NASDAQ: MIDD

Middleby (MIDD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$106.68−0.98 (−0.9%)

Gekko Brief

Middleby closed at $106.68 on 28 September 2026, -0.9% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($119.04) and 200-day ($142.38) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $104.24 to $176.44. The GekkoIndex reads 66.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $121.30, so the price is 12.1% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 37 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 7.6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -2.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

7 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $155.89. A typical daily move is about 2.9%, and a typical 20-day move about 5.9%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Middleby price vs fair value

$121.30$106.68Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $106.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $121.30

Middleby quick facts

Market cap
$4.82B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$6.40
Revenue, TTM
$3.39B
Profit margin
-13.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.33
Volume
545,650 avg 605,846
1-year return
−19.0%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$119.04
200-day average
$142.38
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
45.22M
52-week range
$104.24$176.44

Middleby swing-trade checklist

Middleby scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $106.68 is below the 50-day ($119.04) and 200-day ($142.38) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.2, Accumulation

    Reading 66.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.1% below

    Price is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Middleby stock chart and price history

Middleby closed at $106.68 on Sep 28, 2026, −19.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $104.24 to $176.44.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Middleby share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep106.68

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.1%
3 months
−38.3%
6 months
−17.1%
1 year
−19.0%
The full MIDD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MIDD in Gekko

Follow Middleby through every session

Put MIDD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Middleby

Middleby designs, builds, markets and services equipment used in commercial kitchens, industrial food production, and home kitchens. It is known for a wide catalogue of cooking, warming, refrigeration, and beverage equipment supplied to restaurants and other professional kitchen operators, alongside machinery used by manufacturers of packaged foods and appliances sold for household use.

The company organizes its work into three groups. One serves professional foodservice operations with ovens, fryers, grills, ventilation, refrigeration, ice machines, and drink and brewing equipment, including connected IoT features. Another supplies industrial-scale machinery for processing, slicing, mixing, forming, coating, filling, freezing and packaging food, used by makers of products such as sausages, poultry, lunchmeat, muffins, cookies and bread. The third produces high-end residential kitchen appliances, including cookers, dishwashers, cooktops, wine coolers, ice machines and outdoor kitchen equipment. Its business reaches customers across the United States, Canada, Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Latin America.

Middleby traces its origins to 1888, when it started as the Middleby Marshall Oven Company, and it took on its present name in 1985. The company is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MIDD.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
middleby.com

Middleby GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Middleby’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010066.2Accumulation

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying62+0.8%−0.2%+1.9%+8.8%
Accumulation (current zone)226−0.2%+0.7%+1.9%+4.7%
Neutral3550.0%−0.4%−1.7%−4.2%
Distribution23−0.4%−1.0%−2.0%−7.2%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average MIDD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MIDD price, zone by zone.Track MIDD in Gekko

Is Middleby stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Middleby trades 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $121.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Middleby shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$121.30

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

12.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MIDD in Gekko

Middleby insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Middleby, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MIDD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MIDD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MIDD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MIDD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MIDD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MIDD in Gekko

Buybacks

Middleby has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 4, 2026
$207.1M
As a share of market cap
4.29%
Trailing four quarters
$939.8M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MIDD.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Middleby earnings: next date and track record

Middleby reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.3%Oct ’24−1.7%Feb ’25+3.1%May ’25−17.0%Aug ’25−0.2%Nov ’25+7.0%Feb ’26+15.6%May ’26−8.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Middleby completed its business transformation by spinning off its food processing business (MDF) and selling a controlling stake in residential kitchen to 26 North, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders including $200 million in Q2. Commercial Foodservice delivered 8%+ organic revenue growth in Q2, the second consecutive quarter of organic growth. However, EBITDA margins missed expectations due to ice/beverage platform mix (~400bps lower margins) and accelerated inflationary pressures from ocean freight and steel surcharges.
Guidance
Management raised second-half revenue guidance with confidence in continued organic growth momentum. Three-year targets include 3-6% organic sales growth, 6-9% adjusted EBITDA growth, and 10-15% adjusted EPS growth. Sequential margin improvements expected in Q3 and Q4 despite persistent near-term pressures.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026$1.74
est $2.09
−16.7%$630.6M
est $837.0M
−24.7%−8.7%
May 7, 2026$2.16
est $1.94
+11.3%$839.9M
est $777.2M
+8.1%+15.6%
Feb 26, 2026$2.14
est $2.28
−6.1%$866.4M
est $986.1M
−12.1%+7.0%
Nov 6, 2025$2.37
est $2.03
+16.7%$982.1M
est $1.01B
−2.8%−0.2%
Aug 6, 2025$2.35
est $2.20
+6.8%$977.9M
est $968.2M
+1.0%−17.0%
May 7, 2025$2.08
est $1.94
+7.2%$906.6M
est $1.01B
−10.4%+3.1%
Feb 25, 2025$2.88
est $2.50
+15.2%$1.01B
est $945.9M
+7.2%−1.7%
Oct 31, 2024$2.33
est $2.48
−6.0%$942.8M
est $995.2M
−5.3%−7.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Middleby stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Middleby is $155.89, +46.1% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$155.89consensus 12-month target, +46.1% from the last close
Low $147High $160
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$147+37.8%
Sep 15J.P. MorganBuy, upgraded$147+37.8%
Sep 1Canaccord GenuityBuy, reiterated$160+50.0%
Aug 12J.P. MorganHold, maintained$141+32.2%
Aug 12OppenheimerBuy, maintained$160+50.0%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Middleby seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Middleby averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.1%2021+5.1%2022−12.4%2023+0.8%2024−1.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.3%2 of 5

For scale, MIDD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

Middleby market cap and key statistics

Middleby’s market cap is $4.82B, with a P/E ratio of 16.9 and revenue of $3.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.82B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$6.40
Gekko Fair Value
$121.30

Trading

Volume
545,650
Avg volume, 20 days
605,846
52-week high
$176.44
52-week low
$104.24
Shares outstanding
45.22M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.39B
Profit margin
-13.9%
Return on equity
11%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.33
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%

Middleby stock news this week

1 headline about Middleby from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Middleby peers

Middleby’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Middleby stock FAQ

What is Middleby’s market cap?

Middleby’s market cap is $4.82B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $106.68, with 45.22M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.9.

What is the Middleby stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Middleby is $155.89, +46.1% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Middleby stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Middleby is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $106.68 is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $121.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Middleby report earnings next?

Middleby is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.74 per share on revenue of $634.0M. Middleby beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.6% on average across the report.

What is Middleby’s 52-week high and low?

Middleby’s 52-week high is $176.44 and its 52-week low is $104.24; it closed at $106.68 on Sep 28, 2026, −19.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $201.34 on Feb 9, 2022.

Is Middleby stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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