Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GHM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GHM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GHM in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week brings a round of analyst attention to Graham (GHM), with Oppenheimer lowering its price target to $115.00 per share from $130, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating. The adjustment follows JPMorgan's initiation of coverage with an "Overweight" rating and a $120 price target. One account of the Oppenheimer note also flagged a GF Value measure well below the then-current price, alongside a high P/E ratio.
Shares of Graham closed at $81.28, down 1.3%, sitting between the 50-day average of $93.09 and the 200-day average of $91.26, a mixed trend picture. Longer-term the stock remains up 40.5% over one year despite recent pullbacks of 7.5% over one month and 24.1% over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 66.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $87.95.
Graham next reports earnings on 6 November 2026, 25 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $0.31 against a $0.17 estimate, with a 15.3% reaction. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day move of 8.1% from this point in the calendar, rising in 4 of those years. Consensus among 5 firms stands at 4 buy and 1 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $128.60.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Graham price vs fair value
Close $81.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $87.95
Graham quick facts
- Market cap
- $950.3M
- P/E ratio
- 79.2
- Forward P/E
- 45.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.03
- Revenue, TTM
- $261.1M
- Profit margin
- 4.5%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.08
- Volume
- 117,334 avg 171,263
- 1-year return
- +40.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- 50-day average
- $93.09
- 200-day average
- $91.26
- Next earnings
- Nov 6
- Shares outstanding
- 11.74M
Graham swing-trade checklist
Graham scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $81.28 sits between the 50-day ($93.09) and 200-day ($91.26) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.2, Accumulation
Reading 66.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.6% below
Price is 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 25 days
Reports on Nov 6, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Graham stock chart and price history
Graham closed at $81.28 on Oct 12, 2026, +40.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $52.57 to $125.82.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.5%
- 3 months
- −24.1%
- 6 months
- −13.1%
- 1 year
- +40.5%
The full GHM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GHM in Gekko
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Graham GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Graham’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 10.3 points over five sessions.
66.2Accumulation
Up 10.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 15 | −0.4% | −2.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 165 | +2.1% | +7.6% | ||
| Neutral | 448 | +1.2% | +4.7% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +0.8% | +5.4% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GHM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GHM price, zone by zone.Track GHM in Gekko
Is Graham stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Graham trades 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $87.95, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Graham shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$87.95
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
7.6% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GHM in Gekko
Graham insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Graham, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GHM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GHM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GHM in Gekko
Buybacks
Graham has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $2.87M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.30%
From company filings.
Graham earnings: next date and track record
Graham reports on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 6, 2026
25 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.34
- Revenue estimate
- $71.07M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Graham Corporation reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $56.7 million, up 21% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 50% to $6 million (10.7% margin). Bookings generated a 1.3x book-to-bill ratio, driving record backlog of $515.6 million, up 34% YoY. The company completed two acquisitions: Xdot Bearing Technologies (foil bearing technology) and FlackTek ($35 million purchase price), adding advanced mixing solutions as a third technology platform with ~$30 million annual revenue.
- Guidance
- Approximately 35-40% of the $515.6 million backlog is expected to convert to revenue over the next 12 months. FlackTek acquisition includes performance-based earn-out of up to $25 million over four years, with management targeting long-term revenue mix of 50% defense and 50% commercial.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | $0.31 est $0.17 | $56.70M est $52.36M | +15.3% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | $0.31 est $0.33 | $66.03M est $54.00M | −0.2% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.25 | $55.49M est $55.74M | −14.5% |
| Jun 9, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.26 | $59.35M est $55.67M | +10.7% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | $0.18 est $0.16 | $47.04M est $55.67M | −17.4% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $0.31 est $0.14 | $53.56M est $49.70M | +22.9% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | $0.33 est $0.16 | $49.95M est $50.10M | −1.1% |
| Jun 6, 2024 | $0.15 est $0.04 | $49.07M est $44.50M | +5.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Graham stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Graham is $128.60, +58.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$128.60consensus 12-month target, +58.2% from the last close
Now $81.28Avg $128.60
Low $115High $135
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | Oppenheimer | $115 | +41.5% |
| Oct 2 | J.P. Morgan | $120 | +47.6% |
| Aug 11 | Northland Securities | $135 | +66.1% |
| Aug 10 | Noble Financial | — | — |
| Aug 7 | Maxim Group | $128 | +57.5% |
+7.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Graham seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Graham averaged +8.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +17.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, GHM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.
Graham market cap and key statistics
Graham’s market cap is $950.3M, with a P/E ratio of 79.2 and revenue of $261.1M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $950.3M
- P/E ratio
- 79.2
- Forward P/E
- 45.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.03
- Gekko Fair Value
- $87.95
Trading
- Volume
- 117,334
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 171,263
- 52-week high
- $125.82
- 52-week low
- $52.57
- Shares outstanding
- 11.74M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $261.1M
- Profit margin
- 4.5%
- Return on equity
- 7.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −21.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.08
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
Graham stock news this week
Coverage of Graham this week reads negative: 0 positive, 0 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- NYLIM VP Small Cap Growth Portfolio's Graham Corp(GHM) Holding HistoryGuruFocus, Oct 10
- Graham Corp Price Target Cut to $115.00/Share From $130.00 by OppenheimerMoomoo, Oct 9
- GHM Maintained by Oppenheimer -- Price Target Lowered to $115GuruFocus, Oct 8
- Oppenheimer Adjusts Graham Price Target to $115 From $130, Maintains Outperform Ratingmarketscreener.com, Oct 8
Graham peers
Graham’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AMATApplied Materials | Neutral | 9.5% below |
| LRCXLam Research | Neutral | 4.7% above |
| PHParker-Hannifin | Neutral | 2.7% above |
| TTTrane Technologies | Neutral | 19.6% above |
| JCIJohnson Controls International | Neutral | 14.4% above |
| CARRCarrier Global | Accumulation | 4.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Graham stock FAQ
What is Graham’s market cap?
Graham’s market cap is $950.3M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $81.28, with 11.74M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 79.2.
What is the Graham stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Graham is $128.60, +58.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Graham stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Graham is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $81.28 is 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $87.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Graham report earnings next?
Graham is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $71.07M. Graham beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 11% on average across the report.
What is Graham’s 52-week high and low?
Graham’s 52-week high is $125.82 and its 52-week low is $52.57; it closed at $81.28 on Oct 12, 2026, +40.5% over the past year.
Is Graham stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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