NYSE: CYD

China Yuchai International (CYD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.16−1.66 (−5.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

China Yuchai International's week is dominated by a wave of analyst commentary following a new 52-week low and a 7.4% drop that pulled shares to $29.82. Reports note a consensus "Buy" rating with a $60.00 price target even as several firms downgraded CYD to "Hold," while separate commentary points to a trimmed fair value estimate near $58.98 and cuts to current-year earnings estimates tied to higher R&D spending and operational complexity in the shift away from diesel engines toward electrification, against stronger demand in Medium Duty and Heavy Duty trucks. Insider sales by a director and the CFO in August are also referenced alongside the downgrades.

CYD closes at $28.16, down 5.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $37.93 and its 200-day average of $43.79, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 66.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 over five periods. Price stands 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.34.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar for the next stretch. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.5% across 5 years, rising in only 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting given the current downtrend. The one-year return stands at -25.4%, with three- and six-month returns near -38% and -37% respectively.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

China Yuchai International price vs fair value

$37.34$28.16Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.34

China Yuchai International quick facts

Market cap
$1.06B
P/E ratio
10.5
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$2.77
Revenue, TTM
$26.45B
Profit margin
2.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.44
Volume
174,534 avg 201,108
1-year return
−25.4%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
50-day average
$37.93
200-day average
$43.79
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
37.52M
52-week range
$27.87$61.48

China Yuchai International swing-trade checklist

China Yuchai International scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $28.16 is below the 50-day ($37.93) and 200-day ($43.79) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.4, Accumulation

    Reading 66.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    24.6% below

    Price is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

China Yuchai International stock chart and price history

China Yuchai International closed at $28.16 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.87 to $61.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
China Yuchai International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$40$50$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−21.4%
3 months
−38.0%
6 months
−37.0%
1 year
−25.4%
The full CYD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CYD in Gekko

Follow China Yuchai International through every session

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About China Yuchai International

China Yuchai International makes and sells diesel and natural gas engines used in trucks, buses, passenger cars, boats, industrial equipment, and farm machinery. Its engine lineup spans 4-cylinder and 6-cylinder units, high-horsepower marine engines, power generator engines, complete diesel generator sets, and related components, alongside newer offerings such as plug-in hybrid engines, range extenders, hybrid powertrains, electric drive axle systems, and fuel cell technology. It is also known for exhaust emission control systems that complement its engine business.

The company runs through its Yuchai and HLGE segments and sells engines both directly to automotive original equipment manufacturers and through agents and retailers, reaching customers in China as well as other international markets. Beyond manufacturing, it offers remanufacturing, maintenance, and retrofitting services to support the equipment it sells, and it has additional operations in hospitality and property development.

China Yuchai International was established in 1951 and is headquartered in Singapore. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CYD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
cyilimited.com

China Yuchai International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

China Yuchai International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010066.4Accumulation

Up 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26−0.8%−1.8%−2.1%+21.3%
Accumulation (current zone)212−0.5%−0.2%+2.4%+21.2%
Neutral381+2.2%+4.4%+8.5%+15.8%
Distribution53+4.3%+5.6%+7.8%+9.8%
Selling10−5.4%−4.4%−9.8%−15.4%

Average CYD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CYD price, zone by zone.Track CYD in Gekko

Is China Yuchai International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

China Yuchai International trades 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.34, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what China Yuchai International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.34

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

24.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$37$30Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CYD in Gekko

China Yuchai International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for China Yuchai International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CYD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CYD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CYD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CYD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CYD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CYD in Gekko

China Yuchai International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for China Yuchai International is $56.77, +101.6% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$56.77consensus 12-month target, +101.6% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 18Greenridge GlobalBuy, reiterated$60+113.1%
Jul 27Greenridge GlobalBuy, upgraded$60+113.1%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

China Yuchai International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, China Yuchai International averaged −4.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.2%2021−3.3%2022−11.5%2023−12.3%2024+12.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−5.1%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.8%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.5%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−11.3%0 of 5

For scale, CYD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.

China Yuchai International market cap and key statistics

China Yuchai International’s market cap is $1.06B, with a P/E ratio of 10.5 and revenue of $26.45B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.06B
P/E ratio
10.5
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$2.77
Gekko Fair Value
$37.34

Trading

Volume
174,534
Avg volume, 20 days
201,108
52-week high
$61.48
52-week low
$27.87
Shares outstanding
37.52M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$26.45B
Profit margin
2.8%
Return on equity
6.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+51.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%

China Yuchai International stock news this week

Coverage of China Yuchai International this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

China Yuchai International peers

China Yuchai International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.5%Accumulation6.7% above
CMICummins+0.9%Accumulation0.9% above
ITTITT+0.6%Neutral8.1% above
MGAMagna International−0.6%Accumulation10.1% above
DCIDonaldson−0.3%Accumulation2.5% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.8%Accumulation1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

China Yuchai International stock FAQ

What is China Yuchai International’s market cap?

China Yuchai International’s market cap is $1.06B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.16, with 37.52M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.5.

What is the China Yuchai International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for China Yuchai International is $56.77, +101.6% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is China Yuchai International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate China Yuchai International is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.16 is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.34. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is China Yuchai International’s 52-week high and low?

China Yuchai International’s 52-week high is $61.48 and its 52-week low is $27.87; it closed at $28.16 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.4% over the past year.

Is China Yuchai International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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