NASDAQ: UCTT

Ultra Clean (UCTT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$63.51−5.08 (−7.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Ultra Clean fell sector-wide this week, including a 6.0% drop that took shares to $67.14 amid broad selling across semiconductor equipment makers, before an upgrade on 12 October shifted a prior strong sell rating to buy, citing improving margins and profitability alongside revenue growth. UBS also trimmed its price target to $135 from $150 while keeping a buy rating, tied to the company's second-quarter results and third-quarter outlook linked to capacity expansion. Separately, Ultra Clean confirmed its third-quarter 2026 results will arrive after market close on 27 October, with a conference call the same day.

UCTT closed at $63.51, down 7.4%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $75.59 and 200-day average of $73.09, reflecting a mixed trend after a one-month return of -14.2% and a three-month return of -38.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 7.8 over five days. Price sits 29.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.53.

Earnings are due 27 October, 14 days out, placing the report inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.15 against an estimate of $0.44 with a 1.5% reaction, and average absolute moves on earnings have run 11.2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 20-day return of 9.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Consensus among 6 firms stands at buy, with a target of 134.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ultra Clean price vs fair value

$90.53$63.51Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $63.51200-day averageGekko Fair Value $90.53

Ultra Clean quick facts

Market cap
$2.85B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
−$0.51
Revenue, TTM
$2.20B
Profit margin
-1.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.86
Volume
1.33M avg 997,139
1-year return
+128.0%
Typical daily move
±7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$75.59
200-day average
$73.09
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
45.28M
52-week range
$21.49$144.22

Ultra Clean swing-trade checklist

Ultra Clean scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $63.51 sits between the 50-day ($75.59) and 200-day ($73.09) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.5, Accumulation

    Reading 66.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.8% below

    Price is 29.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 15 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ultra Clean stock chart and price history

Ultra Clean closed at $63.51 on Oct 12, 2026, +128.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.49 to $144.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ultra Clean share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$50$75$100$125NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct63.51

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.2%
3 months
−38.8%
6 months
−17.5%
1 year
+128.0%
The full UCTT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UCTT in Gekko

Follow Ultra Clean through every session

Put UCTT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ultra Clean

Ultra Clean builds the subsystems, precision parts, and cleaning and verification services that semiconductor equipment makers rely on. Its hardware ranges from valves, connectors, hoses, gauges and heaters for gas lines to chemical and gas delivery systems that move liquids and gases to reaction chambers. It also produces robotic systems, frame assemblies, and process modules used inside the tools that print circuits onto wafers, along with industrial and automation machinery and fluid delivery units built from tubing, filters, flow controllers and control electronics.

Beyond manufacturing these components, Ultra Clean cleans and coats tool chamber parts and runs micro-contamination testing on wafers, chemicals, cleanroom materials, water and airborne particles, verifying how clean process equipment really is. Its main customers are equipment and device makers in the semiconductor industry, though it also works with companies in display, consumer products, medical devices, energy, industrial equipment and research.

The company was established in 1991 and is headquartered in Hayward, California. Its shares, under the short name Ultra Clean, are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker UCTT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
uct.com

Ultra Clean GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ultra Clean’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.8 points over five sessions.

010066.5Accumulation

Up 7.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+3.5%+5.4%+0.4%+4.4%
Accumulation (current zone)185+1.0%+1.2%+2.2%+17.0%
Neutral406+0.7%+1.9%+4.3%+7.8%
Distribution52+0.9%+1.9%+4.2%+13.5%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average UCTT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UCTT price, zone by zone.Track UCTT in Gekko

Is Ultra Clean stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ultra Clean trades 29.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ultra Clean shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$90.53

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

29.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 44.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$91$69Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UCTT in Gekko

Ultra Clean insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ultra Clean, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UCTT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UCTT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UCTT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UCTT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UCTT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UCTT in Gekko

Buybacks

Ultra Clean has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 27, 2026
$40.00M
As a share of market cap
1.40%

From company filings.

Ultra Clean earnings: next date and track record

Ultra Clean reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.3%Oct ’24−30.7%Feb ’25−14.6%Apr ’25+2.6%Jul ’25−6.0%Oct ’25+21.7%Feb ’26−11.2%Apr ’26+1.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UCTT reported increased demand across both products and services in Q2 2026, driven by AI infrastructure investment reshaping semiconductor capital equipment. The company is expanding capacity, adding 26,000 sq ft of clean room space in Malaysia, with plans to support a $4B annualized revenue run rate at $200B WFE by mid-2027. UCT 3.0 strategy pillars include NPX product development, digital transformation, and global manufacturing expansion.
Guidance
Management is targeting a $4B annualized revenue run rate supporting $200B WFE by mid-2027, with evaluation underway for a $5B revenue run rate at $250B WFE. Capacity expansions in Singapore and Czech Republic are planned for coming quarters.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.15
est $0.44
−65.9%$644.9M
est $587.6M
+9.7%+1.5%
Apr 28, 2026$0.31
est $0.24
+29.2%$533.7M
est $525.3M
+1.6%−11.2%
Feb 23, 2026$0.22
est $0.23
−4.3%$506.6M
est $503.3M
+0.6%+21.7%
Oct 28, 2025$0.28
est $0.24
+16.7%$510.0M
est $503.3M
+1.3%−6.0%
Jul 28, 2025$0.27
est $0.27
0.0%$518.8M
est $499.6M
+3.8%+2.6%
Apr 28, 2025$0.28
est $0.31
−9.7%$518.6M
est $526.1M
−1.4%−14.6%
Feb 24, 2025$0.51
est $0.44
+15.9%$563.3M
est $559.2M
+0.7%−30.7%
Oct 28, 2024$0.35
est $0.36
−2.8%$540.4M
est $559.2M
−3.4%−1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ultra Clean stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ultra Clean is $134.00, +111.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$134.00consensus 12-month target, +111.0% from the last close
Low $120High $150
Buy6
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, initiated$127+100.0%
Aug 4Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$120+88.9%
Aug 4UBSBuy, maintained$150+136.2%
Aug 4NeedhamBuy, reiterated$125+96.8%
Aug 4OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$150+136.2%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ultra Clean seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Ultra Clean averaged +9.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+38.8%2021+20.8%2022−12.4%2023+1.2%2024+2.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.7%2 of 5

For scale, UCTT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.

Ultra Clean market cap and key statistics

Ultra Clean’s market cap is $2.85B and revenue of $2.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.85B
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
−$0.51
Gekko Fair Value
$90.53

Trading

Volume
1.33M
Avg volume, 20 days
997,139
52-week high
$144.22
52-week low
$21.49
Shares outstanding
45.28M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.20B
Profit margin
-1.1%
Return on equity
-1.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−40.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.86
Typical daily move
±7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%

Ultra Clean peers

Ultra Clean’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMATApplied Materials−0.7%Neutral9.5% below
LRCXLam Research−1.7%Neutral4.7% above
PHParker-Hannifin−0.1%Neutral2.7% above
TTTrane Technologies+0.5%Neutral19.6% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−1.0%Neutral14.4% above
CARRCarrier Global+0.1%Accumulation4.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ultra Clean stock FAQ

What is Ultra Clean’s market cap?

Ultra Clean’s market cap is $2.85B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.51, with 45.28M shares outstanding.

What is the Ultra Clean stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ultra Clean is $134.00, +111.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ultra Clean stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ultra Clean is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.51 is 29.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ultra Clean report earnings next?

Ultra Clean is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.94 per share on revenue of $727.6M. Ultra Clean beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.2% on average across the report.

What is Ultra Clean’s 52-week high and low?

Ultra Clean’s 52-week high is $144.22 and its 52-week low is $21.49; it closed at $63.51 on Oct 12, 2026, +128.0% over the past year.

Is Ultra Clean stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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