NYSE: JCI

Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Johnson Controls International plc. Producer manufacturing sector, industrial machinery industry. Market cap $86.79B.

$143.28+2.22 (+1.6%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Johnson Controls International (JCI) closed at $143.28, up 1.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $144.69 and 200-day average of $135.96. The GekkoIndex reads 62.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 8.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $131.98. Over the past year the stock has returned 33.4%, though the one-month and three-month returns are both -1.1%.

Coverage this week centered on backlog strength and analyst reaffirmation, alongside a notable single-day decline. UBS reiterated a Buy rating with a $180 price target, citing the company's record $21 billion backlog and potential for double-digit organic revenue growth by fiscal 2027. Separately, shares fell over 6% in one session, the largest percentage drop since July 2025, following the annual shareholder meeting where directors were elected and auditors ratified. The company also named Eric Swanson as Vice President of Investor Relations, a hire with prior experience at Sherwin-Williams.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last 90 days, Congressional activity shows 1 buy and 0 sells. Analyst consensus across 11 firms stands at 6 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $164.05, implying 14.5% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.4% over 5 years, with gains in only 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $143.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $131.98

Key stats

Market cap
$86.79B
P/E ratio
39.5
Forward P/E
22.9
EPS, TTM
$3.57
Revenue, TTM
$25.00B
Profit margin
14.3%
Dividend yield
1.14%
Beta
1.30
Volume
5.20M avg 3.02M
1-year return
+33.4%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$144.69
200-day average
$135.96
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
605.7M
52-week range
$104.49$157.06

Johnson Controls International swing-trade checklist

Johnson Controls International scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $143.28 sits between the 50-day ($144.69) and 200-day ($135.96) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.3, Accumulation

    Reading 62.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.6% above

    Price is 8.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Johnson Controls International stock chart and price history

Johnson Controls International closed at $143.28 on Sep 18, 2026, +33.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $104.49 to $157.06.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.1%
3 months
−1.1%
6 months
+7.5%
1 year
+33.4%
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About Johnson Controls International

Johnson Controls International builds and services equipment that keeps buildings running, covering heating, cooling and ventilation systems, security and fire detection setups, refrigeration units, and building management controls. It also works on digital solutions that help operators monitor and manage these systems. The company is recognized for combining physical equipment with software and technical services under one roof.

Its work spans engineering, manufacturing, installation and ongoing maintenance, including inspections, scheduled upkeep, and repair or replacement of mechanical and control systems. Customers range from commercial and industrial property owners to residential security clients, institutions, data centers, marine operators, and government bodies. The company operates across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region.

Johnson Controls International was incorporated in 1885 and is headquartered in Cork, Ireland. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker JCI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
johnsoncontrols.com

Johnson Controls International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Johnson Controls International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.4 points over five sessions.

010062.3Accumulation

Up 4.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying3Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)134+2.2%+4.1%+7.1%+12.3%
Neutral424+0.4%+1.0%+2.6%+7.4%
Distribution97+0.6%+1.0%+1.1%+5.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average JCI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the JCI price, zone by zone.Track JCI in Gekko

Is Johnson Controls International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Johnson Controls International trades 8.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $131.98, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Johnson Controls International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$131.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

8.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open JCI in Gekko

Johnson Controls International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Johnson Controls International, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for JCI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every JCI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open JCI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Johnson Controls International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$264.0M
As a share of market cap
0.30%
Trailing four quarters
$5.55B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold JCI.

1added0opened2trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Johnson Controls International earnings: next date and track record

Johnson Controls International reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.4%Nov ’24+13.9%Feb ’25+2.7%May ’25−6.7%Jul ’25+10.1%Nov ’25+6.9%Feb ’26−3.8%May ’26+2.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Johnson Controls Q3 2026 delivered strong results with 10% revenue growth, 260 bps adjusted EBIT margin expansion to 17%, and 35% adjusted EPS growth. Backlog surged over 30% to a record $21 billion with order momentum exceeding 25%. Key growth drivers include AI data center thermal management, mission-critical environments, and decarbonization. The company launched an AI factory absorption chiller guide claiming 44% cooling electrical demand reduction.
Guidance
Management raised full year guidance based on Q3 outperformance. Specific updated revenue and EPS targets were not detailed in this excerpt, pending CFO commentary. Sustained profitable growth is expected driven by AI infrastructure, life cycle services, and proprietary business system execution.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.42
est $1.32
+7.6%$6.61B
est $6.46B
+2.3%+2.6%
May 6, 2026$1.19
est $1.12
+6.2%$6.14B
est $6.08B
+1.1%−3.8%
Feb 4, 2026$0.89
est $0.84
+6.0%$5.80B
est $5.64B
+2.8%+6.9%
Nov 5, 2025$1.26
est $1.20
+5.0%$6.44B
est $6.33B
+1.8%+10.1%
Jul 29, 2025$1.05
est $1.01
+4.0%$6.05B
est $5.99B
+1.0%−6.7%
May 7, 2025$0.82
est $0.79
+4.1%$5.68B
est $5.63B
+0.7%+2.7%
Feb 5, 2025$0.64
est $0.59
+8.5%$5.43B
est $5.29B
+2.6%+13.9%
Nov 6, 2024$1.28
est $1.24
+3.2%$2.93B
est $7.32B
−60.0%+9.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Johnson Controls International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Johnson Controls International is $164.05, +14.5% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$164.05consensus 12-month target, +14.5% from the last close
Low $150High $190
Buy6
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17UBSBuy, reiterated$180+25.6%
Sep 3BernsteinBuy, maintained$190+32.6%
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
Sep 2Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$180+25.6%
Sep 2Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$180+25.6%
+7.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Johnson Controls International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Johnson Controls International averaged −1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.9%2021−3.4%2022−7.8%2023+4.1%2024+0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.7%4 of 5

For scale, JCI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Johnson Controls International market cap and key statistics

Johnson Controls International’s market cap is $86.79B, with a P/E ratio of 39.5 and revenue of $25.00B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$86.79B
P/E ratio
39.5
Forward P/E
22.9
EPS, TTM
$3.57
Gekko Fair Value
$131.98

Trading

Volume
5.20M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.02M
52-week high
$157.06
52-week low
$104.49
Shares outstanding
605.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$25.00B
Profit margin
14.3%
Return on equity
14.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+15.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.30
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
1.14%

Johnson Controls International peers

Johnson Controls International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+5.0%Accumulation0.3% below
AMATApplied Materials+5.4%Accumulation20.2% below
PHParker-Hannifin+2.0%Accumulation1.9% above
TTTrane Technologies+2.0%Accumulation6.7% above
CARRCarrier Global−1.4%Buying10.3% below
JBLJabil+0.1%Accumulation1.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Johnson Controls International stock FAQ

What is Johnson Controls International’s market cap?

Johnson Controls International’s market cap is $86.79B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $143.28, with 605.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.5.

What is the Johnson Controls International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Johnson Controls International is $164.05, +14.5% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Johnson Controls International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Johnson Controls International is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $143.28 is 8.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $131.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Johnson Controls International report earnings next?

Johnson Controls International is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.58 per share on revenue of $7.02B. Johnson Controls International beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7% on average across the report.

What is Johnson Controls International’s 52-week high and low?

Johnson Controls International’s 52-week high is $157.06 and its 52-week low is $104.49; it closed at $143.28 on Sep 18, 2026, +33.4% over the past year.

Is Johnson Controls International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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