NYSE: NKE

Nike (NKE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nike, Inc. Consumer non-durables sector, apparel/footwear industry. Market cap $52.55B.

$35.51−0.85 (−2.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Nike closes at $35.51, down 2.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $40.45 and 200-day average of $50.22, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock is at its 52-week low of $35.50 after a 1-month return of -13.5%, a 3-month return of -21.4%, and a 1-year return of -50.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 73.5, placing Nike in the Buying zone, while price sits 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.39.

This week's news centers on the departure of endorser Kylian Mbappé, who left Nike after roughly 20 years to sign with On Holding (ONON) as a global ambassador, a move reported alongside commentary on Nike losing high-profile athletes to newer sportswear rivals. Separately, UBS cut its price target on Nike by 13% to $42 citing deteriorating global sales trends ahead of the first-quarter report, and Nike is set to leave the S&P 100 on 21 September as Sandisk joins.

Nike reports earnings on 1 October 2026, 11 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates with EPS of $0.20 versus $0.11 expected, producing a 3.8% reaction, part of a streak of 8 beats in 8 quarters. Over the last 90 days Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 6 unusual options signals, with put premium of $17.0 million against call premium of $7.0 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage spans 28 firms, with 8 buy, 16 hold, and 4 sell ratings and a consensus target of $48.21.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $35.51200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.39

Key stats

Market cap
$52.55B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
21.1
EPS, TTM
$2.10
Revenue, TTM
$46.40B
Profit margin
6.7%
Dividend yield
4.48%
Beta
1.11
Volume
51.42M avg 29.66M
1-year return
−50.9%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$40.45
200-day average
$50.22
Next earnings
Oct 1
Shares outstanding
1.20B
52-week range
$35.50$76.97

Nike swing-trade checklist

Nike scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $35.51 is below the 50-day ($40.45) and 200-day ($50.22) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.5, Buying

    Reading 73.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.1% below

    Price is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 11 days

    Reports on Oct 1, 2026, 11 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nike stock chart and price history

Nike closed at $35.51 on Sep 18, 2026, −50.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $35.50 to $76.97.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.5%
3 months
−21.4%
6 months
−33.6%
1 year
−50.9%
The full NKE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NKE in Gekko

Follow Nike through every session

Put NKE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track NKE in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Nike

Nike makes and sells sports footwear, clothing, gear and accessories aimed at athletes and everyday wearers across age groups and genders. Its catalog covers items like bags, socks, balls, eyewear, watches, digital gadgets, bats, gloves and protective gear, plus casual sneakers and apparel. The brand is widely tied to its Jumpman-labeled goods and to Converse lines such as Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron and Jack Purcell.

Beyond its own labeled goods, Nike supplies plastic materials to other manufacturers and puts out clothing carrying logos licensed from college and pro sports teams and leagues. Separate licensing deals let outside companies produce and sell apparel, digital tools, apps and sporting equipment bearing Nike's trademarks. Customers reach these products through footwear and sporting goods shops, specialty athletic, department, skate, tennis and golf retailers, along with Nike's own stores, online shopping channels, independent distributors, licensed partners and sales agents.

Nike began in 1964 under the name Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc., adopting its current name in 1971, and runs its main offices out of Beaverton, Oregon. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker NKE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Apparel/Footwear
Website
nike.com

Nike GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nike’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.5, in the Buying zone, up 3.7 points over five sessions.

010073.5Buying

Up 3.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)89−0.6%−1.1%−2.1%−2.1%
Accumulation256+0.2%+0.4%−0.3%−3.5%
Neutral299−1.2%−2.4%−4.3%−9.4%
Distribution17−2.5%−4.1%−3.5%−7.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average NKE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NKE price, zone by zone.Track NKE in Gekko

Is Nike stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nike trades 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nike shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.39

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

25.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NKE in Gekko

Nike insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nike, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NKE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NKE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NKE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Nike has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$272.0M
As a share of market cap
0.52%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

6signals, 29% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 18, $4.73M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold NKE.

0added0opened0trimmed4sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Nike earnings: next date and track record

Nike reports on Oct 1, 2026 (11 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.0%Oct ’24+0.1%Dec ’24−6.9%Mar ’25+18.4%Jun ’25+6.7%Sep ’25−10.6%Dec ’25−12.9%Mar ’26+3.8%Jun ’26

Last earnings call, Jun 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nike reported fiscal year 2026 results showing mid-single digit growth in its performance business and 5 consecutive quarters of double-digit Running growth, adding ~$1B to that segment. Wholesale revenue grew 4% for the year, with double-digit growth in North America. Challenges persist in Nike Sportswear and Jordan Streetwear, where sell-through remains weak. The company reorganized ~8,000 employees into sport-specific teams under its 'Sport Offense' operating model.
Guidance
Management did not provide specific revenue or EPS targets in this excerpt. Nike acknowledged continued macro headwinds pressuring traffic and discretionary spending across geographies, while focusing on cleaner marketplaces and sustainable growth over the long term.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jun 30, 2026$0.20
est $0.11
+81.8%$10.97B
est $10.85B
+1.1%+3.8%
Mar 31, 2026$0.35
est $0.29
+20.4%$11.28B
est $11.23B
+0.4%−12.9%
Dec 18, 2025$0.53
est $0.37
+41.4%$12.43B
est $12.21B
+1.8%−10.6%
Sep 30, 2025$0.49
est $0.27
+80.1%$11.72B
est $10.99B
+6.6%+6.7%
Jun 26, 2025$0.14
est $0.13
+7.4%$11.10B
est $10.73B
+3.4%+18.4%
Mar 20, 2025$0.54
est $0.30
+79.6%$11.27B
est $11.02B
+2.3%−6.9%
Dec 19, 2024$0.78
est $0.65
+20.0%$12.35B
est $12.13B
+1.8%+0.1%
Oct 1, 2024$0.70
est $0.52
+34.6%$11.59B
est $11.64B
−0.5%−6.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nike stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nike is $48.21, +35.8% from the last close, from 28 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$48.21consensus 12-month target, +35.8% from the last close
Low $30High $75
Buy8
Hold16
Sell4

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 28 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$31−12.7%
Sep 17UBSHold, reiterated$42+18.3%
Sep 15Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$44+23.9%
Sep 15UBSHold, maintained
Sep 15Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$44+23.9%
−2.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nike seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Nike averaged −1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.4%2021−16.1%2022+8.9%2023+3.0%2024−5.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.3%2 of 5

For scale, NKE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Nike market cap and key statistics

Nike’s market cap is $52.55B, with a P/E ratio of 16.9 and revenue of $46.40B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$52.55B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
21.1
EPS, TTM
$2.10
Gekko Fair Value
$47.39

Trading

Volume
51.42M
Avg volume, 20 days
29.66M
52-week high
$76.97
52-week low
$35.50
Shares outstanding
1.20B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$46.40B
Profit margin
6.7%
Return on equity
22.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+428.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
4.48%

Nike stock news this week

Coverage of Nike this week reads positive: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Nike peers

Nike’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
RLRalph Lauren+0.7%Accumulation4.9% above
LULUlululemon athletica−1.6%Accumulation40.3% below
DECKDeckers Outdoor−2.0%Accumulation39.3% below
ONONOn−3.9%Buying24.6% below
LEVILevi Strauss−0.1%Buying3.0% below
GILGildan Activewear+1.7%Buying25.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nike stock FAQ

What is Nike’s market cap?

Nike’s market cap is $52.55B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $35.51, with 1.20B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.9.

What is the Nike stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nike is $48.21, +35.8% from the last close. Of the 28 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 16 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nike stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nike is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $35.51 is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nike report earnings next?

Nike is expected to report on Oct 1, 2026 (11 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.44 per share on revenue of $11.34B. Nike beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.

What is Nike’s 52-week high and low?

Nike’s 52-week high is $76.97 and its 52-week low is $35.50; it closed at $35.51 on Sep 18, 2026, −50.9% over the past year.

Is Nike stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Nike?

Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in Nike over the last 30 days, with $7.01M of flagged premium in calls and $17.04M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $4.73M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Nike the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.