NASDAQ: LRCX

Lam Research (LRCX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$221.43−9.29 (−4.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Lam Research's shares moved this week on a mix of record financial results and emerging operational concerns. The company reported record fiscal first-quarter revenue and adjusted EPS, with operating margin exceeding 40% for the first time, driven by AI-fueled semiconductor demand, and calendar 2026 systems revenue is expected to grow over 40% year-on-year. Shares fell 4.14% on 2 November amid supply constraints, moderating sales guidance from China, executive stock sales, and institutional profit-taking, even as shareholders backed the board and pay plan at the annual meeting. The stock also saw continued insider share sales via Form 4 filings during the period.

LRCX closed at $221.43, down 4% from the prior close, with the price sitting below both its 50-day average of $289.28 and 200-day average of $284.33. Over the past month the stock has declined 33.7%, extending a three-month drop of 27.6%, though it remains up 37.3% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 69.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. The price sits 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $270.81.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 27 January 2027, after close, placing it outside the typical 20-trading-day window. Smart money activity over the last 90 days shows 1 Congressional buy and 0 sells, alongside holdings from 3 billionaire investors and 5 trailblazer holders. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.7% gain over the past 5 years, rising in 5 of those years. Analyst consensus among 23 firms stands at 21 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $364.03.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Lam Research price vs fair value

$270.81$221.43Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $221.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $270.81

Lam Research quick facts

Market cap
$277.1B
P/E ratio
33.9
Forward P/E
24.8
EPS, TTM
$6.71
Revenue, TTM
$26.13B
Profit margin
32.3%
Dividend yield
0.46%
Beta
2.01
Volume
14.52M avg 11.29M
1-year return
+37.3%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%
50-day average
$289.28
200-day average
$284.33
Next earnings
Jan 27 after close
Shares outstanding
1.25B
52-week range
$135.50$438.50

Lam Research swing-trade checklist

Lam Research scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $221.43 sits between the 50-day ($289.28) and 200-day ($284.33) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.8, Accumulation

    Reading 69.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.2% below

    Price is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 83 days

    Next report Jan 27, 2027, 83 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.7% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Lam Research stock chart and price history

Lam Research closed at $221.43 on Nov 4, 2026, +37.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $135.50 to $438.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Lam Research share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$300$400DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct221.43

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−33.7%
3 months
−27.6%
6 months
−25.5%
1 year
+37.3%
The full LRCX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LRCX in Gekko

Follow Lam Research through every session

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About Lam Research

Lam Research makes the machines that chipmakers use to build integrated circuits, covering everything from design and manufacturing to sales, repair, and maintenance of that equipment. It is best known for its wide range of deposition and etching tools, sold under names such as ALTUS, SABRE, VECTOR, and Striker for depositing films, and Flex, Kiyo, Syndion, and Versys for etching processes. Its catalog also includes wafer cleaning systems like Da Vinci and EOS, bevel cleaning tools such as Coronus, and Metryx systems for measuring wafer mass during production.

The company's business centers on supplying this equipment and related services to semiconductor manufacturers worldwide, reaching customers across the United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and other markets.

Lam Research was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LRCX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
lamresearch.com

Lam Research GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Lam Research’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 points over five sessions.

010069.8Accumulation

Up 3.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+6.8%+6.9%+11.0%+22.9%
Accumulation (current zone)160+0.8%+2.7%+4.5%+11.5%
Neutral439+0.9%+1.5%+4.2%+11.8%
Distribution77+1.7%+3.5%+4.5%+10.4%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average LRCX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LRCX price, zone by zone.Track LRCX in Gekko

Is Lam Research stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Lam Research trades 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $270.81, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Lam Research shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$270.81

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$271$231Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LRCX in Gekko

Lam Research insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lam Research, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LRCX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LRCX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LRCX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
David Taylor
House, OH, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 30
traded Oct 15

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Lam Research has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026
$1.02B
As a share of market cap
0.37%
Trailing four quarters
$3.90B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

8of the funds Gekko tracks hold LRCX.

0added3opened5trimmed3sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Lam Research earnings: next date and track record

Lam Research reports on Jan 27, 2027, after the close (83 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+8.3%Jan ’25+11.7%Apr ’25−4.1%Jul ’25+1.7%Oct ’25+4.1%Jan ’26+0.1%Apr ’26+10.4%Jul ’26−12.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Lam Research delivered record revenue, gross margin, operating margin, and EPS in the September 2026 quarter, with operating margin exceeding 40% for the first time. Calendar year 2026 systems revenue is expected to grow over 40% year-on-year, driven by AI-fueled semiconductor demand. DRAM and foundry logic accounted for ~80% of systems revenue growth YTD. WFE for 2026 is expected in the mid-$150 billion range.
Guidance
2027 WFE outlook exceeds $200 billion, led by DRAM, then foundry logic and NAND. Supply chain constraints and cleanroom availability may limit near-term fulfillment. Lam expects its third consecutive year of WFE outperformance in 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 21, 2026$2.20
est $2.18
+0.9%$8.22B
est $8.14B
+1.0%−12.6%
Jul 29, 2026$1.82
est $1.69
+7.7%$6.72B
est $6.66B
+0.9%+10.4%
Apr 22, 2026$1.47
est $1.35
+8.9%$5.84B
est $5.75B
+1.6%+0.1%
Jan 28, 2026$1.27
est $1.17
+8.5%$5.34B
est $5.23B
+2.1%+4.1%
Oct 22, 2025$1.26
est $1.22
+3.3%$5.32B
est $5.22B
+1.9%+1.7%
Jul 30, 2025$1.33
est $1.21
+9.9%$5.17B
est $5.00B
+3.3%−4.1%
Apr 23, 2025$1.04
est $1.00
+4.0%$4.72B
est $4.64B
+1.7%+11.7%
Jan 29, 2025$0.91
est $0.88
+3.6%$4.38B
est $4.32B
+1.4%+8.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Lam Research stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lam Research is $364.03, +64.4% from the last close, from 23 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$364.03consensus 12-month target, +64.4% from the last close
Low $290High $500
Buy21
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 23 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2BernsteinBuy, maintained$350+58.1%
Oct 25BernsteinBuy, maintained$350+58.1%
Oct 23DBSBuy, maintained$416+87.9%
Oct 22Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$425+91.9%
Oct 22KeyBancHold, maintained——
+4.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Lam Research seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Lam Research averaged +7.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.5%2021+7.9%2022+9.1%2023+5.6%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.0%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.7%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%4 of 5

For scale, LRCX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.4%.

Lam Research market cap and key statistics

Lam Research’s market cap is $277.1B, with a P/E ratio of 33.9 and revenue of $26.13B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$277.1B
P/E ratio
33.9
Forward P/E
24.8
EPS, TTM
$6.71
Gekko Fair Value
$270.81

Trading

Volume
14.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
11.29M
52-week high
$438.50
52-week low
$135.50
Shares outstanding
1.25B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$26.13B
Profit margin
32.3%
Return on equity
70.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+76.6%

Risk and income

Beta
2.01
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%
Dividend yield
0.46%

Lam Research peers

Lam Research’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMATApplied Materials−1.1%Accumulation29.1% below
PHParker-Hannifin−4.5%Accumulation2.4% below
TTTrane Technologies−2.0%Accumulation3.3% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−3.7%Accumulation6.8% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.7%Neutral0.0% above
IRIngersoll Rand−1.4%Neutral16.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Industrial machinery

Lam Research stock FAQ

What is Lam Research’s market cap?

Lam Research’s market cap is $277.1B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $221.43, with 1.25B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.9.

What is the Lam Research stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lam Research is $364.03, +64.4% from the last close. Of the 23 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 21 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Lam Research stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Lam Research is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $221.43 is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $270.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Lam Research report earnings next?

Lam Research is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027, after the market closes (83 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.34 per share on revenue of $8.63B. Lam Research beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is Lam Research’s 52-week high and low?

Lam Research’s 52-week high is $438.50 and its 52-week low is $135.50; it closed at $221.43 on Nov 4, 2026, +37.3% over the past year.

Is Lam Research stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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