Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for STNE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every STNE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STNE in Gekko
NASDAQ: STNE
StoneCo (STNE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$12.28−0.18 (−1.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeStoneCo's week centers on scheduling and ownership activity rather than operating news. The company confirmed it will report third quarter 2026 results on 12 November 2026, after market close, while a shareholder, Madrone Partners, sold shares at a weighted average price of $11.90. Separately, call option volume jumped sharply, with 9,352 calls purchased on 5 October, a 329% increase over typical volume. The stock itself closed lower, falling more than the broader market on the latest session.
STNE closed at $12.28, down 1.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $10.09 and 200-day average of $12.47, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 40.4, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, having slipped 3.9 points over the past five readings. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $21.2, leaving price 42.1% below that level.
Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns to the 12 November earnings date, which falls 30 days out and beyond a typical holding window; the prior release on 13 August produced a -4.5% reaction on an EPS miss against estimate. Unusual call option activity within the past 30 days stands out, while insider and Congressional activity show no recorded buys or sells in the past 90 days. Seasonality for this stretch has averaged -0.3% over five years, with gains in 2 of those years.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
StoneCo price vs fair value
Close $12.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.20
StoneCo quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.99B
- P/E ratio
- 4.5
- Forward P/E
- 10.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.58
- Revenue, TTM
- $13.59B
- Profit margin
- 24.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Beta
- 1.54
- Volume
- 4.22M avg 6.60M
- 1-year return
- −31.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.7%
- 50-day average
- $10.09
- 200-day average
- $12.47
- Next earnings
- Nov 12 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 216.5M
StoneCo swing-trade checklist
StoneCo scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $12.28 sits between the 50-day ($10.09) and 200-day ($12.47) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
40.4, Distribution
Reading 40.4 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
42.1% below
Price is 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 31 days
Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
StoneCo stock chart and price history
StoneCo closed at $12.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.95 to $19.64.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +21.6%
- 3 months
- +8.7%
- 6 months
- −16.9%
- 1 year
- −31.4%
The full STNE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STNE in Gekko
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About StoneCo
StoneCo supplies technology and software that let merchants in Brazil take payments and run commerce across physical stores, websites, and mobile apps. It has built a name for pairing transaction processing with a wider set of financial tools, so businesses can manage sales and money movement through a single provider rather than stitching together separate systems.
Its product line covers payments, prepayment options, digital banking, and credit. Much of its reach comes through Stone Hubs, company-owned and franchised outlets that deliver support and service on a local level, supplemented by a direct sales force that works with both brick-and-mortar shops and online sellers. The customers it works with range from small and medium-sized businesses to marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and software vendors that integrate its tools into their own offerings.
The company got its start in 2012 and keeps its base in George Town, Cayman Islands. Shares of StoneCo trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker STNE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Miscellaneous commercial services
- Website
- stoneco.com.br
StoneCo GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
StoneCo’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 40.4, in the Distribution zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.
40.4Distribution
Down 3.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 70 | +1.7% | +0.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 250 | +0.6% | −0.7% | ||
| Neutral | 335 | −0.8% | −1.2% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 26 | −0.5% | −1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average STNE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STNE price, zone by zone.Track STNE in Gekko
Is StoneCo stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
StoneCo trades 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what StoneCo shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$21.20
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
42.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.7% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STNE in Gekko
StoneCo insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for StoneCo, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in STNE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for STNE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STNE in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold STNE.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
StoneCo earnings: next date and track record
StoneCo reports on Nov 12, 2026, after the close (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 12, 2026
Expected after the close, 31 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.50
- Revenue estimate
- $719.9M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- StoneCo Q2 2026 reported revenue of BRL 3.6 billion, led by credit portfolio growth, while adjusted gross profit held stable at BRL 1.6 billion year-over-year. TPV growth accelerated to 4%, retail deposits rose 22% YoY, and credit portfolio more than doubled versus prior year. Adjusted EPS grew 9% driven by share buybacks. StoneCo integrated Pagar.me into the Stone platform and launched a 'bank for entrepreneurs' brand repositioning to deepen cross-sell.
- Guidance
- Full year 2026 guidance remains BRL 6.6-7.0 billion adjusted gross profit and BRL 10.8-11.4 adjusted basic EPS, with management targeting the lower end due to persistently higher interest rates. H1 delivered BRL 3.1 billion gross profit and BRL 4.58 EPS; performance weighted toward H2.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | $0.39 est $0.46 | $691.6M est $708.2M | −4.5% |
| May 14, 2026 | $2.19 est $2.22 | $687.7M est $675.1M | −0.8% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $2.84 est $2.65 | $678.4M est $684.3M | −18.3% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.43 | $668.6M est $709.0M | −11.6% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.36 | $605.0M est $694.7M | +7.7% |
| Mar 18, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.32 | $563.1M est $579.2M | +11.7% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $1.94 est $1.77 | $588.1M est $615.8M | −9.3% |
| Aug 14, 2024 | $1.58 est $1.52 | $552.8M est $573.8M | +6.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
StoneCo stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for StoneCo is $15.40, +25.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$15.40consensus 12-month target, +25.4% from the last close
Now $12.28Avg $15.40
Low $9High $15
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | BTIG | $15 | +22.1% |
| Aug 28 | UBS | $13 | +5.9% |
| Aug 28 | UBS | $13 | +5.9% |
| Aug 14 | Morgan Stanley | $9 | −26.7% |
| Aug 13 | Bank of America Securities | $13 | +5.9% |
−1.3%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
StoneCo seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, StoneCo averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −8.7% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, STNE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.7%.
StoneCo market cap and key statistics
StoneCo’s market cap is $2.99B, with a P/E ratio of 4.5 and revenue of $13.59B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.99B
- P/E ratio
- 4.5
- Forward P/E
- 10.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.58
- Gekko Fair Value
- $21.20
Trading
- Volume
- 4.22M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.60M
- 52-week high
- $19.64
- 52-week low
- $8.95
- Shares outstanding
- 216.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $13.59B
- Profit margin
- 24.7%
- Return on equity
- 34%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −16.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.54
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
StoneCo stock news this week
5 headlines about StoneCo from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key InsightsZacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- Form 13D/A StoneCo Ltd. For: 10 October By Investing.comInvesting.com South Africa, Oct 11
- StoneCo Ltd. to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 12th, 2026Newsfile Corp, Oct 8
- A shareholder sold StoneCo (STNE) shares at a weighted average price of $11.90 each.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- Stock Traders Buy High Volume of StoneCo Call Options (NASDAQ:STNE)Defense World, Oct 5
StoneCo peers
StoneCo’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SHOPShopify | Distribution | 25.9% above |
| CTASCintas | Neutral | 14.1% above |
| PYPLPayPal | Neutral | 0.8% below |
| XYZBlock | Neutral | 7.5% above |
| CPAYCorpay | Neutral | 17.5% below |
| FISVFiserv | Accumulation | 39.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
StoneCo stock FAQ
What is StoneCo’s market cap?
StoneCo’s market cap is $2.99B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.28, with 216.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 4.5.
What is the StoneCo stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for StoneCo is $15.40, +25.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is StoneCo stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate StoneCo is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.28 is 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does StoneCo report earnings next?
StoneCo is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, after the market closes (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.50 per share on revenue of $719.9M. StoneCo beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.8% on average across the report.
What is StoneCo’s 52-week high and low?
StoneCo’s 52-week high is $19.64 and its 52-week low is $8.95; it closed at $12.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $40.04 on Oct 21, 2021.
Is StoneCo stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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