Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MWA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MWA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MWA in Gekko
NYSE: MWA
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$21.87+0.20 (+0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeMueller Water Products this week announced the appointment of Michael Morgan as Chief Financial Officer, with Melissa Rasmussen supporting a transition through year-end as part of the company's next phase of growth strategy. A separate stock overview piece offered a general profile of the company's segments and performance without new information.
MWA closed at $21.87, up 0.9%, though the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $23.71 and 200-day average of $26.05, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions. Shares trade 18.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $26.75, with a 52-week range spanning $20.90 to $31.00, and returns of -8.6% over one month, -11.5% over three months, and -28% over six months.
Earnings are due 5 November, 24 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.29 versus an estimate of $0.27, with a -0.8% reaction. Analyst views are split among 5 firms, with 1 buy, 2 hold and 2 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $28.67. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS price vs fair value
Close $21.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.75
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.42B
- P/E ratio
- 15.2
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.42
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.48B
- Profit margin
- 15%
- Dividend yield
- 1.29%
- Beta
- 1.00
- Volume
- 1.21M avg 1.49M
- 1-year return
- −13.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- 50-day average
- $23.71
- 200-day average
- $26.05
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 156.1M
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS swing-trade checklist
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $21.87 is below the 50-day ($23.71) and 200-day ($26.05) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.2, Accumulation
Reading 63.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
18.2% below
Price is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock chart and price history
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS closed at $21.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.90 to $31.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.6%
- 3 months
- −11.5%
- 6 months
- −28.0%
- 1 year
- −13.0%
The full MWA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MWA in Gekko
Follow MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS through every session
Put MWA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track MWA in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
Mueller Water Products supplies equipment and services used to move, distribute and measure water across North America and beyond. Its offerings include valves, fire hydrants, pipe repair parts such as clamps and couplings, as well as water metering systems and tools for detecting leaks and checking pipe condition. The company is recognized for supporting the infrastructure that keeps water and gas systems running for municipalities and builders alike.
The business is divided into two segments. The Infrastructure segment makes valves, hydrants, service brass parts and repair products under brand names including Mueller, Pratt, Jones, Milliken and Krausz, among others. The Technologies segment focuses on metering and leak-detection offerings, marketed under names such as Mueller Systems, Hersey, Echologics and Sentryx. Customers span municipal water authorities along with residential and commercial construction industries.
Mueller Water Products traces its founding back to 1857 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MWA.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Industrial machinery
- Website
- muellerwaterproducts.com
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.
63.2Accumulation
Down 3.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 38 | +0.1% | +7.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 190 | +0.8% | +2.9% | ||
| Neutral | 392 | +0.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Distribution | 53 | +0.8% | −0.2% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MWA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MWA price, zone by zone.Track MWA in Gekko
Is MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS trades 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$26.75
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
18.2% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MWA in Gekko
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MWA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MWA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MWA in Gekko
Buybacks
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $10.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.29%
From company filings.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS earnings: next date and track record
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.38
- Revenue estimate
- $376.5M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Mueller Water Products reported a strong first quarter with net sales up 4.6% to $318.2M, record gross margin, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin. Management highlighted manufacturing efficiencies (closure of legacy brass foundry), pricing actions, and better operational execution as drivers. Free cash flow of $44M, capex of ~$17M, and $16M returned to shareholders in dividends and buybacks. Management raised fiscal 2026 guidance citing price realization and continued resilient municipal and specialty valve demand, while expecting residential construction to decline high single digits. Tariffs and inflation remain headwinds (~3% tariff impact incorporated); company expects to be price/cost positive for the year. Management emphasized transformation progress, capital investment (iron foundry investments, 4-5% of net sales capex target), and focus on M&A in drinking water/wastewater infrastructure. CEO transition noted.
- Guidance
- Company raised fiscal 2026 guidance (not quantified in transcript). Management expects consolidated growth for each subsequent quarter, slightly positive volumes at midpoint, price realization in low- to mid-single digits, municipal repair & replacement growth low- to mid-single-digits, specialty valves mid- to high-single-digits growth, and residential construction decline high single-digits. Tariff impact ~3% incorporated in guidance. Capex planned ~4-5% of net sales over next couple years.
- Risks flagged
- Headwinds include higher tariffs (approx. 3% impact), inflationary pressures (low single-digit typical but higher with tariffs), slightly lower volumes especially in residential construction (expected high single-digit decline), and potential macro uncertainty; prior year inventory and asset write-downs noted as nonrecurring.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | $0.29 est $0.27 | $318.2M est $314.0M | −0.8% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.38 est $0.34 | $380.8M est $317.1M | −8.2% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $0.34 est $0.35 | $380.3M est $362.3M | +4.0% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.34 est $0.32 | $364.3M est $367.5M | −6.9% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.25 est $0.19 | $304.3M est $293.1M | +17.3% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.22 est $0.22 | $348.2M est $324.8M | +6.2% |
| Aug 5, 2024 | $0.32 est $0.22 | $356.7M est $329.6M | +2.2% |
| May 6, 2024 | $0.30 est $0.14 | $353.4M est $324.6M | +11.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS is $28.67, +31.1% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$28.67consensus 12-month target, +31.1% from the last close
Now $21.87Avg $28.67
Low $21High $35
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Goldman Sachs | $24 | +9.7% |
| Sep 16 | RBC Capital | $21 | −4.0% |
| Aug 7 | Oppenheimer | $32 | +46.3% |
| Aug 7 | Robert W. Baird | $35 | +60.0% |
| Aug 7 | Barclays | $25 | +14.3% |
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.7% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, MWA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS market cap and key statistics
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s market cap is $3.42B, with a P/E ratio of 15.2 and revenue of $1.48B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.42B
- P/E ratio
- 15.2
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.42
- Gekko Fair Value
- $26.75
Trading
- Volume
- 1.21M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.49M
- 52-week high
- $31.00
- 52-week low
- $20.90
- Shares outstanding
- 156.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.48B
- Profit margin
- 15%
- Return on equity
- 21.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +30.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.00
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 1.29%
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock news this week
2 headlines about MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Mueller Water Products Appoints Michael Morgan as Chief Financial OfficerGlobeNewsWire, Oct 12
- Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Australia, Oct 5
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS peers
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AMATApplied Materials | Neutral | 9.5% below |
| LRCXLam Research | Neutral | 4.7% above |
| PHParker-Hannifin | Neutral | 2.7% above |
| TTTrane Technologies | Neutral | 19.6% above |
| JCIJohnson Controls International | Neutral | 14.4% above |
| CARRCarrier Global | Accumulation | 4.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock FAQ
What is MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s market cap?
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s market cap is $3.42B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.87, with 156.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.2.
What is the MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS is $28.67, +31.1% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.87 is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS report earnings next?
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $376.5M. MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s 52-week high and low?
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS’s 52-week high is $31.00 and its 52-week low is $20.90; it closed at $21.87 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.0% over the past year.
Is MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.