Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CMI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CMI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CMI in Gekko
NYSE: CMI
Cummins (CMI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$471.84−28.85 (−5.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeCummins heads into its third-quarter 2026 earnings report, due November 5, with attention on whether strong demand converts into improved execution after the prior quarter's revenue beat was offset by an EPS and EBITDA shortfall. Analysts are looking for 19.7% year-on-year revenue growth and a 50% EPS improvement, with coverage pointing to data center demand and an improved North American truck market as factors, alongside elevated capital expenditures. Separate commentary also notes Cummins' role supplying engines to the KGHM Polska Miedź mine in Poland.
CMI closed at $471.84, down 5.8% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $531.76 and 200-day average of $601.83, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 11.9%, and over three and six months it is down 26.7% and 34.1% respectively, though it remains up 7.8% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 70, placing CMI in the Buying zone, and the price sits 7% below Gekko Fair Value of $507.21.
Earnings arrive zero days away, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last reaction at 0.2% against an average absolute move of 5.4%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +6.3% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Analyst consensus stands at 9 buy and 1 hold ratings among 10 firms, with a consensus target of $708.66.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Cummins price vs fair value
Close $471.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $507.21
Cummins quick facts
- Market cap
- $64.96B
- P/E ratio
- 25.6
- Forward P/E
- 14.6
- EPS, TTM
- $19.57
- Revenue, TTM
- $34.71B
- Profit margin
- 7.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.60%
- Beta
- 1.24
- Volume
- 2.94M avg 1.25M
- 1-year return
- +7.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- 50-day average
- $531.76
- 200-day average
- $601.83
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 137.7M
Cummins swing-trade checklist
Cummins scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $471.84 is below the 50-day ($531.76) and 200-day ($601.83) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70, Buying
Reading 70 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.0% below
Price is 7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports today
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, today — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Cummins stock chart and price history
Cummins closed at $471.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +7.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $426.79 to $737.76.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.9%
- 3 months
- −26.7%
- 6 months
- −34.1%
- 1 year
- +7.8%
The full CMI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CMI in Gekko
Follow Cummins through every session
Put CMI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track CMI in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Cummins
Cummins designs, builds, distributes and services engines that run on diesel and natural gas, along with electric and hybrid powertrains and related parts. These engines go into trucks, buses, RVs, construction and mining machinery, boats, trains, farm equipment, oil and gas operations and defense applications. The company is also known for power generation equipment, including standby and primary generators built with alternator brands such as Stamford and AVK.
The business is organized into five segments covering engines, distribution, components, power systems and newer power technologies. Beyond manufacturing, Cummins supplies new and remanufactured parts, repair and maintenance work, filtration and emission control products, turbochargers, fuel systems, automated transmissions, and electronic controls and sensors. It is also working in battery technology, fuel cells and hydrogen production. Its customers include original equipment manufacturers as well as a wide network of distributors and dealers worldwide.
Cummins traces back to 1919 as the Cummins Engine Company and took its present name in 2001. It is headquartered in Columbus, Indiana, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CMI.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Auto parts: OEM
- Website
- cummins.com
Cummins GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Cummins’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70, in the Buying zone, up 11.4 points over five sessions.
70Buying
Up 11.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 14 | +1.5% | −0.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 185 | −0.1% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral | 443 | +0.9% | +3.1% | ||
| Distribution | 54 | +0.8% | +5.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CMI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CMI price, zone by zone.Track CMI in Gekko
Is Cummins stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Cummins trades 7.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $507.21, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Cummins shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$507.21
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
7.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.5% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CMI in Gekko
Cummins insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cummins, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CMI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CMI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CMI in Gekko
Buybacks
Cummins has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $225.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.35%
From company filings.
Cummins earnings: next date and track record
Cummins reports on Nov 5, 2026 (today), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Today
- EPS estimate
- $8.21
- Revenue estimate
- $9.87B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Cummins reported strong second quarter 2026 results, including record quarterly sales of $9.5 billion (up 9% year-over-year) and EBITDA of $1.7 billion. Management highlighted major commercial wins and strategic initiatives: raised 2030 financial targets at Analyst Day, expanded data center and power generation presence with a multiyear hyperscaler agreement and a project with Circe Energy, and announced capacity expansions and development of a 130-liter natural gas genset. The Board approved a 10% increase in the quarterly cash dividend. Management raised the full-year forecast and expects stronger second-half performance, driven by robust demand in power generation (notably in China and for data centers), improving parts demand, and continued growth in North America. They discussed the EPA 2027 proposed rule and a phased/staggered transition that management believes will smooth the new-platform ramp and reduce abrupt demand shifts. Margin drivers include higher volumes, JV earnings, positive pricing, and continued pricing for new product value, offset partially by tariffs, incentive compensation, and elevated warranty/R&D during new-product launches. Management acknowledged capacity constraints in large gensets and some near-term distortions from incentive compensation that will normalize in H2. They expect warranty accruals to tick up with new platform launches but to normalize over time. The tone was confident and constructive, with candid discussion of risks and operational challenges.
- Guidance
- Raised full-year forecast (compared to prior three-month outlook). Management expects stronger EBITDA percent in H2 (Q3 and Q4) and margin expansion versus H1. Board increased quarterly cash dividend by 10%. Power Systems growth target range increased (discussed as 15%-25% upside expectation historically referenced). Incentive compensation will likely reset next year (Mark indicated next-year incentive comp could be in the order of ~$200 million) and Q3/Q4 incentive expense expected to be about $25M/quarter lower than Q2. Management declined to give specific 2027 numeric guidance but characterized 2027 demand as likely moderated vs. 2026 but smoother due to phased implementation of EPA rule.
- Risks flagged
- Regulatory uncertainty related to EPA 2027 rulemaking and details of nonconforming penalties/credit mechanics; capacity constraints in large gensets (could limit near-term revenue capture); elevated warranty accruals and R&D/product coverage costs during platform transitions; supply chain and ramp risks as production scales; potential margin pressure if pricing or credit dynamics change; tariffs (noted as immaterial to Q2 but a factor); possible customer prebuy dynamics adding volatility.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $6.94 est $7.33 | $9.46B est $9.33B | +0.2% |
| May 5, 2026 | $4.71 est $5.55 | $8.40B est $8.37B | +9.0% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $4.27 est $5.02 | $8.54B est $8.11B | −4.6% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $5.03 est $4.84 | $8.32B est $7.99B | +7.8% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $6.43 est $5.23 | $8.64B est $8.43B | +5.6% |
| May 5, 2025 | $5.96 est $4.91 | $8.17B est $8.18B | −0.5% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $4.54 est $4.69 | $8.45B est $8.07B | +6.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $5.86 est $4.81 | $8.46B est $8.29B | +9.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Cummins stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cummins is $708.66, +50.2% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$708.66consensus 12-month target, +50.2% from the last close
Now $471.84Avg $708.66
Low $557High $781
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Bernstein | $557 | +18.0% |
| Oct 26 | Wells Fargo | $608 | +28.9% |
| Oct 26 | Bernstein | $557 | +18.0% |
| Oct 19 | Bernstein | $557 | +18.0% |
| Oct 16 | Barclays | $675 | +43.1% |
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+6.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Cummins seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Cummins averaged +6.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CMI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.
Cummins market cap and key statistics
Cummins’s market cap is $64.96B, with a P/E ratio of 25.6 and revenue of $34.71B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $64.96B
- P/E ratio
- 25.6
- Forward P/E
- 14.6
- EPS, TTM
- $19.57
- Gekko Fair Value
- $507.21
Trading
- Volume
- 2.94M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.25M
- 52-week high
- $737.76
- 52-week low
- $426.79
- Shares outstanding
- 137.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $34.71B
- Profit margin
- 7.8%
- Return on equity
- 21.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +4.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.24
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.60%
Cummins stock news this week
Coverage of Cummins this week reads positive: 12 positive, 10 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Cummins Earnings Ahead: What Past Reactions Say About The StockTrefis, Nov 4
- Cummins stock heads into November 5 earnings with growth testad-hoc-news.de, Nov 4
- Cummins (CMI) Stock Price, Chart & Analysiswww.debelegger.nl, Nov 4
- 46,316 Shares in Cummins Inc. $CMI Acquired by Associated Banc CorpMarketBeat, Nov 4
- Cummins Inc (CUM.DU) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance UK, Nov 4
- Cummins (CMI) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expectTradingView, Nov 4
Cummins peers
Cummins’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ITWIllinois Tool Works | Distribution | 17.7% above |
| ITTITT | Neutral | 7.5% above |
| MGAMagna International | Neutral | 13.7% above |
| ALSNAllison Transmission | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| DCIDonaldson | Accumulation | 0.3% below |
| ALVAutoliv | Neutral | 1.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Cummins stock FAQ
What is Cummins’s market cap?
Cummins’s market cap is $64.96B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $471.84, with 137.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.6.
What is the Cummins stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cummins is $708.66, +50.2% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Cummins stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Cummins is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $471.84 is 7.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $507.21. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Cummins report earnings next?
Cummins is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (today). Analysts expect earnings of $8.21 per share on revenue of $9.87B. Cummins beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.
What is Cummins’s 52-week high and low?
Cummins’s 52-week high is $737.76 and its 52-week low is $426.79; it closed at $471.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +7.8% over the past year.
Is Cummins stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Cummins the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.