NYSE: KAI

Kadant (KAI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$261.23+0.80 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week Argus lowered its price target on Kadant to $296.00 even as the stock traded near $260.43, while Barrington maintained a Buy rating with a $380 price target and flagged an upcoming CEO transition, with Michael C. Colwell set to take over in January 2027. Separately, Kadant's Q2 2026 results showed revenue up 23% year-over-year to $313 million, a figure referenced again as the stock slipped 2.16% to close at $257.97 on 7 October.

Kadant closed at $261.23, up 0.3%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $293.58 and its 200-day average of $308.88, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 1.9%, and over three and six months it has fallen 12.9% and 20.3% respectively. The GekkoIndex reading of 66.1 places the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $266.89, putting the current price 2.1% below that level.

Kadant's next earnings report is set for 3 November 2026, 21 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 5 May 2026 produced a 14.4% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have averaged a 9.6% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting given the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Kadant price vs fair value

$266.89$261.23Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $261.23200-day averageGekko Fair Value $266.89

Kadant quick facts

Market cap
$3.08B
P/E ratio
28
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$9.30
Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
9.5%
Dividend yield
0.54%
Beta
1.20
Volume
82,175 avg 155,658
1-year return
−8.8%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$293.58
200-day average
$308.88
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
11.81M
52-week range
$244.87$354.07

Kadant swing-trade checklist

Kadant scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $261.23 is below the 50-day ($293.58) and 200-day ($308.88) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.1, Accumulation

    Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Kadant stock chart and price history

Kadant closed at $261.23 on Oct 12, 2026, −8.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $244.87 to $354.07.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Kadant share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$280$300$320$340NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct261.23

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.9%
3 months
−12.9%
6 months
−20.3%
1 year
−8.8%
The full KAI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KAI in Gekko

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About Kadant

Kadant provides engineered equipment and technology systems to industrial customers around the world. Its work spans fluid-handling products such as rotary joints, syphons, expansion joints, and steam and condensate systems, along with doctor blades, cleaning showers, forming systems and water-filtration equipment. It is also known for machinery used in wood and pulp processing, including debarkers, chippers, strander equipment, and knife systems, as well as vibratory and conveying equipment and components for baling recyclable materials.

The company is organized into three segments. Flow Control covers fluid-handling and fabric-conditioning systems. Industrial Processing covers wood, pulp, and recycling equipment, along with industrial automation products and boiler cleaning technology. Material Handling covers vibratory and conveying equipment, baling components, and fiber-based products. Kadant reaches its customers through a mix of direct sales, independent sales agents, and distributors.

Kadant was incorporated in 1991 and was previously named Thermo Fibertek, Inc. before adopting its current name in July 2001. It is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts. The company's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker KAI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
kadant.com

Kadant GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Kadant’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2 points over five sessions.

010066.1Accumulation

Up 2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+4.6%+3.8%+6.1%+11.3%
Accumulation (current zone)240+0.3%+0.6%+0.2%+2.8%
Neutral360−0.7%−1.0%−0.3%−1.6%
Distribution40+3.3%+4.5%−0.2%−3.9%
Selling11+0.5%+5.1%+10.0%+5.9%

Average KAI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KAI price, zone by zone.Track KAI in Gekko

Is Kadant stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Kadant trades 2.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $266.89, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Kadant shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$266.89

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

2.1% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$267$260Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KAI in Gekko

Kadant insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Kadant, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KAI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KAI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KAI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KAI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KAI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KAI in Gekko

Buybacks

Kadant has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Apr 4, 2026
$4.92M
As a share of market cap
0.16%

From company filings.

Kadant earnings: next date and track record

Kadant reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Jul ’24+4.2%Oct ’24−2.8%Feb ’25−6.0%Apr ’25+4.2%Jul ’25−0.9%Oct ’25−1.9%Feb ’26+14.4%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Kadant reported a strong start to FY2026 with robust demand, record aftermarket parts revenue, and better-than-expected profitability. Management highlighted double-digit organic growth and 25% bookings growth driven by acquisitions and strong activity in North America and Asia; aftermarket parts were a record $209 million, representing ~74% of total revenue. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS increased 19% and 14% year-over-year, respectively, with adjusted EPS beating guidance by $0.43. Management noted gross margin was 45% (down 110 bps YoY) due primarily to acquired profit and inventory amortization and mix effects, SG&A increased due to acquisitions and FX, and the effective tax rate rose versus prior year. Capital activity is warming with several previously delayed projects coming in, though timing remains uncertain due to geopolitical risks (Middle East conflict) and energy price sensitivity—particularly in Europe. Management reiterated the company’s 80/20 performance system, continued focus on aftermarket and parts, and cautious approach to guidance until geopolitical visibility improves.
Guidance
Midpoint of FY26 revenue implies ~2% organic sales growth (management cites midpoint at 2% within previously stated 1-3% range). Parts and consumables expected to represent ~71% of revenue and capital ~29%. Management indicated divisions foresee capital bookings above ~$90 million per quarter going forward, but did not provide a firm raise to full-year guidance and stated they may raise guidance after Q2 if visibility improves.
Risks flagged
Geopolitical uncertainty from the Middle East conflict and resulting energy price volatility, sensitivity of European demand to energy prices, timing risk for large capital projects (some projects pushed from 2026 to 2027), currency translation impacts, and integration/inventory effects from recent acquisitions impacting near-term margins.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$2.84
est $2.21
+28.5%$281.5M
est $275.0M
+2.4%+14.4%
Feb 18, 2026$2.27
est $2.19
+3.7%$286.2M
est $274.4M
+4.3%−1.9%
Oct 28, 2025$2.59
est $2.18
+18.8%$271.6M
est $274.4M
−1.0%−0.9%
Jul 29, 2025$2.31
est $1.94
+19.1%$255.3M
est $271.0M
−5.8%+4.2%
Apr 29, 2025$2.10
est $1.97
+6.6%$239.2M
est $239.4M
−0.1%−6.0%
Feb 12, 2025$2.25
est $2.08
+8.2%$258.0M
est $257.4M
+0.2%−2.8%
Oct 29, 2024$2.84
est $2.43
+16.9%$271.6M
est $259.0M
+4.9%+4.2%
Jul 30, 2024$2.81
est $2.43
+15.6%$274.8M
est $263.4M
+4.3%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Kadant stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kadant is $361.67, +38.4% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$361.67consensus 12-month target, +38.4% from the last close
Low $335High $380
Buy2
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 1BarringtonBuy, maintained$380+45.5%
Sep 11William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 6D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained$335+28.2%
Aug 6William BlairBuy, reiterated——
Aug 5BarringtonBuy, reiterated$380+45.5%
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Kadant seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Kadant averaged +9.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.2%2021+7.7%2022+8.0%2023+20.9%2024−1.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.3%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.4%4 of 5

For scale, KAI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Kadant market cap and key statistics

Kadant’s market cap is $3.08B, with a P/E ratio of 28 and revenue of $1.15B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.08B
P/E ratio
28
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$9.30
Gekko Fair Value
$266.89

Trading

Volume
82,175
Avg volume, 20 days
155,658
52-week high
$354.07
52-week low
$244.87
Shares outstanding
11.81M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
9.5%
Return on equity
11.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.20
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
0.54%

Kadant stock news this week

Coverage of Kadant this week reads negative: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Kadant peers

Kadant’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMATApplied Materials−0.7%Neutral9.5% below
LRCXLam Research−1.7%Neutral4.7% above
PHParker-Hannifin−0.1%Neutral2.7% above
TTTrane Technologies+0.5%Neutral19.6% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−1.0%Neutral14.4% above
CARRCarrier Global+0.1%Accumulation4.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Kadant stock FAQ

What is Kadant’s market cap?

Kadant’s market cap is $3.08B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $261.23, with 11.81M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.

What is the Kadant stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kadant is $361.67, +38.4% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Kadant stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Kadant is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $261.23 is 2.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $266.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Kadant report earnings next?

Kadant is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.00 per share on revenue of $302.1M. Kadant beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is Kadant’s 52-week high and low?

Kadant’s 52-week high is $354.07 and its 52-week low is $244.87; it closed at $261.23 on Oct 12, 2026, −8.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $429.95 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Kadant stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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