Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ITW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ITW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ITW in Gekko
NYSE: ITW
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$293.45+6.81 (+2.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeIllinois Tool Works gains this week after reporting stronger third-quarter execution, with revenue growing 4.4% and operating margin expanding to 27.8%. The company raised its 2026 EPS outlook, lifting GAAP EPS guidance to a range of $11.45 to $11.55 per share, with management pointing to record operating income and improved cash flow tied to enterprise initiatives and price increases. Separately, a director has filed a Form 144 proposing to sell 60,000 shares valued at approximately $17.6 million, following a prior sale of $11.9 million in August.
ITW closed at $293.45, up 2.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $271.84 and 200-day average of $271.09, with the 50-day above the 200-day. Over the past month the stock has returned 9.8%, and over the past year 20.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 44, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 10.1 over the last five readings. The current price stands 17.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $249.26.
The next earnings date falls on 2 February 2027, 89 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells, with one trailblazer holder noted. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 20-day return of 3.7% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst consensus across 5 firms shows 4 hold ratings and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $294.14.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Illinois Tool Works price vs fair value
Close $293.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $249.26
Illinois Tool Works quick facts
- Market cap
- $83.40B
- P/E ratio
- 25.9
- Forward P/E
- 22.7
- EPS, TTM
- $11.21
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.65B
- Profit margin
- 19.4%
- Dividend yield
- 2.35%
- Beta
- 0.94
- Volume
- 1.72M avg 1.36M
- 1-year return
- +20.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.7%
- 50-day average
- $271.84
- 200-day average
- $271.09
- Next earnings
- Feb 2
- Shares outstanding
- 284.2M
Illinois Tool Works swing-trade checklist
Illinois Tool Works scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $293.45 is above the 50-day ($271.84) and 200-day ($271.09) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
44, Distribution
Reading 44 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
17.7% above
Price is 17.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 89 days
Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Illinois Tool Works stock chart and price history
Illinois Tool Works closed at $293.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $238.82 to $303.15.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +9.8%
- 3 months
- −0.4%
- 6 months
- +12.6%
- 1 year
- +20.7%
The full ITW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ITW in Gekko
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About Illinois Tool Works
Illinois Tool Works makes and supplies a broad range of industrial products and equipment used across manufacturing and commercial settings. It is best known for the variety of niches it serves, from components used in vehicle assembly to appliances found in commercial kitchens. The company groups its work into seven areas: Automotive OEM, Food Equipment, Test & Measurement and Electronics, Welding, Polymers & Fluids, Construction Products, and Specialty Products, spanning items such as fastening systems, welding machines and consumables, adhesives and fluids, testing equipment, and packaging and marking machinery.
Its customers include automakers and their parts suppliers, commercial food service operators, builders and construction firms, general industrial companies, and buyers in the automotive aftermarket. Illinois Tool Works reaches these customers both by selling directly to manufacturers and through a network of independent distributors, giving it a presence across several different end markets rather than a single one.
Illinois Tool Works was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Glenview, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ITW.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Auto parts: OEM
- Website
- itw.com
Illinois Tool Works GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Illinois Tool Works’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44, in the Distribution zone, down 10.1 points over five sessions.
44Distribution
Down 10.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 48 | +0.4% | +0.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 216 | +0.1% | +1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 409 | +0.1% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 23 | −0.3% | −3.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ITW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ITW price, zone by zone.Track ITW in Gekko
Is Illinois Tool Works stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Illinois Tool Works trades 17.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $249.26, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Illinois Tool Works shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$249.26
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
17.7% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 7.7% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ITW in Gekko
Illinois Tool Works insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Illinois Tool Works, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 4 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Aug 10 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Illinois Tool Works has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $187.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.22%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.69B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ITW.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Illinois Tool Works earnings: next date and track record
Illinois Tool Works reports on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 2, 2027
89 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.97
- Revenue estimate
- $4.29B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) delivered a solid Q4 and full-year 2025 performance, with revenue growth of 4.1% (organic 1.3%), GAAP EPS up 7% to $2.72 in Q4, and record operating margins (segment margins 27.7%). Management highlighted strong execution, enterprise initiatives contributing significant margin improvement (~140 bps in Q4), and CBI (customer-backed innovation) contributing 2.4% to revenue in 2025 and progressing toward a 3%+ target by 2030 (patent filings up). Guidance for 2026: organic growth 1%-3%, revenue growth 2%-4% (midpoint EPS $11.20 implied), margin improvement across all segments supported by enterprise initiatives (~100 bps) and higher incremental margins (mid-to-high 40s%). Free cash flow conversion robust; share repurchases continued ($375M). Geographic notes: North America modest growth, Asia Pacific/China strong, Europe softer. Management expects typical seasonality (Q1 softer), expects continued improvement in semiconductors/test & measurement and construction commercial pockets, and remains opportunistic on M&A but selective due to valuations. Risks include inflationary pressures (wages, benefits), potential variability in demand cycles (semiconductor cyclical), and valuation/market headwinds for M&A.
- Guidance
- Organic growth 1%-3% for 2026; revenue growth 2%-4% for 2026; EPS guidance midpoint of $11.20; segment margin improvement expected with enterprise initiatives (~100 bps contribution) and incremental margins mid-to-high 40s; typical seasonality (Q1 lower), expect full-year EPS split ~47/53 first half/second half.
- Risks flagged
- Risks mentioned: macro/cyclical demand variability (esp. semiconductors and residential construction); inflation in wages and benefits offsetting margin gains; potential valuation challenges for acquisitions; seasonality; possible lumpiness in segments (commercial construction).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | $2.72 est $2.69 | $4.09B est $4.06B | +9.3% |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $2.81 est $2.75 | $4.06B est $4.08B | −3.7% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $2.58 est $2.56 | $4.05B est $4.02B | −1.4% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $2.38 est $2.34 | $3.84B est $3.84B | −1.0% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $2.54 est $2.50 | $3.93B est $3.98B | +0.2% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $3.91 est $2.52 | $3.97B est $4.02B | +2.0% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | $2.54 est $2.47 | $4.03B est $4.08B | −0.3% |
| Apr 30, 2024 | $2.44 est $2.36 | $3.97B est $4.03B | −2.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Illinois Tool Works stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Illinois Tool Works is $294.14, +0.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$294.14consensus 12-month target, +0.2% from the last close
Now $293.45Avg $294.14
Low $270High $310
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | Bank of America Securities | $300 | +2.2% |
| Oct 28 | Citi | $310 | +5.6% |
| Oct 28 | Truist Financial | $293 | −0.2% |
| Oct 27 | Goldman Sachs | $270 | −8.0% |
| Oct 9 | J.P. Morgan | $277 | −5.6% |
−3.9%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Illinois Tool Works seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Illinois Tool Works averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.0% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.7% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.7% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, ITW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.7%.
Illinois Tool Works market cap and key statistics
Illinois Tool Works’s market cap is $83.40B, with a P/E ratio of 25.9 and revenue of $16.65B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $83.40B
- P/E ratio
- 25.9
- Forward P/E
- 22.7
- EPS, TTM
- $11.21
- Gekko Fair Value
- $249.26
Trading
- Volume
- 1.72M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.36M
- 52-week high
- $303.15
- 52-week low
- $238.82
- Shares outstanding
- 284.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.65B
- Profit margin
- 19.4%
- Return on equity
- 101.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.94
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.35%
Illinois Tool Works stock news this week
Coverage of Illinois Tool Works this week reads neutral: 8 positive, 10 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Form 144 ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC For: 4 November By Investing.comInvesting.com UK, Nov 4
- Form 144 ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC Filed by: SANTI ERNEST SCOTTStreetInsider, Nov 4
- A director proposes another Illinois Tool Works (NYSE: ITW) sale after selling $11.9M in August.Stock Titan, Nov 4
- Illinois Tool Works stock gains after higher 2026 EPS outlookad-hoc-news.de, Nov 4
- Illinois Tool Works stock gets higher 2026 EPS outlook after Q3ad-hoc-news.de, Nov 4
- Illinois Tool Works Inc. stock underperforms Tuesday when compared to competitorsMarketWatch, Nov 3
Illinois Tool Works peers
Illinois Tool Works’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMICummins | Buying | 7.0% below |
| ITTITT | Neutral | 7.5% above |
| MGAMagna International | Neutral | 13.7% above |
| ALSNAllison Transmission | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| DCIDonaldson | Accumulation | 0.3% below |
| ALVAutoliv | Neutral | 1.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Illinois Tool Works stock FAQ
What is Illinois Tool Works’s market cap?
Illinois Tool Works’s market cap is $83.40B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $293.45, with 284.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.9.
What is the Illinois Tool Works stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Illinois Tool Works is $294.14, +0.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Illinois Tool Works stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Illinois Tool Works is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $293.45 is 17.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $249.26. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Illinois Tool Works report earnings next?
Illinois Tool Works is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.97 per share on revenue of $4.29B. Illinois Tool Works beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.
What is Illinois Tool Works’s 52-week high and low?
Illinois Tool Works’s 52-week high is $303.15 and its 52-week low is $238.82; it closed at $293.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.7% over the past year.
Is Illinois Tool Works stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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