Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CARR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CARR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CARR in Gekko
NYSE: CARR
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$53.88−0.51 (−0.9%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCarrier Global closes at $53.88, down 0.9%, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $62.15 and its 200-day average of $61.54. Over the past month the stock is off 12%, and it has fallen 25% over three months and 11.3% over the past year, against a 52-week range of $50.24 to $76.76. The GekkoIndex reads 78.3, placing CARR in the Buying zone, up 10.3 over the past five sessions. Price sits 10.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.09.
Recent coverage centers on Carrier's standing versus construction-sector peers, a comparison with Emcor Group, a presentation at Morgan Stanley's Laguna Conference, and a 13F filing showing Corient Private Wealth LP increased its CARR stake by 36.5% in the quarter. One report also flagged notable activity in the options market without further detail. These items concern the company's competitive positioning, institutional ownership shifts, and options-market attention rather than any change in operating results.
Carrier's next earnings report is set for 27 October 2026, before the open, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Its last report, on 28 July, showed EPS of $0.86 against an $0.83 estimate, with orders up roughly 40%, backlog above $8 billion, free cash flow of $810 million, and raised full-year guidance, yet shares reacted -13.6%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.6% across 5 years, higher in 2 of them, while insider, Congress, and unusual options activity show no recorded signals in their respective windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $53.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.09
Key stats
- Market cap
- $44.41B
- P/E ratio
- 38.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.40
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.11B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Dividend yield
- 1.74%
- Beta
- 1.30
- Volume
- 21.04M avg 6.80M
- 1-year return
- −11.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- 50-day average
- $62.15
- 200-day average
- $61.54
- Next earnings
- Oct 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 824.3M
Carrier Global swing-trade checklist
Carrier Global scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $53.88 sits between the 50-day ($62.15) and 200-day ($61.54) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
78.3, Buying
Reading 78.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
10.3% below
Price is 10.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Carrier Global stock chart and price history
Carrier Global closed at $53.88 on Sep 18, 2026, −11.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $50.24 to $76.76.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −12.0%
- 3 months
- −25.0%
- 6 months
- −8.6%
- 1 year
- −11.3%
The full CARR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CARR in Gekko
Follow Carrier Global through every session
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About Carrier Global
Carrier Global makes equipment and systems for heating, cooling, refrigeration, fire safety and building security, serving homes, businesses and industrial sites around the world. It is widely recognized for its air conditioning and HVAC products, alongside detection and suppression systems for fire and gas hazards, and monitoring tools used in refrigerated transport.
The company runs three main lines of business. Its HVAC arm supplies heating and cooling equipment, controls, and maintenance work for residential and commercial customers. The Refrigeration unit covers transport cooling and tracking for trucks, containers and warehouses, plus commercial display cases and freezer systems. Fire & Security provides detection, alarm, suppression and access-control technology along with installation and monitoring services. These products reach customers under a wide set of brand names, including Kidde, Edwards, Bryant, Carrier Transicold, LenelS2 and several others.
Carrier Global was established in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CARR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Industrial machinery
- Website
- carrier.com
Carrier Global GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Carrier Global’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 78.3, in the Buying zone, up 10.3 points over five sessions.
78.3Buying
Up 10.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | +3.5% | +4.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 257 | +0.1% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral | 340 | 0.0% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | −1.1% | −4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CARR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CARR price, zone by zone.Track CARR in Gekko
Is Carrier Global stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Carrier Global trades 10.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.09, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Carrier Global shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$60.09
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
10.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CARR in Gekko
Carrier Global insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Carrier Global, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CARR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CARR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CARR in Gekko
Buybacks
Carrier Global has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $439.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.99%
- Trailing four quarters
- $2.01B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CARR.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Carrier Global earnings: next date and track record
Carrier Global reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
Expected before the open, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.81
- Revenue estimate
- $5.97B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Carrier reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, driven by very strong orders (up ~40%) and record backlog (> $8 billion). Management raised full-year guidance for sales, operating profit and EPS, citing robust demand in commercial HVAC (notably data centers), improving residential and light commercial end markets, strong free cash flow ($810M) and ongoing portfolio optimization (divestiture of Riello, sale of NORESCO, acquisition of 75F). Key operational actions include plans for a new U.S. data center-focused manufacturing facility, expansion in India, and investments in intelligent BMS capabilities via the 75F acquisition. Segment highlights: CSA saw 4% organic growth with margin ahead of guide but impacted by mix and tariffs; CSAME grew 4% with strong performance in India, Southeast Asia and Australia; CST (transportation) was flat with mixed margin dynamics. Management emphasized supply-chain and execution focus to deliver a large second-half ramp in data center shipments and expects meaningful sequential pickup in Q3. They reiterated confidence in margin progress over time but noted near-term margin dilution from investments, tariffs and unfavorable mix.
- Guidance
- - Raised full-year guidance: increased sales guidance by ~$1.0 billion and EPS by $0.10 versus prior guidance (per management commentary). - Q3 guidance: ~10% organic sales growth and adjusted operating margin around 16.5% (sequentially down ~70 bps). - Data center revenue outlook for the year: ~$2.0 billion total (about $500M in H1, ~$1.5B in H2) with an expected exit run-rate of ~$2.5B (implying higher Q4 than Q3). - Expected FY investments: roughly $100 million (one-time/near-term investments related to data center facility and other initiatives). - Pricing assumptions: Residential price realization expected to finish the year around ~4% (with mid-single-digit movement in back half); expected mid-single-digit price improvements in some areas.
- Risks flagged
- - Tariff impacts and timing: April tariff changes and mitigation timing created near-term margin headwinds and uncertainty. - Unfavorable mix and increased input costs compressing margins. - Execution risk on the accelerated data center ramp and new U.S. facility build (need to hire, qualify suppliers, manage quality and delivery timing). - China residential market weakness (housing market softness) limiting recovery in that region. - One-time investments and divestiture-related items (NORESCO exit) that dilute near-term EPS. - Macroeconomic risks: higher interest rates, consumer pressure that could affect replacement demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.86 est $0.83 | $6.35B est $6.02B | −13.6% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.37 | $5.34B est $5.01B | +9.5% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.36 | $4.84B est $5.05B | +0.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.67 est $0.63 | $5.58B est $5.65B | +4.2% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.91 | $6.11B est $6.11B | −14.9% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.65 est $0.58 | $5.22B est $5.19B | +14.4% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.54 est $0.50 | $5.15B est $5.31B | −4.0% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.83 est $0.81 | $5.98B est $6.59B | −7.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Carrier Global stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Carrier Global is $77.62, +44.1% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$77.62consensus 12-month target, +44.1% from the last close
Now $53.88Avg $77.62
Low $60High $90
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $78 | +44.8% |
| Aug 20 | Bernstein | $78 | +44.8% |
| Aug 10 | Citi | — | — |
| Aug 3 | Bernstein | $78 | +44.8% |
| Jul 29 | Oppenheimer | — | — |
+4.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Carrier Global seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Carrier Global averaged −2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −3.9% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, CARR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.
Carrier Global market cap and key statistics
Carrier Global’s market cap is $44.41B, with a P/E ratio of 38.9 and revenue of $22.11B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $44.41B
- P/E ratio
- 38.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.40
- Gekko Fair Value
- $60.09
Trading
- Volume
- 21.04M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.80M
- 52-week high
- $76.76
- 52-week low
- $50.24
- Shares outstanding
- 824.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.11B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Return on equity
- 9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −11.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.30
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.74%
Carrier Global stock news this week
4 headlines about Carrier Global from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Sep 15
- Has Carrier Global (CARR) Outpaced Other Construction Stocks This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 14
- Carrier Global Corporation $CARR Shares Acquired by Corient Private Wealth LPDefense World, Sep 14
- Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Carrier Global Stock?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 11
Carrier Global peers
Carrier Global’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LRCXLam Research | Accumulation | 0.3% below |
| AMATApplied Materials | Accumulation | 20.2% below |
| PHParker-Hannifin | Accumulation | 1.9% above |
| TTTrane Technologies | Accumulation | 6.7% above |
| JCIJohnson Controls International | Accumulation | 8.6% above |
| JBLJabil | Accumulation | 1.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Carrier Global stock FAQ
What is Carrier Global’s market cap?
Carrier Global’s market cap is $44.41B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $53.88, with 824.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.9.
What is the Carrier Global stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Carrier Global is $77.62, +44.1% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Carrier Global stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Carrier Global is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $53.88 is 10.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Carrier Global report earnings next?
Carrier Global is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.81 per share on revenue of $5.97B. Carrier Global beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.
What is Carrier Global’s 52-week high and low?
Carrier Global’s 52-week high is $76.76 and its 52-week low is $50.24; it closed at $53.88 on Sep 18, 2026, −11.3% over the past year.
Is Carrier Global stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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