NYSE: DCH

Dauch (DCH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$5.39−0.28 (−4.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week brings a leadership change alongside a run of analyst commentary. Dauch announced a financial leadership succession plan, with Nathan Iles joining as Senior Vice President of Finance ahead of a planned move to CFO, while current CFO Christopher May shifts to Chief Administrative Officer. Separately, Barclays and J.P. Morgan both maintained Hold ratings with $8.00 price targets, while UBS maintained a Buy rating but trimmed its target from $9 to $8, all referencing a quarter in which revenue rose sharply to $2.96 billion but net profit declined.

DCH closed at $5.39, down 4.9%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $6.15 and 200-day average of $6.30, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is -16.8% and its six-month return is -11.6%, though the three-month return stands at 4.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 63.3, placing DCH in the Accumulation zone, and the current price sits 46.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $10.16.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main marker is the next earnings date of 6 November 2026, 25 days away, which falls inside that window. The prior report on 7 August showed adjusted EPS of $0.32 against a $0.16 estimate, with a 17.1% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 9.6% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Dauch price vs fair value

$10.16$5.39Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $5.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.16

Dauch quick facts

Market cap
$1.28B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
5.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.01
Revenue, TTM
$8.22B
Profit margin
-2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.69
Volume
3.25M avg 4.45M
1-year return
−5.3%
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%
50-day average
$6.15
200-day average
$6.30
Next earnings
Nov 6
Shares outstanding
237.6M
52-week range
$4.92$9.25

Dauch swing-trade checklist

Dauch scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $5.39 is below the 50-day ($6.15) and 200-day ($6.30) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.3, Accumulation

    Reading 63.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    46.9% below

    Price is 46.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 25 days

    Reports on Nov 6, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Dauch stock chart and price history

Dauch closed at $5.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.92 to $9.25.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Dauch share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$6$7$8$9NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct5.39

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.8%
3 months
+4.3%
6 months
−11.6%
1 year
−5.3%
The full DCH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DCH in Gekko

Follow Dauch through every session

Put DCH on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Dauch

Dauch Corporation builds driveline and metal forming components for vehicles that run on electric, hybrid, and internal combustion power. Its work covers parts such as axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, and related systems, serving makers of light trucks, SUVs, crossovers, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles.

The company's work is split into two areas. One focuses on driveline parts and systems, including technology built for electric and hybrid vehicles. The other produces metal-formed components used in engines, transmissions, driveline systems, and safety-related parts, covering both traditional combustion vehicles and electric vehicle platforms, along with products for industrial use. Dauch carries out this work across North America, Asia, Europe, and South America, serving vehicle and industrial manufacturers in those regions.

Dauch is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan, and traces its history to 1994, having operated for years under the name American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings before adopting its current name in January 2026. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DCH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
dauch.com

Dauch GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Dauch’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.3, in the Accumulation zone, unchanged over five sessions.

010063.3Accumulation

Unchanged over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying96+1.0%+2.6%+1.4%+0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)184+0.9%+0.4%+2.6%+1.0%
Neutral341−0.7%−1.2%−1.9%+0.3%
Distribution55+0.7%+1.3%+1.4%−1.8%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average DCH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DCH price, zone by zone.Track DCH in Gekko

Is Dauch stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Dauch trades 46.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Dauch shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.16

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

46.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DCH in Gekko

Dauch insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dauch, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DCH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DCH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DCH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DCH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DCH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DCH in Gekko

Buybacks

Dauch has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.00M
As a share of market cap
0.16%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold DCH.

3added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Dauch earnings: next date and track record

Dauch reports on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.7%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.9%Nov ’24+21.7%Feb ’25+12.9%May ’25+21.0%Aug ’250.0%Nov ’25−13.6%Feb ’26+15.7%May ’26+17.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DCH reported Q2 2026 sales of approximately $3 billion with adjusted EPS of $0.32 and adjusted free cash flow of $148 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $390 million or 13.2% of sales, driven by mix, business performance, and synergies from the Dowlais acquisition. The company has realized $70 million in run rate savings after 5 months as a combined entity, targeting $100 million by year-end. DCH has over $2 billion in active business quotes and won the Ford Supplier of the Year Award for quality.
Guidance
DCH targets more than $100 million in run rate synergy savings by year-end 2026, scaling to $180 million by end of year 2 and $300 million by end of year 3. North American and global production were flat year-over-year in Q2, with Europe down approximately 1%.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 7, 2026$0.32
est $0.16
+105.7%$2.96B
est $2.81B
+5.0%+17.1%
May 8, 2026$0.34
est −$0.03
+1,233.3%$2.38B
est $2.18B
+9.2%+15.7%
Feb 13, 2026$0.07
est −$0.07
+200.0%$1.38B
est $1.40B
−0.9%−13.6%
Nov 7, 2025$0.16
est $0.12
+33.3%$1.51B
est $1.40B
+7.7%0.0%
Aug 8, 2025$0.21
est $0.13
+61.5%$1.54B
est $1.53B
+0.7%+21.0%
May 2, 2025$0.09
est $0.02
+350.0%$1.41B
est $1.55B
−9.2%+12.9%
Feb 14, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.06
0.0%$1.38B
est $1.39B
−0.9%+21.7%
Nov 8, 2024$0.20
est $0.03
+508.1%$1.50B
est $1.41B
+6.5%+7.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Dauch stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dauch is $9.22, +71.1% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$9.22consensus 12-month target, +71.1% from the last close
Low $7High $17
Buy5
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9BarclaysHold, maintained$8+48.4%
Oct 7UBSBuy, maintained$8+48.4%
Oct 5BWS FinancialBuy, maintained$17+215.4%
Oct 2J.P. MorganHold, maintained$8+48.4%
Sep 22JefferiesHold, downgraded$7.10+31.7%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Dauch seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Dauch averaged +9.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.6%2021+30.6%2022−5.3%2023+3.5%2024+23.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.1%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.9%3 of 5

For scale, DCH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.1%.

Dauch market cap and key statistics

Dauch’s market cap is $1.28B and revenue of $8.22B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.28B
Forward P/E
5.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.01
Gekko Fair Value
$10.16

Trading

Volume
3.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.45M
52-week high
$9.25
52-week low
$4.92
Shares outstanding
237.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.22B
Profit margin
-2%
Return on equity
-15%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−98.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.69
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%

Dauch stock news this week

Coverage of Dauch this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Dauch peers

Dauch’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.5%Accumulation6.7% above
CMICummins+0.9%Accumulation0.9% above
ITTITT+0.6%Neutral8.1% above
MGAMagna International−0.6%Accumulation10.1% above
DCIDonaldson−0.3%Accumulation2.5% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.8%Accumulation1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Dauch stock FAQ

What is Dauch’s market cap?

Dauch’s market cap is $1.28B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.39, with 237.6M shares outstanding.

What is the Dauch stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dauch is $9.22, +71.1% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Dauch stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Dauch is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.39 is 46.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Dauch report earnings next?

Dauch is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.18 per share on revenue of $2.78B. Dauch beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.7% on average across the report.

What is Dauch’s 52-week high and low?

Dauch’s 52-week high is $9.25 and its 52-week low is $4.92; it closed at $5.39 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $11.96 on Aug 16, 2022.

Is Dauch stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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