Return on equity
37%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+3.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
2.35%

Rollins peers

Rollins’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+4.3%Neutral5.0% above
CTASCintas+0.5%Neutral11.5% above
PYPLPayPal−0.2%Accumulation4.6% below
XYZBlock−2.7%Accumulation2.5% above
CPAYCorpay+0.2%Accumulation18.1% below
FISVFiserv0.0%Buying40.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Rollins stock FAQ

What is Rollins’s market cap?

Rollins’s market cap is $14.72B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.59, with 481.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.3.

What is the Rollins stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rollins is $44.53, +45.6% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Rollins stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Rollins is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.59 is 24.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Rollins report earnings next?

Rollins is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $1.11B. Rollins beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.

What is Rollins’s 52-week high and low?

Rollins’s 52-week high is $66.14 and its 52-week low is $29.74; it closed at $30.59 on Sep 28, 2026, −45.8% over the past year.

Is Rollins stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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