NYSE: DAN

Dana (DAN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$27.93−1.41 (−4.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Dana shares rose 3.6% to $29.02 on 8 October even as one valuation model flagged the stock as overvalued with a fair value estimate of $16.56 and a GF Score of 67/100 rated "Above Average." The company also confirmed it will release third-quarter 2026 results on 28 October, with a press release before market open and a conference call and webcast to follow.

Dana now trades at $27.93, down 4.8% on the latest session and below both its 50-day average of $29.52 and its 200-day average of $31.04, with the 50-day also under the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $33.17, leaving price 15.8% below that level.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the 28 October earnings release, 16 days away and falling inside a typical holding window; the prior quarter's reaction was 1.5% against an average absolute move of 8.1% across past reports. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, and billionaire holders stand at zero. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5% gain over five years, rising in 2 of those years, a mixed pattern worth noting alongside the pending report.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Dana price vs fair value

$33.17$27.93Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $27.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $33.17

Dana quick facts

Market cap
$3.48B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
−$0.36
Revenue, TTM
$7.66B
Profit margin
14.5%
Dividend yield
1.57%
Beta
2.03
Volume
2.05M avg 1.42M
1-year return
+52.0%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%
50-day average
$29.52
200-day average
$31.04
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
107.6M
52-week range
$17.89$39.56

Dana swing-trade checklist

Dana scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $27.93 is below the 50-day ($29.52) and 200-day ($31.04) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.2, Accumulation

    Reading 60.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.8% below

    Price is 15.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Dana stock chart and price history

Dana closed at $27.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.89 to $39.56.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Dana share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct27.93

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.1%
3 months
+3.2%
6 months
−23.9%
1 year
+52.0%
The full DAN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DAN in Gekko

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About Dana

Dana makes power transmission and energy management equipment for vehicles and industrial machines, selling to markets across North America, Europe, South America, and Asia Pacific. It is known for drivetrain hardware such as axles, driveshafts, and transmissions, supplied to both on-road and off-road equipment makers, and its work spans conventional, hybrid, and electric propulsion.

The company runs four business segments. One supplies axles, driveshafts, e-axles, and transmissions for passenger cars, light trucks, SUVs, and vans. Another serves medium and heavy trucks, buses, and specialty vehicles with heavy-duty axles, e-transmissions, EV integration work, and related software. A third segment builds axles, driveshafts, transmissions, and gearboxes for construction, earth moving, agriculture, mining, forestry, material handling, and stationary industrial equipment. The fourth focuses on sealing and thermal management, producing gaskets, cover modules, heat shields, cooling systems, and fuel cell plates used across light, medium, heavy, and off-highway vehicles.

Dana traces its founding to 1904 and took its current name in August 2016, having previously been Dana Holding Corporation. It is headquartered in Maumee, Ohio, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DAN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Auto parts: OEM
Website
dana.com

Dana GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Dana’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.6 points over five sessions.

010060.2Accumulation

Down 3.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+2.0%+2.1%+9.8%+14.8%
Accumulation (current zone)201+0.6%+3.2%+6.5%+13.1%
Neutral383+0.6%+0.6%+1.4%+7.6%
Distribution59+2.3%+3.1%+3.1%+4.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average DAN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DAN price, zone by zone.Track DAN in Gekko

Is Dana stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Dana trades 15.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Dana shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$33.17

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

15.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$33$29Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DAN in Gekko

Dana insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dana, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DAN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DAN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DAN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DAN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DAN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DAN in Gekko

Buybacks

Dana has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$44.00M
As a share of market cap
1.26%
Trailing four quarters
$562.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold DAN.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Dana earnings: next date and track record

Dana reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−24.4%Oct ’24−4.2%Feb ’25+8.5%Apr ’25+14.6%Aug ’25+4.3%Oct ’25+3.9%Feb ’26−3.1%Apr ’26+1.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Dana reported a strong Q2 2026 driven by execution and favorable market dynamics: sales of ~$2.01B, adjusted EBITDA of $207M and a 10.3% adjusted EBITDA margin (up 270 bps y/y). Management highlighted $19M of cost savings in Q2 and $54M year-to-date toward a $65M 2026 target and a $325M program target. The company restarted its share repurchase program, repurchasing 1.2M shares ($44M) in Q2 and plans an additional $200M of repurchases in the balance of the calendar year; program-to-date repurchases total $819M with a plan to reach just over $1B after the incremental $200M and to complete $2B of authorization by 2029. The Eaton Mobility combination is progressing, will be structured as a split-off, and is on track to close in Q1 2027. Management reiterated progress on Dana 2030 strategic initiatives (aftermarket, defense, Applied Technologies) and noted stronger free cash flow expected in H2 driven by earnings, lower interest, lower cash taxes and working capital. Key headwinds discussed include higher-than-expected D&A (accelerated in-service assets), higher interest expense related to refinancing and lower cash balances due to Eaton transaction spend, higher tax expense from jurisdictional mix, and lower equity earnings from China JVs. Additional one-time labor costs (a $20M ratification/union signing bonus) were disclosed and included in free cash flow guidance.
Guidance
Restarted share repurchase program; repurchased 1.2M shares ($44M) in Q2 and plan an additional $200M of repurchases in the remainder of the calendar year. Management believes the Eaton transaction will allow them to accelerate completion of the $2B repurchase authorization and now expects to complete $2B by the end of 2029 (earlier than prior 2030 expectation). On track to realize $65M of cost savings in 2026 and $325M program target overall. Expect Eaton Mobility combination to close in Q1 2027. Management cited stronger free cash flow in H2 driven by lower interest (~$30M), lower cash taxes and working capital improvements. No formal numerical revenue or EPS guidance was provided on the call beyond these items.
Risks flagged
Higher-than-expected depreciation & amortization from accelerated in-service assets; higher interest expense related to refinancing and lower cash balances due to transaction spend; higher tax expense from jurisdictional mix; lower equity earnings from China joint ventures; $40M of stranded costs from the Off-Highway sale; one-time labor-related cash outlays (e.g., $20M ratification bonus) and potential ongoing wage increases; uncertainty/complexity around restarting buybacks post-Eaton due to tax code/tax-structure negotiation; integration and facility consolidation risks associated with Eaton Mobility transaction.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.19
est $0.64
−70.3%$2.01B
est $1.93B
+3.9%+1.5%
Apr 29, 2026$0.51
est $0.44
+15.9%$1.87B
est $1.83B
+2.3%−3.1%
Feb 18, 2026$0.03
est $0.30
−90.0%$1.87B
est $1.87B
−0.1%+3.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.17
est $0.26
−34.6%$1.92B
est $1.79B
+6.9%+4.3%
Aug 5, 2025$0.19
est $0.35
−45.7%$1.94B
est $2.49B
−22.2%+14.6%
Apr 30, 2025$0.13
est $0.16
−18.7%$2.35B
est $2.45B
−4.0%+8.5%
Feb 20, 2025$0.25
est $0.09
+180.6%$2.34B
est $2.39B
−2.4%−4.2%
Oct 30, 2024$0.12
est $0.23
−47.8%$2.48B
est $2.42B
+2.3%−24.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Dana stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dana is $38.67, +38.5% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$38.67consensus 12-month target, +38.5% from the last close
Low $28High $40
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9BarclaysHold, maintained$35+25.3%
Oct 7UBSBuy, maintained$36+28.9%
Oct 2J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$40+43.2%
Sep 15J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$40+43.2%
Aug 13BarclaysHold, maintained$35+25.3%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Dana seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Dana averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.8%2021+39.0%2022−12.2%2023−16.5%2024+19.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.8%2 of 5

For scale, DAN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.9%.

Dana market cap and key statistics

Dana’s market cap is $3.48B and revenue of $7.66B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.48B
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
−$0.36
Gekko Fair Value
$33.17

Trading

Volume
2.05M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.42M
52-week high
$39.56
52-week low
$17.89
Shares outstanding
107.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.66B
Profit margin
14.5%
Return on equity
-1.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5,660.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.03
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%
Dividend yield
1.57%

Dana peers

Dana’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ITWIllinois Tool Works+0.5%Accumulation6.7% above
CMICummins+0.9%Accumulation0.9% above
ITTITT+0.6%Neutral8.1% above
MGAMagna International−0.6%Accumulation10.1% above
DCIDonaldson−0.3%Accumulation2.5% above
ALSNAllison Transmission+0.8%Accumulation1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Dana stock FAQ

What is Dana’s market cap?

Dana’s market cap is $3.48B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $27.93, with 107.6M shares outstanding.

What is the Dana stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dana is $38.67, +38.5% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Dana stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Dana is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $27.93 is 15.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Dana report earnings next?

Dana is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.71 per share on revenue of $1.96B. Dana beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Dana’s 52-week high and low?

Dana’s 52-week high is $39.56 and its 52-week low is $17.89; it closed at $27.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.0% over the past year.

Is Dana stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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