Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CARR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CARR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CARR in Gekko
NYSE: CARR
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$55.66+0.29 (+0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeCarrier Global's week carries mostly routine insider and filing activity alongside continued attention on its data center push. Several Form 4 filings disclosed transactions by company officers, including Gaurang Pandya, President of CHVAC Americas, whose 62,716 vested restricted stock units converted to shares while 27,345 shares were disposed of at $53.63 to cover taxes; the company also filed a mixed shelf offering covering common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, warrants, subscription rights and purchase contracts. More notably, Carrier's residential HVAC business is described as rebounding, with Climate Solutions Americas residential sales up more than 30% in the third quarter, while data center orders surged 300% and new 2-megawatt and 3-megawatt air-cooled chillers are expanding that segment. CEO David Gitlin and CFO Patrick Goris are set to present at Baird's 2026 Global Industrial Conference on November 11.
CARR closes at $55.66, up 0.5% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $56.13 and 200-day average of $61.81, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price sits essentially in line with Gekko Fair Value of $55.68, a 0% gap.
The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Smart money activity over the past 90 days shows 1 Congressional buy and 0 sales. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +3.9% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 7 buy, 5 hold, 0 sell ratings across 12 firms, with a consensus target of $68.79.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Carrier Global price vs fair value
Close $55.66200-day averageGekko Fair Value $55.68
Carrier Global quick facts
- Market cap
- $45.54B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.21
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.79B
- Profit margin
- -7.9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.79%
- Beta
- 1.33
- Volume
- 7.61M avg 5.92M
- 1-year return
- −3.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- 50-day average
- $56.13
- 200-day average
- $61.81
- Next earnings
- Feb 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 818.2M
Carrier Global swing-trade checklist
Carrier Global scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $55.66 is below the 50-day ($56.13) and 200-day ($61.81) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59, Neutral
Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.0% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 91 days
Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Carrier Global stock chart and price history
Carrier Global closed at $55.66 on Nov 4, 2026, −3.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $50.24 to $76.76.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.8%
- 3 months
- −13.0%
- 6 months
- −18.0%
- 1 year
- −3.8%
The full CARR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CARR in Gekko
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About Carrier Global
Carrier Global makes equipment and systems for heating, cooling, refrigeration, fire safety and building security, serving homes, businesses and industrial sites around the world. It is widely recognized for its air conditioning and HVAC products, alongside detection and suppression systems for fire and gas hazards, and monitoring tools used in refrigerated transport.
The company runs three main lines of business. Its HVAC arm supplies heating and cooling equipment, controls, and maintenance work for residential and commercial customers. The Refrigeration unit covers transport cooling and tracking for trucks, containers and warehouses, plus commercial display cases and freezer systems. Fire & Security provides detection, alarm, suppression and access-control technology along with installation and monitoring services. These products reach customers under a wide set of brand names, including Kidde, Edwards, Bryant, Carrier Transicold, LenelS2 and several others.
Carrier Global was established in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CARR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Industrial machinery
- Website
- carrier.com
Carrier Global GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Carrier Global’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, up 2 points over five sessions.
59Neutral
Up 2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 32 | +3.1% | +3.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 282 | 0.0% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 344 | 0.0% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | −1.1% | −4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CARR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CARR price, zone by zone.Track CARR in Gekko
Is Carrier Global stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Carrier Global trades level with Gekko Fair Value of $55.68, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Carrier Global shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$55.68
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
0.0% from fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CARR in Gekko
Carrier Global insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Carrier Global, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 11 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Carrier Global has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $399.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.88%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.62B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CARR.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Carrier Global earnings: next date and track record
Carrier Global reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 4, 2027
Expected before the open, 91 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.57
- Revenue estimate
- $5.87B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Carrier reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, driven by very strong orders (up ~40%) and record backlog (> $8 billion). Management raised full-year guidance for sales, operating profit and EPS, citing robust demand in commercial HVAC (notably data centers), improving residential and light commercial end markets, strong free cash flow ($810M) and ongoing portfolio optimization (divestiture of Riello, sale of NORESCO, acquisition of 75F). Key operational actions include plans for a new U.S. data center-focused manufacturing facility, expansion in India, and investments in intelligent BMS capabilities via the 75F acquisition. Segment highlights: CSA saw 4% organic growth with margin ahead of guide but impacted by mix and tariffs; CSAME grew 4% with strong performance in India, Southeast Asia and Australia; CST (transportation) was flat with mixed margin dynamics. Management emphasized supply-chain and execution focus to deliver a large second-half ramp in data center shipments and expects meaningful sequential pickup in Q3. They reiterated confidence in margin progress over time but noted near-term margin dilution from investments, tariffs and unfavorable mix.
- Guidance
- - Raised full-year guidance: increased sales guidance by ~$1.0 billion and EPS by $0.10 versus prior guidance (per management commentary). - Q3 guidance: ~10% organic sales growth and adjusted operating margin around 16.5% (sequentially down ~70 bps). - Data center revenue outlook for the year: ~$2.0 billion total (about $500M in H1, ~$1.5B in H2) with an expected exit run-rate of ~$2.5B (implying higher Q4 than Q3). - Expected FY investments: roughly $100 million (one-time/near-term investments related to data center facility and other initiatives). - Pricing assumptions: Residential price realization expected to finish the year around ~4% (with mid-single-digit movement in back half); expected mid-single-digit price improvements in some areas.
- Risks flagged
- - Tariff impacts and timing: April tariff changes and mitigation timing created near-term margin headwinds and uncertainty. - Unfavorable mix and increased input costs compressing margins. - Execution risk on the accelerated data center ramp and new U.S. facility build (need to hire, qualify suppliers, manage quality and delivery timing). - China residential market weakness (housing market softness) limiting recovery in that region. - One-time investments and divestiture-related items (NORESCO exit) that dilute near-term EPS. - Macroeconomic risks: higher interest rates, consumer pressure that could affect replacement demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.86 est $0.83 | $6.35B est $6.02B | −13.6% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.37 | $5.34B est $5.01B | +9.5% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.36 | $4.84B est $5.05B | +0.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.67 est $0.63 | $5.58B est $5.65B | +4.2% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.91 | $6.11B est $6.11B | −14.9% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.65 est $0.58 | $5.22B est $5.19B | +14.4% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.54 est $0.50 | $5.15B est $5.31B | −4.0% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.83 est $0.81 | $5.98B est $6.59B | −7.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Carrier Global stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Carrier Global is $68.79, +23.6% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$68.79consensus 12-month target, +23.6% from the last close
Now $55.66Avg $68.79
Low $60High $75
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Oct 30 | Wells Fargo | $65 | +16.8% |
| Oct 30 | Robert W. Baird | $70 | +25.8% |
| Oct 30 | UBS | $70 | +25.8% |
| Oct 30 | Evercore ISI | $75 | +34.7% |
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Carrier Global seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Carrier Global averaged +3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.4% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, CARR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.
Carrier Global market cap and key statistics
Carrier Global’s market cap is $45.54B and revenue of $22.79B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $45.54B
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.21
- Gekko Fair Value
- $55.68
Trading
- Volume
- 7.61M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 5.92M
- 52-week high
- $76.76
- 52-week low
- $50.24
- Shares outstanding
- 818.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.79B
- Profit margin
- -7.9%
- Return on equity
- -13.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −11.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.33
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.79%
Carrier Global stock news this week
Coverage of Carrier Global this week reads positive: 11 positive, 8 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- 219,803 Shares in Carrier Global Corporation $CARR Acquired by Mirae Asset Global Investments Co. Ltd.MarketBeat, Nov 4
- Form 4 Carrier Global Corp: Gaurang Pandya (President CHVAC Americas) For: 1 NovemberInvesting.com Nigeria, Nov 4
- Form 4 Carrier Global Corp: Edward C. Dryden (President, RLC Americas) For: 2 NovemberInvesting.com Nigeria, Nov 4
- 62,716 stock units convert to shares for Carrier Global (CARR) officer Gaurang Pandya.Stock Titan, Nov 4
- Form 4 CARRIER GLOBAL Corp For: Nov 01 Filed by: Pandya GaurangStreetInsider, Nov 4
- 63,122 Carrier Global Corporation $CARR Shares Purchased by International Assets Investment Management LLCMarketBeat, Nov 3
Carrier Global peers
Carrier Global’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AMATApplied Materials | Accumulation | 29.1% below |
| LRCXLam Research | Accumulation | 18.2% below |
| PHParker-Hannifin | Accumulation | 2.4% below |
| TTTrane Technologies | Accumulation | 3.3% above |
| JCIJohnson Controls International | Accumulation | 6.8% above |
| IRIngersoll Rand | Neutral | 16.8% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Carrier Global stock FAQ
What is Carrier Global’s market cap?
Carrier Global’s market cap is $45.54B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $55.66, with 818.2M shares outstanding.
What is the Carrier Global stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Carrier Global is $68.79, +23.6% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Carrier Global stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Carrier Global is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $55.66 is level with Gekko Fair Value of $55.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Carrier Global report earnings next?
Carrier Global is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.57 per share on revenue of $5.87B. Carrier Global beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.
What is Carrier Global’s 52-week high and low?
Carrier Global’s 52-week high is $76.76 and its 52-week low is $50.24; it closed at $55.66 on Nov 4, 2026, −3.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $83.32 on Oct 15, 2024.
Is Carrier Global stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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