NYSE: ESAB

ESAB (ESAB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$67.25−4.66 (−6.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

ESAB shares fell 6.5% to $67.25 this week, with a separate report citing a 7.3% drop to $66.68. The decline follows a court ruling in South Carolina finding ESAB and France-based Altrad Group liable for historical asbestos operations tied to Cape Asbestos Co. Ltd., and comes as BofA Securities lowered its price target on the stock to $122 from $142. Coverage otherwise notes that analysts largely maintain "Buy" ratings even as some firms trim targets, alongside comparisons of ESAB against peers in the industrial machinery space.

The stock trades at $67.25, down 14.9% over one month and 38.8% over the past year, sitting below both its 50-day average of $79.04 and its 200-day average of $99.02, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.3, placing ESAB in the Accumulation zone. Fair value work puts Gekko Fair Value at $91.92, leaving the current price 26.8% below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns to earnings on 4 November, which falls 36 days out, beyond a typical short-term holding window. Smart money data shows 2 Congress buys and 0 sells within the last 90 days. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged a 3.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 4 years, rising in 3 of them. The 26.8% gap to Gekko Fair Value and the pending asbestos litigation both bear watching.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

ESAB price vs fair value

$91.92$67.25Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $67.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $91.92

ESAB quick facts

Market cap
$4.09B
P/E ratio
22.5
Forward P/E
10.7
EPS, TTM
$3.19
Revenue, TTM
$3.00B
Profit margin
5.8%
Dividend yield
0.62%
Beta
1.13
Volume
1.18M avg 966,694
1-year return
−38.8%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
50-day average
$79.04
200-day average
$99.02
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
62.14M
52-week range
$64.83$137.42

ESAB swing-trade checklist

ESAB scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $67.25 is below the 50-day ($79.04) and 200-day ($99.02) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.3, Accumulation

    Reading 65.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    26.8% below

    Price is 26.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 4 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ESAB stock chart and price history

ESAB closed at $67.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −38.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $64.83 to $137.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ESAB share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep67.25

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.9%
3 months
−31.6%
6 months
−26.6%
1 year
−38.8%
The full ESAB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ESAB in Gekko

Follow ESAB through every session

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About ESAB

ESAB makes and sells consumable products and equipment used in cutting, joining, and welding work, along with gas control systems. Its range includes welding materials such as electrodes, wires, and fluxes made from a variety of specialty materials, plus cutting supplies like nozzles, tips, and shields. The company is recognized for pairing these consumables with fabrication equipment that spans small portable welding units to larger, custom-built automated cutting and welding systems.

Beyond physical products, ESAB offers digital tools meant to help customers monitor welding work remotely, manage documentation, and improve overall efficiency. All of these products and services are sold under the ESAB name, reaching customers in fields such as general manufacturing, construction, infrastructure, transportation, energy production, and medical and life sciences work. The company reaches its customers both through independent distribution partners and through its own direct sales staff.

ESAB was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ESAB.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
esabcorporation.com

ESAB GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ESAB’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.8 points over five sessions.

010065.3Accumulation

Down 6.8 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+0.6%+1.4%+4.2%−1.3%
Accumulation (current zone)227+0.6%+0.9%+1.1%+1.4%
Neutral354−0.7%−1.3%−2.0%−2.3%
Distribution53+1.1%+2.1%+4.4%+4.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ESAB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ESAB price, zone by zone.Track ESAB in Gekko

Is ESAB stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ESAB trades 26.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $91.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ESAB shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$91.92

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

26.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ESAB in Gekko

ESAB insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ESAB, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ESAB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ESAB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ESAB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Thomas Kean
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 19
traded Jul 7
Thomas Kean
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 19
traded Jul 6

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

ESAB earnings: next date and track record

ESAB reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.2%May ’24−5.5%Aug ’24+12.6%Oct ’24+0.5%Feb ’25+0.7%Apr ’25−12.2%Aug ’25+0.9%Oct ’25+1.0%Mar ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Mar 10, 2026$1.35
est $1.35
0.0%——+1.0%
Oct 27, 2025$1.32
est $1.25
+5.6%$727.8M
est $707.7M
+2.9%+0.9%
Aug 6, 2025$1.36
est $1.34
+1.5%$715.6M
est $665.7M
+7.5%−12.2%
Apr 29, 2025$1.25
est $1.21
+3.6%$678.1M
est $657.0M
+3.2%+0.7%
Feb 26, 2025$1.28
est $1.16
+9.9%——+0.5%
Oct 29, 2024$1.25
est $1.12
+11.6%$673.3M
est $641.8M
+4.9%+12.6%
Aug 2, 2024$1.32
est $1.27
+3.9%$707.1M
est $694.2M
+1.9%−5.5%
May 1, 2024$1.20
est $1.10
+9.1%$689.7M
est $660.9M
+4.4%−2.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ESAB stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ESAB is $126.91, +88.7% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$126.91consensus 12-month target, +88.7% from the last close
Low $130High $145
Buy5
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15UBSBuy, maintained$145+115.6%
Sep 15Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$133+97.8%
Aug 10Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$151+124.5%
Aug 7D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$130+93.3%
Aug 7Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$132+96.3%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ESAB seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, ESAB averaged +3.7% across the last 4 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.6%2022−10.2%2023+4.8%2024+10.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.1%2 of 4
Next 10 trading days+1.4%2 of 4
Next 15 trading days+4.1%3 of 4
Next 20 trading days+3.7%3 of 4
Next 30 trading days+15.6%4 of 4

For scale, ESAB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.

ESAB market cap and key statistics

ESAB’s market cap is $4.09B, with a P/E ratio of 22.5 and revenue of $3.00B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.09B
P/E ratio
22.5
Forward P/E
10.7
EPS, TTM
$3.19
Gekko Fair Value
$91.92

Trading

Volume
1.18M
Avg volume, 20 days
966,694
52-week high
$137.42
52-week low
$64.83
Shares outstanding
62.14M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.00B
Profit margin
5.8%
Return on equity
8.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−54.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
Dividend yield
0.62%

ESAB stock news this week

Coverage of ESAB this week reads negative: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

ESAB peers

ESAB’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ESAB stock FAQ

What is ESAB’s market cap?

ESAB’s market cap is $4.09B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $67.25, with 62.14M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.5.

What is the ESAB stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ESAB is $126.91, +88.7% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ESAB stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ESAB is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $67.25 is 26.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $91.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ESAB report earnings next?

ESAB is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.34 per share on revenue of $793.2M. ESAB beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is ESAB’s 52-week high and low?

ESAB’s 52-week high is $137.42 and its 52-week low is $64.83; it closed at $67.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −38.8% over the past year.

Is ESAB stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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