NYSE: ALV

Autoliv (ALV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$114.03−3.49 (−3.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week brings a mix of analyst actions on Autoliv. Freedom Capital Markets initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $139 target price, and Freedom Broker separately initiated coverage with a buy rating, also at a $139 price target, citing an anticipated 2027 recovery tied to improved gross margins and savings from Turkey operations despite a weaker 2026 outlook from restructuring charges. Wolfe Research moved the other direction, downgrading the stock from Outperform to Peer Perform. Separately, Autoliv detailed a Circular Shell Driver Unit developed with Jaguar Land Rover for its Cornerstone concept vehicle, and the company confirmed its Q3 2026 earnings call date.

Shares closed at $114.03, down 3% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $120.55 and the 200-day average of $119.18. The one-month return stands at -7.2% and the one-year return at -7.4%, while the six-month return is 11.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76.

Autoliv's next earnings report is scheduled for 23 October 2026, before the open, 24 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 17 July showed an EPS beat with a -6.2% reaction, and the average absolute reaction across recent quarters is 5.2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.2% return over 5 years, though gains occurred in only 2 of those years. Consensus among 9 firms stands at 5 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $134.81.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Autoliv price vs fair value

$129.76$114.03Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $114.03200-day averageGekko Fair Value $129.76

Autoliv quick facts

Market cap
$8.35B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
10
EPS, TTM
$8.55
Revenue, TTM
$11.08B
Profit margin
5.8%
Dividend yield
2.94%
Beta
1.37
Volume
823,412 avg 695,444
1-year return
−7.4%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$120.55
200-day average
$119.18
Next earnings
Oct 23 before open
Shares outstanding
73.24M
52-week range
$99.16$132.17

Autoliv swing-trade checklist

Autoliv scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $114.03 sits between the 50-day ($120.55) and 200-day ($119.18) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.3, Accumulation

    Reading 64.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.1% below

    Price is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Oct 23, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Autoliv stock chart and price history

Autoliv closed at $114.03 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $99.16 to $132.17.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Autoliv share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$110$120$130NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep114.03

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−2.1%
6 months
+11.2%
1 year
−7.4%
The full ALV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALV in Gekko

Follow Autoliv through every session

Put ALV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track ALV in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Autoliv

Autoliv designs, manufactures and supplies passive safety equipment for vehicles, work carried out through a network of subsidiaries around the world. Its product line covers frontal and side-impact airbag components and modules, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator systems and battery cut-off switches, along with anti-whiplash and pedestrian protection technology. The company is also involved in connected safety services and solutions aimed at riders of powered two-wheelers.

Its customers are car manufacturers, and it sells into markets across Europe, the Americas, China, Japan and other parts of Asia, reflecting a footprint that follows global vehicle production.

Autoliv traces its founding to 1953 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ALV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
autoliv.com

Autoliv GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Autoliv’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions.

010064.3Accumulation

Up 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40−0.3%+0.3%+3.5%+7.6%
Accumulation (current zone)199+0.5%+1.0%+1.1%+3.9%
Neutral407+0.1%−0.1%0.0%−0.9%
Distribution25+0.2%+1.0%+2.7%+1.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ALV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALV price, zone by zone.Track ALV in Gekko

Is Autoliv stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Autoliv trades 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Autoliv shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$129.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 24, 2026

12.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALV in Gekko

Autoliv insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Autoliv, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALV in Gekko

Buybacks

Autoliv has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$200.0M
As a share of market cap
2.39%

From company filings.

Autoliv earnings: next date and track record

Autoliv reports on Oct 23, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.1%Oct ’24−7.3%Jan ’25+5.0%Apr ’25−3.1%Jul ’25−2.9%Oct ’25−4.7%Jan ’26+9.0%Apr ’26−6.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 17, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Autoliv reported a record Q2 2026 with strong sales and adjusted operating income driven by higher organic sales, cost improvements, and favorable FX. Net sales were $2.8 billion (+3% year-over-year); adjusted operating income rose to $270 million with an adjusted operating margin of 9.6%. Management highlighted record operating cash flow, active shareholder returns (share repurchases of $200 million and $0.87 per share dividend), and continued outperformance in Asia (notably China and India). The company is managing several one-time items (supplier settlement reversion, IEEPA refund, government income in India, impairment charges related to Turkey restructuring) which had limited impact on adjusted margins. Management reiterated full-year guidance (operating margin range ~10.5%-11%) while noting a more back-end loaded margin profile driven by raw material inflation and timing of recoveries. They discussed structural footprint optimization in EMEA (Turkey consolidation into Tunisia/Romania), strategic partnerships with Chinese OEMs (XPENG, Great Wall), and a new innovation center in Sweden. Key headwinds highlighted were geopolitical risks (Persian Gulf tensions), raw material cost volatility (notably helium), tariffs, and weaker light vehicle production expectations (company guiding a -2.5% LVP for 2026).
Guidance
Autoliv reiterated full-year adjusted operating margin guidance of approximately 10.5% to 11% and updated its production assumption to a -2.5% decline in global light vehicle production for 2026. Management expects most mitigation of inflationary impacts and recoveries to be back-end loaded into Q4 and aims to largely recover tariffs and related costs over the year.
Risks flagged
Geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf increasing energy price and supply chain risks; raw material cost volatility (e.g., higher helium prices); tariff exposure and timing of recovery from OEMs; weaker-than-expected demand in China and certain regions; restructuring/impairment risk from EMEA consolidation (Turkey); potential downside from macroeconomic headwinds and consumer sentiment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 17, 2026$2.43
est $2.34
+3.8%$2.80B
est $2.77B
+1.2%−6.2%
Apr 17, 2026$2.05
est $1.84
+11.4%$2.75B
est $2.62B
+5.3%+9.0%
Jan 30, 2026$3.19
est $2.85
+11.9%$2.82B
est $2.77B
+1.8%−4.7%
Oct 17, 2025$2.32
est $2.09
+11.0%$2.71B
est $2.71B
0.0%−2.9%
Jul 18, 2025$2.21
est $2.09
+5.7%$2.71B
est $2.62B
+3.5%−3.1%
Apr 16, 2025$2.15
est $1.67
+28.7%$2.58B
est $2.51B
+2.8%+5.0%
Jan 31, 2025$3.05
est $2.84
+7.4%$2.62B
est $2.48B
+5.5%−7.3%
Oct 18, 2024$1.84
est $1.95
−5.6%$2.56B
est $2.52B
+1.3%+3.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Autoliv stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Autoliv is $134.81, +18.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$134.81consensus 12-month target, +18.2% from the last close
Low $119High $147
Buy5
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, initiated$139+21.9%
Sep 23Wolfe ResearchHold, downgraded——
Sep 22JefferiesHold, reiterated$119+4.4%
Sep 8TD CowenHold, downgraded$137+20.1%
Sep 4Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$134+17.5%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Autoliv seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Autoliv averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.6%2021+19.2%2022−4.2%2023+4.0%2024−6.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.9%4 of 5

For scale, ALV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Autoliv market cap and key statistics

Autoliv’s market cap is $8.35B, with a P/E ratio of 13.9 and revenue of $11.08B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.35B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
10
EPS, TTM
$8.55
Gekko Fair Value
$129.76

Trading

Volume
823,412
Avg volume, 20 days
695,444
52-week high
$132.17
52-week low
$99.16
Shares outstanding
73.24M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.08B
Profit margin
5.8%
Return on equity
25.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−37.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
2.94%

Autoliv peers

Autoliv’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.2%Neutral10.1% above
CMICummins−0.9%Accumulation2.2% below
ITTITT+1.0%Neutral11.5% above
MGAMagna International+0.9%Accumulation13.3% above
DCIDonaldson+0.4%Accumulation6.8% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.6%Accumulation0.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Autoliv stock FAQ

What is Autoliv’s market cap?

Autoliv’s market cap is $8.35B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $114.03, with 73.24M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.9.

What is the Autoliv stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Autoliv is $134.81, +18.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Autoliv stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Autoliv is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $114.03 is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Autoliv report earnings next?

Autoliv is expected to report on Oct 23, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.22 per share on revenue of $2.73B. Autoliv beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.

What is Autoliv’s 52-week high and low?

Autoliv’s 52-week high is $132.17 and its 52-week low is $99.16; it closed at $114.03 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.4% over the past year.

Is Autoliv stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Autoliv the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.