NASDAQ: AMAT

Applied Materials (AMAT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Applied Materials, Inc. Producer manufacturing sector, industrial machinery industry. Market cap $353.0B.

$444.57+27.17 (+6.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Applied Materials closes at $444.57, up 6.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $501.12 and its 200-day average of $416.26. The GekkoIndex reads 64.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price remains 20.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.03.

Coverage this week centers on AI-driven demand for semiconductor equipment and comparative growth narratives among chip-related names. Applied Materials rose 4% alongside gains for Lam Research and KLA Corporation, attributed to anticipated future capital spending by chipmakers rather than current demand. Separate pieces compared its sales growth trajectory against Broadcom and Intel. The company also disclosed plans to invest $5 billion in India to expand semiconductor equipment R&D, supply-chain infrastructure, and local talent development, with reports differing on whether the investment spans a decade or four years.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 12 November 2026, after close, which sits outside this window at 53 days away. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded 5 buys and 0 sells, and in the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $9.0 million against put premium of $1.4 million. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 0.5%, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 28 firms includes 25 buy ratings, 3 hold, and a consensus target of $640.89.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $444.57200-day averageGekko Fair Value $557.03

Key stats

Market cap
$353.0B
P/E ratio
35.8
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
$11.65
Revenue, TTM
$30.84B
Profit margin
30%
Dividend yield
0.48%
Beta
1.60
Volume
14.01M avg 6.31M
1-year return
+149.6%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$501.12
200-day average
$416.26
Next earnings
Nov 12 after close
Shares outstanding
793.6M
52-week range
$183.83$739.67

Applied Materials swing-trade checklist

Applied Materials scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $444.57 sits between the 50-day ($501.12) and 200-day ($416.26) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.7, Accumulation

    Reading 64.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    20.2% below

    Price is 20.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 5 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 53 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 53 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Applied Materials stock chart and price history

Applied Materials closed at $444.57 on Sep 18, 2026, +149.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $183.83 to $739.67.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.4%
3 months
−28.0%
6 months
+24.5%
1 year
+149.6%
The full AMAT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMAT in Gekko

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About Applied Materials

Applied Materials makes the engineering tools and materials that chipmakers rely on to produce semiconductors. Its work centers on the equipment used in wafer fabrication, the process by which raw materials become the integrated circuits found in electronic devices. The company is recognized for supplying this equipment along with the design, production, and upkeep services that go with it.

The business runs through two segments. One, Semiconductor Systems, covers the design, manufacture, and sale of the machinery used to fabricate chips. The other, Applied Global Services, supports customers after installation, offering spare parts, maintenance, and factory automation software for fabrication plants around the world. Its customers are semiconductor manufacturers that operate these facilities.

Applied Materials was established on November 10, 1967, and its headquarters are in Santa Clara, California. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AMAT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
appliedmaterials.com

Applied Materials GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Applied Materials’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.

010064.7Accumulation

Up 0.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying13+5.1%+4.3%+13.4%+32.4%
Accumulation (current zone)177+0.3%+0.9%+3.1%+7.7%
Neutral402+1.2%+2.2%+4.2%+11.7%
Distribution65+1.4%+3.3%+3.1%+5.4%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average AMAT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMAT price, zone by zone.Track AMAT in Gekko

Is Applied Materials stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Applied Materials trades 20.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.03, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Applied Materials shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$557.03

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

20.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMAT in Gekko

Applied Materials insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Applied Materials, and members of Congress disclosed 5 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AMAT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AMAT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMAT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

5trades disclosed: 5 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Josh Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 15
traded Aug 6
John McGuire
House, VA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 15
John J. McGuire
House, VA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 14
Jared Moskowitz
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 28
traded Jul 13
Jared Moskowitz
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 28
traded Jul 12

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Applied Materials has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 26, 2026
$440.0M
As a share of market cap
0.12%
Trailing four quarters
$2.03B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 87% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 5, $10.41M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

6of the funds Gekko tracks hold AMAT.

0added1opened5trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Applied Materials earnings: next date and track record

Applied Materials reports on Nov 12, 2026, after the close (53 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.6%Nov ’24−6.5%Feb ’25−4.9%May ’25−14.9%Aug ’25−3.3%Dec ’25+4.4%Feb ’260.0%May ’26−7.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Applied Materials delivered record-breaking Q3 fiscal 2026 results, including the highest quarter-on-quarter revenue growth in company history. AI infrastructure buildout is driving unprecedented semiconductor demand, with customers providing 8-quarter rolling forecasts. Management has made upward revisions to its 2026 revenue growth forecast and expects to outpace overall market growth. AI investments are accelerating R&D, improving margins, and enabling faster operational scaling.
Guidance
Management expressed high confidence that 2027 will be another strong growth year. Applied expects to grow faster than the overall market in 2026. A new EPIC Center in Silicon Valley is set to begin operations, supporting long-term technology and capacity initiatives.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$3.50
est $3.38
+3.6%$9.12B
est $8.99B
+1.3%−7.5%
May 14, 2026$2.86
est $2.68
+6.7%$7.91B
est $7.68B
+3.0%0.0%
Feb 12, 2026$2.38
est $2.21
+7.7%$7.01B
est $6.87B
+2.1%+4.4%
Dec 12, 2025$2.17
est $2.11
+2.8%$6.80B
est $6.68B
+1.7%−3.3%
Aug 14, 2025$2.48
est $2.36
+5.1%$7.30B
est $7.22B
+1.1%−14.9%
May 15, 2025$2.39
est $2.31
+3.5%$7.10B
est $7.13B
−0.4%−4.9%
Feb 13, 2025$2.38
est $2.28
+4.4%$7.17B
est $7.15B
+0.3%−6.5%
Nov 14, 2024$2.32
est $2.19
+5.9%$7.05B
est $6.96B
+1.2%−7.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Applied Materials stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Applied Materials is $640.89, +44.2% from the last close, from 28 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$640.89consensus 12-month target, +44.2% from the last close
Low $585High $900
Buy25
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 28 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 2BernsteinBuy, maintained$700+57.5%
Sep 1UBSBuy, maintained$695+56.3%
Sep 1Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$670+50.7%
Aug 25Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$590+32.7%
Aug 24Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$590+32.7%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Applied Materials seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Applied Materials averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.7%2021−17.1%2022+3.6%2023−6.8%2024+18.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.9%2 of 5

For scale, AMAT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

Applied Materials market cap and key statistics

Applied Materials’s market cap is $353.0B, with a P/E ratio of 35.8 and revenue of $30.84B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$353.0B
P/E ratio
35.8
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
$11.65
Gekko Fair Value
$557.03

Trading

Volume
14.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.31M
52-week high
$739.67
52-week low
$183.83
Shares outstanding
793.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$30.84B
Profit margin
30%
Return on equity
41.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+42.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.60
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
Dividend yield
0.48%

Applied Materials peers

Applied Materials’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+5.0%Accumulation0.3% below
PHParker-Hannifin+2.0%Accumulation1.9% above
TTTrane Technologies+2.0%Accumulation6.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International+1.6%Accumulation8.6% above
CARRCarrier Global−1.4%Buying10.3% below
JBLJabil+0.1%Accumulation1.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Applied Materials stock FAQ

What is Applied Materials’s market cap?

Applied Materials’s market cap is $353.0B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $444.57, with 793.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 35.8.

What is the Applied Materials stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Applied Materials is $640.89, +44.2% from the last close. Of the 28 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 25 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Applied Materials stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Applied Materials is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $444.57 is 20.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.03. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Applied Materials report earnings next?

Applied Materials is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, after the market closes (53 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.05 per share on revenue of $10.31B. Applied Materials beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.

What is Applied Materials’s 52-week high and low?

Applied Materials’s 52-week high is $739.67 and its 52-week low is $183.83; it closed at $444.57 on Sep 18, 2026, +149.6% over the past year.

Is Applied Materials stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Applied Materials?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Applied Materials over the last 30 days, with $9.04M of flagged premium in calls and $1.37M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 5, 2026 with $10.41M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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