NASDAQ: THRM

Gentherm (THRM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$30.92+1.24 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Gentherm confirms it will report third quarter 2026 results on 22 October, setting up the next catalyst after a Q2 2026 beat that saw revenue of $416 million and adjusted EBITDA of $48.8 million, with the Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions segment leading growth and management raising full-year guidance. Separately, shares fell 3.8% on 6 October, with coverage flagging a GF Score of 92/100 even as the stock continued a difficult year.

THRM closed at $30.92, up 4.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $37.91 and 200-day average of $34.50, reflecting a mixed trend. The one-month return stands at -20.4% and the six-month return at 5.1%, against a 52-week range of $27.00 to $48.35. The GekkoIndex reads 71.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price sits 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.93.

Earnings land on 22 October, nine days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold, with the prior report producing an 18.4% reaction and a history of 5 beats in 8 quarters, averaging a 7.5% absolute move. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage shows 4 buy and 1 hold ratings among 5 firms, with a consensus target of $48 implying 55.2% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Gentherm price vs fair value

$39.93$30.92Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $30.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.93

Gentherm quick facts

Market cap
$949.4M
P/E ratio
34.8
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$0.86
Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
1.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.37
Volume
2.07M avg 1.95M
1-year return
−9.6%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$37.91
200-day average
$34.50
Next earnings
Oct 22 before open
Shares outstanding
54.48M
52-week range
$27.00$48.35

Gentherm swing-trade checklist

Gentherm scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $30.92 sits between the 50-day ($37.91) and 200-day ($34.50) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.7, Buying

    Reading 71.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.6% below

    Price is 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 10 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 10 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Gentherm stock chart and price history

Gentherm closed at $30.92 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.00 to $48.35.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Gentherm share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct30.92

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−20.4%
3 months
−13.8%
6 months
+5.1%
1 year
−9.6%
The full THRM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open THRM in Gekko

Follow Gentherm through every session

Put THRM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Gentherm

Gentherm designs, manufactures and sells thermal management technology used mainly in vehicles, with a further line of products for managing patient temperature in medical settings. Among automotive buyers it is known for seat heating and cooling systems that rely on heaters, blowers and thermoelectric devices, along with heated steering wheels and warming elements built into armrests, door panels, cupholders and other cabin surfaces.

The business runs through two segments, Automotive and Medical. Automotive work also covers electronic control units, software and modules that run comfort features, plus components for managing the temperature of 12-volt, 48-volt and high-voltage batteries, such as cell connecting devices and battery cabling. Its customers here include light vehicle manufacturers, major first-tier suppliers like seat makers, and aftermarket distributors and installers. The Medical segment supplies systems used to regulate patients' body temperature.

Gentherm began in 1991 under the name Amerigon Incorporated and took its current name in September 2012. It is headquartered in Northville, Michigan, with products reaching customers in the United States and a number of other countries. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker THRM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
gentherm.com

Gentherm GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Gentherm’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.7, in the Buying zone, down 3.2 points over five sessions.

010071.7Buying

Down 3.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)62−1.6%−2.2%−3.5%−4.6%
Accumulation218−0.3%−1.3%−2.4%−4.8%
Neutral363+0.1%+0.6%+0.8%+1.1%
Distribution33−0.9%−1.9%0.0%+1.9%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average THRM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the THRM price, zone by zone.Track THRM in Gekko

Is Gentherm stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Gentherm trades 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.93, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Gentherm shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.93

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

22.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$40$30Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open THRM in Gekko

Gentherm insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Gentherm, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for THRM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every THRM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open THRM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in THRM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for THRM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open THRM in Gekko

Buybacks

Gentherm has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$400.0M, Jul 23, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.86M
As a share of market cap
0.20%
Trailing four quarters
$3.79M

From company filings.

Gentherm earnings: next date and track record

Gentherm reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (10 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.0%Oct ’24−7.5%Feb ’25−0.3%Apr ’25+7.5%Jul ’25+8.6%Oct ’25+10.4%Feb ’26+5.9%Apr ’26+18.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Gentherm reported a strong Q2 2026 with revenue of $416 million (up 11% YoY; +9.5% ex-FX) and adjusted EBITDA of $48.8 million (11.7% of sales). Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions led growth (+14.1% YoY; +12.7% ex-FX) with broad-based awards and particularly strong lumbar and massage product performance (+38% YoY). Management raised full-year 2026 guidance citing strong commercial execution and operational discipline. Strategic progress includes expansion into home & office (five new customers and visibility to $50–$100 million revenue by 2028), FDA 510(k) clearance for ThermAffyx (medical), and an announced acquisition of IME (purchase price $34 million; $17 million revenue today; ~20% EBITDA) that expands VA channel access. Gentherm is progressing toward closing the Modine Performance Technologies merger, expected early in Q4. Management emphasized operational improvements, cross-selling and synergy opportunities, and confidence in mid-single-digit outperformance of the automotive business over market over time. They noted H2 headwinds from runoff/end-of-program businesses, inflation recovery timing, planned footprint inventory reductions, and a specific warranty accrual tied to a product issue that management expects is not a persistent run-rate item.
Guidance
Management said they are raising full-year 2026 guidance (no new numeric midpoint provided on the call transcript). They expect the Modine Performance Technologies transaction to close early in Q4. Management reaffirmed their 2027 ambitions (previously $1.7 billion or higher) but declined to update the 2027 revenue target on the call.
Risks flagged
Macro and geopolitical uncertainty; inflationary pressures and timing of inflation recovery; planned footprint-related inventory reductions impacting near-term margins; warranty accruals and past product robustness issues (specific product-related claims); runoff/end-of-program businesses that will reduce H2 organic growth; merger/closing execution risk for Modine transaction; clinical/commercial ramp risks for ThermAffyx and IME integration risks.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$0.75
est $0.59
+27.1%$416.2M
est $382.9M
+8.7%+18.4%
Apr 23, 2026$0.84
est $0.51
+64.7%$393.7M
est $362.2M
+8.7%+5.9%
Feb 19, 2026$0.49
est $0.57
−14.0%$382.8M
est $371.9M
+2.9%+10.4%
Oct 23, 2025$0.73
est $0.66
+11.5%$382.9M
est $374.7M
+2.2%+8.6%
Jul 24, 2025$0.54
est $0.58
−6.9%$375.1M
est $372.9M
+0.6%+7.5%
Apr 24, 2025$0.51
est $0.47
+8.5%$353.9M
est $364.3M
−2.9%−0.3%
Feb 19, 2025$0.29
est $0.68
−57.4%$352.9M
est $364.1M
−3.1%−7.5%
Oct 30, 2024$0.75
est $0.66
+13.6%$371.5M
est $358.5M
+3.6%+1.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Gentherm stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Gentherm is $48.00, +55.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$48.00consensus 12-month target, +55.2% from the last close
Low $40High $59
Buy4
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 2J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$48+55.2%
Oct 1Craig-HallumBuy, maintained$50+61.7%
Sep 21Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$59+90.8%
Sep 15J.P. MorganBuy, upgraded$48+55.2%
Jul 29Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$50+61.7%
−3.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Gentherm seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Gentherm averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.4%2021+23.3%2022−15.7%2023+4.8%2024+8.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.2%3 of 5

For scale, THRM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

Gentherm market cap and key statistics

Gentherm’s market cap is $949.4M, with a P/E ratio of 34.8 and revenue of $1.58B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$949.4M
P/E ratio
34.8
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$0.86
Gekko Fair Value
$39.93

Trading

Volume
2.07M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.95M
52-week high
$48.35
52-week low
$27.00
Shares outstanding
54.48M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
1.7%
Return on equity
3.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+798.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Gentherm stock news this week

2 headlines about Gentherm from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Gentherm peers

Gentherm’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.5%Accumulation6.7% above
CMICummins+0.9%Accumulation0.9% above
ITTITT+0.6%Neutral8.1% above
MGAMagna International−0.6%Accumulation10.1% above
DCIDonaldson−0.3%Accumulation2.5% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.8%Accumulation1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Gentherm stock FAQ

What is Gentherm’s market cap?

Gentherm’s market cap is $949.4M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $30.92, with 54.48M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 34.8.

What is the Gentherm stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Gentherm is $48.00, +55.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Gentherm stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Gentherm is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $30.92 is 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Gentherm report earnings next?

Gentherm is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (10 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.65 per share on revenue of $404.0M. Gentherm beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.

What is Gentherm’s 52-week high and low?

Gentherm’s 52-week high is $48.35 and its 52-week low is $27.00; it closed at $30.92 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $99.00 on Jan 14, 2022.

Is Gentherm stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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