NASDAQ: NWL

Newell Brands (NWL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$5.58−0.06 (−1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention on Newell Brands centers on its Oster appliance line, with new blender launches (Vortex, QuietPro, Titan) aimed at power, noise reduction and durability, a move framed as shifting the product mix toward more premium offerings. Coverage also revisited valuation, describing the stock as undervalued relative to a cited fair value of $6.66. Daily trading commentary noted a string of gains followed by a pullback, with shares moving between $5.55 and $5.72 across the week amid broader market swings, and separate coverage flagged the upcoming Q3 report alongside a full-year adjusted EPS outlook of $0.73-$0.77 and a prior quarterly revenue figure of $1.994 billion.

Newell closed at $5.58, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $5.85 and 200-day average of $4.73. The GekkoIndex reads 59.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 2.6 over five sessions. The stock trades 29.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.92.

Earnings are set for 30 October, 17 days out and inside a typical 20-day holding window; the last report matched EPS estimates at $0.18 with a 0.4% reaction, against an average absolute move of 19.8% historically. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -3.2% over five years, higher in 2 of them. Analyst consensus stands at Hold, with a target of $6.66 implying 19.4% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Newell Brands price vs fair value

▲$7.92$5.58Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $5.58200-day averageGekko Fair Value $7.92

Newell Brands quick facts

Market cap
$2.37B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
7.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.53
Revenue, TTM
$7.25B
Profit margin
-3%
Dividend yield
4.90%
Beta
0.87
Volume
3.48M avg 5.16M
1-year return
+12.0%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.5%
50-day average
$5.85
200-day average
$4.73
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
425.9M
52-week range
$3.07$7.13

Newell Brands swing-trade checklist

Newell Brands scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $5.58 sits between the 50-day ($5.85) and 200-day ($4.73) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.3, Neutral

    Reading 59.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.5% below

    Price is 29.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 18 days

    Reports on Oct 30, 2026, 18 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Newell Brands stock chart and price history

Newell Brands closed at $5.58 on Oct 12, 2026, +12.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.07 to $7.13.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Newell Brands share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$3$4$5$6NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct5.58

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.6%
3 months
+11.2%
6 months
+44.6%
1 year
+12.0%
The full NWL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NWL in Gekko

Follow Newell Brands through every session

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About Newell Brands

Newell Brands makes and sells a wide mix of everyday consumer and commercial goods, covering everything from kitchen appliances and food storage to writing instruments, baby gear, home security devices and outdoor equipment. Its name sits behind many familiar household brands, including Rubbermaid, Sharpie, Coleman, Graco, Yankee Candle, Crock-Pot and First Alert, among others spanning cleaning, cookware, stationery and camping gear.

The business is split into five segments: Commercial Solutions, Home Appliances, Home Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation, each built around its own set of brands and product lines. These goods reach customers through a broad mix of channels, including warehouse clubs, department and grocery stores, mass merchants, home improvement chains, office supply retailers, independent distributors, online platforms, sporting goods outlets and travel retail locations.

Newell Brands trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker NWL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
newellbrands.com

Newell Brands GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Newell Brands’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.3, in the Neutral zone, down 2.6 points over five sessions.

010059.3Neutral

Down 2.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying78+0.7%+1.9%+9.4%+7.4%
Accumulation211+0.6%+0.2%+0.3%+1.2%
Neutral (current zone)365+0.3%+0.5%−0.6%+0.1%
Distribution27−6.3%−9.2%−10.2%−10.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average NWL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NWL price, zone by zone.Track NWL in Gekko

Is Newell Brands stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Newell Brands trades 29.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Newell Brands shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$7.92

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

29.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 25.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$8$6Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NWL in Gekko

Newell Brands insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Newell Brands, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NWL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NWL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NWL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NWL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NWL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NWL in Gekko

Buybacks

Newell Brands has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2025
$4.00M
As a share of market cap
0.17%

From company filings.

Newell Brands earnings: next date and track record

Newell Brands reports on Oct 30, 2026 (18 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±19.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+16.0%Apr ’24+38.8%Jul ’24+32.7%Oct ’24−27.7%Feb ’250.0%Apr ’25−11.4%Aug ’25−31.6%Oct ’25+0.4%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Newell Brands reviewed fiscal 2025 results and outlined its 2026 outlook. Management emphasized progress on its multi-year turnaround: investments in front-end capabilities (brand building, innovation, marketing, go-to-market) and back-end operations (manufacturing, distribution, procurement, IT). Tariffs materially disrupted sales and required multiple pricing actions in 2025, which hurt consumer behavior and retail dynamics. Fourth quarter net sales were $1.9 billion (down 2.7% year-over-year) and core sales declined 4.1%, though core sales exceeded revised expectations late in the quarter driven by improved December POS, strong Baby product performance, and better-than-expected results in Argentina and Brazil. Normalized gross margin expanded to 33.9% (up 70 bps y/y; would be higher excluding tariff headwinds) and normalized operating margin was 8.7% (up 160 bps y/y). Management highlighted a materially larger innovation pipeline (25 Tier 1/2 innovations planned for 2026), continued A&P investment, reduced product lead times, and structural economics improvement (3-year stacked gross margin expansion). For 2026, management guided conservatively while expecting improvement: they planned for category decline of ~2% and guide core sales to be -2% to flat for the year, with Q1 expected to be the weakest quarter and Q2–Q4 implied to be modestly positive. Management emphasized being prudent in planning but expressed confidence in the innovation pipeline and the ability to respond to potential upside (e.g., possible tax-refund stimulus).
Guidance
Company guidance for fiscal 2026: embedded category assumption down ~2%; core sales guidance of -2% to flat for 2026. Q1 expected to be the low quarter (Mark cited net sales guidance at the midpoint down ~4% in Q1) with Q2–Q4 implied to be modestly positive (management described net sales of roughly +1% for Q2–Q4 at the midpoint). Management also called out approximately $0.07 of incremental tariff charges in Q1 and some higher interest expense in the near term.
Risks flagged
Tariff-related headwinds and resulting pricing actions that affected consumer behavior and retail dynamics; macro/consumer weakness (especially lower-income cohorts and 18–24 age group); competitive pricing pressure at lower end of categories; retailer shipment timing and inventory sell-through delays; Latin American market disruptions tied to tariff impacts; uncertainty around potential tax-refund stimulus impact and timing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 6, 2026$0.18
est $0.18
0.0%$1.90B
est $1.88B
+1.0%+0.4%
Oct 31, 2025$0.17
est $0.18
−5.6%$1.81B
est $1.88B
−3.9%−31.6%
Aug 1, 2025$0.24
est $0.24
0.0%$1.94B
est $1.95B
−0.6%−11.4%
Apr 30, 2025−$0.01
est −$0.07
+85.7%$1.57B
est $1.96B
−20.3%0.0%
Feb 7, 2025$0.16
est $0.14
+14.3%$1.95B
est $1.59B
+22.8%−27.7%
Oct 25, 2024$0.16
est $0.16
0.0%$1.95B
est $1.97B
−1.2%+32.7%
Jul 26, 2024$0.36
est $0.21
+71.4%$2.03B
est $2.05B
−0.6%+38.8%
Apr 26, 2024−$0.02
est −$0.07
+69.0%$1.65B
est $1.64B
+0.7%+16.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Newell Brands stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Newell Brands is $6.66, +19.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$6.66consensus 12-month target, +19.4% from the last close
Low $5High $11
Buy3
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6RBC CapitalHold, maintained$5−10.4%
Sep 13UBSHold, maintained$5.50−1.4%
Sep 9BarclaysBuy, maintained$7+25.4%
Aug 6Morgan StanleySell, maintained$5.75+3.0%
Aug 4CitiHold, maintained$6+7.5%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Newell Brands seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Newell Brands averaged −3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.3%2021−6.6%2022−4.0%2023+21.3%2024−34.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.5%3 of 5

For scale, NWL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.5%.

Newell Brands market cap and key statistics

Newell Brands’s market cap is $2.37B and revenue of $7.25B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.37B
Forward P/E
7.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.53
Gekko Fair Value
$7.92

Trading

Volume
3.48M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.16M
52-week high
$7.13
52-week low
$3.07
Shares outstanding
425.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.25B
Profit margin
-3%
Return on equity
-8.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+126.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.87
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.5%
Dividend yield
4.90%

Newell Brands stock news this week

Coverage of Newell Brands this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Newell Brands peers

Newell Brands’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMATApplied Materials−0.7%Neutral9.5% below
LRCXLam Research−1.7%Neutral4.7% above
PHParker-Hannifin−0.1%Neutral2.7% above
TTTrane Technologies+0.5%Neutral19.6% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−1.0%Neutral14.4% above
CARRCarrier Global+0.1%Accumulation4.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Newell Brands stock FAQ

What is Newell Brands’s market cap?

Newell Brands’s market cap is $2.37B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.58, with 425.9M shares outstanding.

What is the Newell Brands stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Newell Brands is $6.66, +19.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Newell Brands stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Newell Brands is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.58 is 29.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Newell Brands report earnings next?

Newell Brands is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (18 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.86B. Newell Brands beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 19.8% on average across the report.

What is Newell Brands’s 52-week high and low?

Newell Brands’s 52-week high is $7.13 and its 52-week low is $3.07; it closed at $5.58 on Oct 12, 2026, +12.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.45 on Feb 16, 2022.

Is Newell Brands stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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