Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SHOO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SHOO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHOO in Gekko
NASDAQ: SHOO
Steven Madden (SHOO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$44.71+0.41 (+0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on Steven Madden's brand momentum and upcoming earnings. Dolce Vita is gaining traction across wholesale and DTC channels, with footwear, handbags and international growth lifting the 2026 outlook. The company is scheduled to report Q3 2026 earnings on 4 November, with analysts expecting $0.7480 per share on revenue of $776.83 million, representing growth from the prior year. Separately, shares fell 2.15% to $44.60 on 7 October despite Q2 2026 revenue of $665.87 million beating consensus, even as analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating with an average target of $51.80.
SHOO closed at $44.71, up 0.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $44.94 and 200-day average of $41.34. The GekkoIndex reads 56, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 4.4 over five days. Price sits 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.11. One-month return stands at 4.1%, three-month at 5.3%, six-month at 18.8%, and one-year at 31.5%.
Earnings arrive on 4 November, 22 days out, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with past reactions averaging 5.4% in absolute terms. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 10.4% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 9 firms shows 7 buy, 1 hold, 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $52.4 and consensus upside of 17.2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Steven Madden price vs fair value
Close $44.71200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.11
Steven Madden quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.27B
- P/E ratio
- 22.1
- Forward P/E
- 20.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.00
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.74B
- Profit margin
- 5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
- Beta
- 1.18
- Volume
- 834,635 avg 1.12M
- 1-year return
- +31.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- 50-day average
- $44.94
- 200-day average
- $41.34
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 73.18M
Steven Madden swing-trade checklist
Steven Madden scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $44.71 sits between the 50-day ($44.94) and 200-day ($41.34) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56, Neutral
Reading 56 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.8% above
Price is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+10.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Steven Madden stock chart and price history
Steven Madden closed at $44.71 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $31.33 to $49.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +4.1%
- 3 months
- +5.3%
- 6 months
- +18.8%
- 1 year
- +31.5%
The full SHOO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SHOO in Gekko
Follow Steven Madden through every session
Put SHOO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Steven Madden
Steven Madden designs, makes and sells footwear, along with accessories and apparel, for women, men and children in the United States and abroad. The business is widely recognized for its namesake Steve Madden footwear lines, alongside other owned labels covering shoes, handbags, clothing and small leather goods sold under names such as Madden Girl, Betsey Johnson, Dolce Vita, Blondo, GREATS, Superga and Anne Klein.
Revenue comes through several channels. A wholesale arm sells branded and private-label shoes to department stores, mass merchants, off-price chains, online sellers and independent shops, while a parallel wholesale line covers accessories and apparel such as bags, belts and scarves. The company also reaches shoppers directly through its own full-price and outlet stores, shop-in-shops, and a set of branded e-commerce sites. On top of this, it licenses its trademarks to outside businesses and operates a first-cost unit that works as a buying agent for private-label footwear, serving national chains, specialty retailers and value-priced outlets.
Steven Madden was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker SHOO.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Apparel/Footwear
- Website
- stevemadden.com
Steven Madden GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Steven Madden’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56, in the Neutral zone, up 4.4 points over five sessions.
56Neutral
Up 4.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 42 | −0.1% | −10.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 225 | −0.2% | +0.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 376 | +0.5% | +2.3% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | +0.4% | −0.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average SHOO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SHOO price, zone by zone.Track SHOO in Gekko
Is Steven Madden stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Steven Madden trades 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.11, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Steven Madden shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$41.11
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
8.8% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.8% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SHOO in Gekko
Steven Madden insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Steven Madden, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SHOO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SHOO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHOO in Gekko
Buybacks
Steven Madden has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $985K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.03%
- Trailing four quarters
- $13.68M
From company filings.
Steven Madden earnings: next date and track record
Steven Madden reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.75
- Revenue estimate
- $776.8M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Steven Madden delivered above-guidance Q4 2025 earnings driven by improved core Steve Madden footwear performance and strong contribution from newly acquired Kurt Geiger. Despite challenging tariff environment, Steve Madden brand returned to Q4 growth after Q2-Q3 declines, with online searches up 10% year-over-year. Kurt Geiger integration progressing well with 11% pro forma revenue growth in 2025, while Dolce Vita continues expansion in international markets and handbags.
- Guidance
- Management expects mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for Steve Madden brand in 2026, similar 11% growth for Kurt Geiger London, and high single-digit growth for Dolce Vita. However, significant pressure anticipated in private label business due to tariff impacts.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.48 est $0.46 | $749.8M est $753.0M | −1.3% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.44 | $667.9M est $757.9M | +16.9% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.20 est $0.24 | $559.0M est $699.7M | −8.8% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.60 est $0.46 | $553.5M est $594.3M | +0.4% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.55 est $0.53 | $582.3M est $550.4M | −12.3% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.91 est $0.89 | $621.2M est $553.9M | +0.9% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | $0.57 est $0.53 | $523.6M est $605.6M | −2.1% |
| May 1, 2024 | $0.65 est $0.56 | $552.4M est $526.2M | −0.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Steven Madden stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Steven Madden is $52.40, +17.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$52.40consensus 12-month target, +17.2% from the last close
Now $44.71Avg $52.40
Low $36High $60
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BMO Capital | $60 | +34.2% |
| Aug 27 | Piper Sandler | $55 | +23.0% |
| Aug 3 | Citi | $55 | +23.0% |
| Jul 31 | Jefferies | $36 | −19.5% |
| Jul 31 | UBS | $45 | +0.6% |
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+10.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Steven Madden seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Steven Madden averaged +10.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.9% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +10.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +14.1% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, SHOO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.
Steven Madden market cap and key statistics
Steven Madden’s market cap is $3.27B, with a P/E ratio of 22.1 and revenue of $2.74B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.27B
- P/E ratio
- 22.1
- Forward P/E
- 20.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.00
- Gekko Fair Value
- $41.11
Trading
- Volume
- 834,635
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.12M
- 52-week high
- $49.70
- 52-week low
- $31.33
- Shares outstanding
- 73.18M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.74B
- Profit margin
- 5.2%
- Return on equity
- 15.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +75.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.18
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
Steven Madden stock news this week
Coverage of Steven Madden this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Steven Madden's Dolce Vita Builds Momentum Across Sales ChannelsZacks Investment Research, Oct 9
- Steven Madden Q3 2026 Earnings Date and EstimatesMarketBeat, Oct 9
- Steven Madden stock fell 2.15 percent on October 7AD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Voting power covers 7.61M shares as FMR LLC reports a passive Steven Madden (SHOO) stake.Stock Titan, Oct 7
Steven Madden peers
Steven Madden’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NKENike | Accumulation | 16.4% below |
| RLRalph Lauren | Neutral | 14.6% above |
| ONONOn | Distribution | 6.8% below |
| DECKDeckers Outdoor | Neutral | 33.9% below |
| LULUlululemon athletica | Accumulation | 39.4% below |
| LEVILevi Strauss | Accumulation | 0.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Steven Madden stock FAQ
What is Steven Madden’s market cap?
Steven Madden’s market cap is $3.27B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.71, with 73.18M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.1.
What is the Steven Madden stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Steven Madden is $52.40, +17.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Steven Madden stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Steven Madden is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.71 is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Steven Madden report earnings next?
Steven Madden is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.75 per share on revenue of $776.8M. Steven Madden beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.
What is Steven Madden’s 52-week high and low?
Steven Madden’s 52-week high is $49.70 and its 52-week low is $31.33; it closed at $44.71 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $51.56 on Nov 17, 2021.
Is Steven Madden stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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