NYSE: ALSN

Allison Transmission (ALSN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$113.66−0.20 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Allison Transmission's week centers on second-quarter results and analyst reaction. The company reported revenue of $1.566 billion, up 92% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $2.73 beating estimates by $0.25, and management raised full-year revenue guidance; the legacy Allison unit grew a more modest 6%, with the broader surge tied to acquisitions. Despite the beat, shares dropped 2.64% on 23 September. BofA Securities maintained its Sell rating on 25 September without detailing rationale, while a comparison piece weighed Allison against IHI on valuation and ownership metrics.

Shares closed at $113.66, down 0.2%, sitting between the 50-day average of $122.36 and the 200-day average of $117.22, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The one-month return stands at -12%, though the one-year return remains positive at 33.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits just 0.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $113.02.

The next earnings date falls on 29 October, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window, following a prior quarter where EPS of $2.57 beat estimates of $2.10 yet the stock reacted -2.9%. Across the last eight quarters, EPS beat estimates six times, with an average absolute reaction of 5.1%. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged 0% over the next 20 trading days across five years, rising in two of them. Analyst coverage shows four firms with zero buys, three holds and one sell, alongside a consensus target of $140.40.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Allison Transmission price vs fair value

$113.66$113.02Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $113.66200-day averageGekko Fair Value $113.02

Allison Transmission quick facts

Market cap
$9.43B
P/E ratio
18
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$6.33
Revenue, TTM
$4.40B
Profit margin
12%
Dividend yield
0.99%
Beta
0.97
Volume
451,009 avg 782,868
1-year return
+33.2%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$122.36
200-day average
$117.22
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
82.58M
52-week range
$76.01$137.62

Allison Transmission swing-trade checklist

Allison Transmission scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $113.66 sits between the 50-day ($122.36) and 200-day ($117.22) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.8, Accumulation

    Reading 67.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.6% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.6% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    0.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged 0% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allison Transmission stock chart and price history

Allison Transmission closed at $113.66 on Sep 28, 2026, +33.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $76.01 to $137.62.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Allison Transmission share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep113.66

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.0%
3 months
−1.5%
6 months
−0.7%
1 year
+33.2%
The full ALSN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALSN in Gekko

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About Allison Transmission

Allison Transmission designs, builds and sells fully automatic transmissions used in medium and heavy-duty trucks, buses and defense vehicles, including tactical vehicles operated by the U.S. military. Its transmissions appear in distribution trucks, refuse and construction vehicles, fire and emergency equipment, school and transit buses, motor homes, and off-highway machinery used in energy, mining and construction, as well as in wheeled and tracked military vehicles. New units carry the Allison Transmission name, while remanufactured versions are sold under the ReTran label.

Beyond the transmissions themselves, the company sells related parts and services, such as branded replacement components, support equipment, aluminum die-cast parts, defense kits, engineering services and extended coverage plans. Its customers include original equipment manufacturers, distributors and the U.S. government, and it reaches them through an independent network of around 1,400 dealer and distributor locations worldwide.

Allison Transmission traces its founding back to 1915 and was previously known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. The company is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ALSN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
allisontransmission.com

Allison Transmission GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allison Transmission’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 1 point over five sessions.

010067.8Accumulation

Up 1 point over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+1.5%+2.2%+3.0%+4.5%
Accumulation (current zone)194−0.1%+0.5%+2.4%+6.4%
Neutral347+0.7%+1.4%+2.0%+3.9%
Distribution92+1.3%+1.9%+5.1%+11.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average ALSN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALSN price, zone by zone.Track ALSN in Gekko

Is Allison Transmission stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allison Transmission trades 0.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $113.02, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allison Transmission shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$113.02

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.6% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALSN in Gekko

Allison Transmission insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allison Transmission, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALSN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALSN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALSN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALSN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALSN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALSN in Gekko

Buybacks

Allison Transmission has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$46.00M
As a share of market cap
0.49%
Trailing four quarters
$139.0M

From company filings.

Allison Transmission earnings: next date and track record

Allison Transmission reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.2%Jul ’24+8.2%Oct ’24−12.4%Feb ’25+5.4%May ’25−1.4%Aug ’25+1.8%Oct ’25+2.6%Feb ’26−2.9%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 4, 2026$2.57
est $2.10
+22.4%$1.41B
est $1.38B
+1.9%−2.9%
Feb 23, 2026$1.18
est $1.56
−24.4%$737.0M
est $725.4M
+1.6%+2.6%
Oct 29, 2025$1.63
est $1.95
−16.4%$693.0M
est $719.1M
−3.6%+1.8%
Aug 4, 2025$2.29
est $2.20
+4.1%$814.0M
est $799.3M
+1.8%−1.4%
May 1, 2025$2.23
est $2.05
+8.8%$766.0M
est $787.8M
−2.8%+5.4%
Feb 11, 2025$2.01
est $1.90
+5.8%$796.0M
est $789.9M
+0.8%−12.4%
Oct 29, 2024$2.27
est $2.02
+12.4%$824.0M
est $781.9M
+5.4%+8.2%
Jul 25, 2024$2.13
est $2.02
+5.4%$816.0M
est $799.5M
+2.1%+6.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allison Transmission stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Allison Transmission is $140.40, +23.5% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$140.40consensus 12-month target, +23.5% from the last close
Low $132High $145
Buy0
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained——
Aug 6CitiHold, maintained$135+18.8%
Aug 5Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$132+16.1%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$145+27.6%
Jul 17Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$130+14.4%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
0.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Allison Transmission seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Allison Transmission averaged 0.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.3%2021+20.6%2022−12.1%2023+3.9%2024−1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.2%3 of 5

For scale, ALSN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Allison Transmission market cap and key statistics

Allison Transmission’s market cap is $9.43B, with a P/E ratio of 18 and revenue of $4.40B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.43B
P/E ratio
18
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$6.33
Gekko Fair Value
$113.02

Trading

Volume
451,009
Avg volume, 20 days
782,868
52-week high
$137.62
52-week low
$76.01
Shares outstanding
82.58M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.40B
Profit margin
12%
Return on equity
28.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−6.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
0.99%

Allison Transmission peers

Allison Transmission’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.2%Neutral10.1% above
CMICummins−0.9%Accumulation2.2% below
ITTITT+1.0%Neutral11.5% above
MGAMagna International+0.9%Accumulation13.3% above
DCIDonaldson+0.4%Accumulation6.8% above
ALVAutoliv−2.0%Accumulation12.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Allison Transmission stock FAQ

What is Allison Transmission’s market cap?

Allison Transmission’s market cap is $9.43B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $113.66, with 82.58M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.

What is the Allison Transmission stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Allison Transmission is $140.40, +23.5% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Allison Transmission stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allison Transmission is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $113.66 is 0.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $113.02. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Allison Transmission report earnings next?

Allison Transmission is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.48 per share on revenue of $1.47B. Allison Transmission beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Allison Transmission’s 52-week high and low?

Allison Transmission’s 52-week high is $137.62 and its 52-week low is $76.01; it closed at $113.66 on Sep 28, 2026, +33.2% over the past year.

Is Allison Transmission stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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