NYSE: PHIN

PHINIA (PHIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$56.43−1.40 (−2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention centres on analyst positioning rather than company news. UBS maintained its Neutral/Hold rating on PHIN while lowering its price target from $80.00 to $68.00, citing a cautious outlook. This followed broader coverage noting a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from eight firms, with an average price target cited at $90.33 in one report. The data separately shows 3 firms covering the stock, with 2 buy and 1 hold rating and a consensus target of $91.60.

PHIN closed at $56.43, down 2.4% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $66.84 and 200-day average of $71.91, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Shares are down 14.8% over one month and 27.9% over three months, though still up 7.2% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 67.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 25.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $75.68.

PHINIA's next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, before the open, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report, for Q2 2026, saw adjusted EPS of $1.53 against an estimate of $1.57, with a last reaction of -10.4% and an average absolute reaction of 5.5% across prior quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window, though one trailblazer holder is noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4% over 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

PHINIA price vs fair value

$75.68$56.43Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $56.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $75.68

PHINIA quick facts

Market cap
$2.07B
P/E ratio
16.8
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$3.48
Revenue, TTM
$3.62B
Profit margin
3.7%
Dividend yield
1.95%
Beta
1.13
Volume
310,871 avg 461,898
1-year return
+7.2%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$66.84
200-day average
$71.91
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
36.64M
52-week range
$50.80$86.94

PHINIA swing-trade checklist

PHINIA scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $56.43 is below the 50-day ($66.84) and 200-day ($71.91) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.1, Accumulation

    Reading 67.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.4% below

    Price is 25.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

PHINIA stock chart and price history

PHINIA closed at $56.43 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $50.80 to $86.94.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
PHINIA share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct56.43

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.8%
3 months
−27.9%
6 months
−22.8%
1 year
+7.2%
The full PHIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PHIN in Gekko

Follow PHINIA through every session

Put PHIN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About PHINIA

PHINIA designs and builds fuel injection parts and systems for engines that run on gasoline or diesel. Alongside this manufacturing work, the company is known for its wide range of components covering fuel delivery, electronics and engine management, starting and charging parts, and tools for maintenance, diagnostics and vehicle testing.

The company supplies both new and remanufactured parts, serving two main groups of customers: independent repair and parts businesses in the aftermarket, and authorized service providers working on behalf of original equipment manufacturers. This dual focus allows PHINIA to supply components and services across different stages of a vehicle's life, from original equipment support to later repairs and upkeep.

PHINIA was established in 2023 and is headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PHIN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
phinia.com

PHINIA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

PHINIA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions.

010067.1Accumulation

Up 2.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+1.4%+4.2%+5.2%+13.6%
Accumulation (current zone)174+0.2%+0.6%+1.6%+8.6%
Neutral406+0.8%+1.1%+2.2%+6.0%
Distribution66+0.6%+3.1%+6.2%+5.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average PHIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PHIN price, zone by zone.Track PHIN in Gekko

Is PHINIA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

PHINIA trades 25.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $75.68, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what PHINIA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$75.68

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

25.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$76$58Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PHIN in Gekko

PHINIA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PHINIA, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PHIN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PHIN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PHIN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PHIN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PHIN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PHIN in Gekko

Buybacks

PHINIA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$54.00M
As a share of market cap
2.61%
Trailing four quarters
$177.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PHIN.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

PHINIA earnings: next date and track record

PHINIA reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.1%Oct ’24+5.5%Feb ’25−7.3%Apr ’25+7.0%Jul ’25−5.3%Oct ’25−2.6%Feb ’26+2.6%Apr ’26−10.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PHINIA reported Q2 2026 net sales of $940 million, up 5.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $130 million (13.8% margin). Adjusted EPS rose 20.5% to $1.53. Fuel Systems sales grew 5% to $584 million (11% margin) and Aftermarket grew 6.6% to $356 million (17.1% margin). The company announced acquisition of stoba Group (~$80M revenue, ~$25M EBITDA) and returned $53 million to shareholders via buybacks and dividends.
Guidance
PHINIA refined full-year 2026 guidance following Q2 results. The stoba Group acquisition, expected to close Q4 2026, adds ~$80M run-rate revenue and ~$25M accretive EBITDA. Management expressed confidence in sustained operational and financial performance supporting ongoing capital returns.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.53
est $1.57
−2.5%$940.0M
est $918.8M
+2.3%−10.4%
Apr 30, 2026$1.29
est $1.13
+14.2%$878.0M
est $838.7M
+4.7%+2.6%
Feb 12, 2026$1.18
est $1.35
−12.6%$889.0M
est $838.2M
+6.1%−2.6%
Oct 28, 2025$1.59
est $1.17
+35.9%$908.0M
est $843.6M
+7.6%−5.3%
Jul 24, 2025$1.27
est $0.99
+28.3%$890.0M
est $861.6M
+3.3%+7.0%
Apr 25, 2025$0.94
est $1.04
−9.6%$796.0M
est $845.1M
−5.8%−7.3%
Feb 13, 2025$0.71
est $0.80
−11.3%$833.0M
est $843.6M
−1.3%+5.5%
Oct 31, 2024$1.17
est $0.79
+48.1%$839.0M
est $818.2M
+2.5%+3.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

PHINIA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PHINIA is $91.60, +62.3% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$91.60consensus 12-month target, +62.3% from the last close
Low $68High $105
Buy2
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7UBSHold, maintained$68+20.5%
Jul 31KeyBancBuy, maintained$105+86.1%
Jul 31UBSHold, maintained$80+41.8%
Jul 30Northland SecuritiesBuy, maintained$96+70.1%
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

PHINIA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, PHINIA averaged +4.0% across the last 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.4%2023+13.7%2024+3.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%3 of 3
Next 10 trading days+1.1%2 of 3
Next 15 trading days−2.1%1 of 3
Next 20 trading days+4.0%2 of 3
Next 30 trading days+4.8%2 of 3

For scale, PHIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

PHINIA market cap and key statistics

PHINIA’s market cap is $2.07B, with a P/E ratio of 16.8 and revenue of $3.62B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.07B
P/E ratio
16.8
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$3.48
Gekko Fair Value
$75.68

Trading

Volume
310,871
Avg volume, 20 days
461,898
52-week high
$86.94
52-week low
$50.80
Shares outstanding
36.64M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.62B
Profit margin
3.7%
Return on equity
8.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−7.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
Dividend yield
1.95%

PHINIA stock news this week

3 headlines about PHINIA from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

PHINIA peers

PHINIA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.5%Accumulation6.7% above
CMICummins+0.9%Accumulation0.9% above
ITTITT+0.6%Neutral8.1% above
MGAMagna International−0.6%Accumulation10.1% above
DCIDonaldson−0.3%Accumulation2.5% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.8%Accumulation1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

PHINIA stock FAQ

What is PHINIA’s market cap?

PHINIA’s market cap is $2.07B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $56.43, with 36.64M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.8.

What is the PHINIA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PHINIA is $91.60, +62.3% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is PHINIA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate PHINIA is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $56.43 is 25.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $75.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does PHINIA report earnings next?

PHINIA is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.68 per share on revenue of $930.2M. PHINIA beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.5% on average across the report.

What is PHINIA’s 52-week high and low?

PHINIA’s 52-week high is $86.94 and its 52-week low is $50.80; it closed at $56.43 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.2% over the past year.

Is PHINIA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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