Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TKR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TKR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TKR in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTimken this week completed the sale of its belts business to Gates Industrial, a divestiture described as improving profitability and sharpening focus on core areas of expertise. The move follows an August earnings report in which Timken beat estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.83 against a $1.63 estimate, revenue of $1.26 billion up 7.5% year over year, and raised full-year guidance to an EPS range of $6.05 to $6.35, even as the stock reaction to that report was negative. Analyst commentary has been mixed since, with Argus lowering its target price to $121.00 while framing Timken as a value stock elsewhere.
The stock closed at $116.75, down 0.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $126.41 and 200-day average of $113.99, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 64.9, placing Timken in the Accumulation zone, though the reading has slipped 3.4 points over five sessions. Price sits about 1% above Gekko Fair Value of $115.56, putting the shares within a tight range of that estimate.
The next earnings date falls on 4 November, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.7% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the pending earnings date.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Timken price vs fair value
Close $116.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $115.56
Timken quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.11B
- P/E ratio
- 31.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.68
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.76B
- Profit margin
- 5.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.20%
- Beta
- 1.21
- Volume
- 913,234 avg 953,345
- 1-year return
- +57.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- 50-day average
- $126.41
- 200-day average
- $113.99
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 69.30M
Timken swing-trade checklist
Timken scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $116.75 sits between the 50-day ($126.41) and 200-day ($113.99) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.9, Accumulation
Reading 64.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
1.0% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Timken stock chart and price history
Timken closed at $116.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +57.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $70.57 to $146.37.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.3%
- 3 months
- −18.6%
- 6 months
- +19.7%
- 1 year
- +57.3%
The full TKR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TKR in Gekko
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About Timken
Timken makes bearings and power transmission gear used to keep machinery and vehicles operating reliably. The company has built its reputation on engineered components including bearings, seals, gears, chains, couplings, and lubrication equipment, supplying both moving equipment and fixed industrial systems.
The business runs through two operating groups. One, focused on mobile equipment, supplies parts and upkeep support to makers and operators of off-highway machines used in farming, building, mining, outdoor power tools, and power sports, along with cars, trucks, trains, and aircraft parts for civilian and defense aviation, reaching buyers through dealer and repair networks for automotive and heavy-truck markets. The other group serves industrial customers, offering bearings, gearboxes, linear motion parts, and upkeep services to equipment makers and users, backed by distributor networks and in-house repair, servicing, and motor rewinding work. Its goods reach customers under a set of brand names, among them Timken itself along with Philadelphia Gear, Drives, Cone Drive, Rollon, Lovejoy, Diamond, BEKA, and Groeneveld.
Founded in 1899, Timken keeps its main offices in North Canton, Ohio. The stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker TKR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Industrial machinery
- Website
- timken.com
Timken GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Timken’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions.
64.9Accumulation
Down 3.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | −0.5% | +6.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 193 | +0.2% | +0.5% | ||
| Neutral | 435 | +0.5% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 26 | +0.4% | −0.1% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TKR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TKR price, zone by zone.Track TKR in Gekko
Is Timken stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Timken trades 1.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $115.56, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Timken shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$115.56
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
1.0% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TKR in Gekko
Timken insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Timken, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TKR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TKR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TKR in Gekko
Buybacks
Timken has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $20.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.25%
From company filings.
Timken earnings: next date and track record
Timken reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.47
- Revenue estimate
- $1.21B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Timken reported a strong Q2 2026 with total revenue of $1.26 billion (up 7.5% YoY), organic revenue up 4.4%, adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 19.6% (vs. 17.7% prior year), and adjusted EPS of $1.83 (nearly 30% YoY). Management raised full-year guidance (implying 16% adjusted EPS growth at the midpoint, up from 13%). Drivers included pricing, volume growth across both segments, the acquisition of Bijur Delimon, and favorable FX. The company generated solid cash flow, raised its quarterly dividend by 3%, repurchased ~155,000 shares, and finished the quarter with net leverage of ~2x. Management highlighted strategic initiatives: Elevate to Outperform strategy, 80/20 productivity program, planned belts divestiture (expected in Q3, pro forma ~200 bps margin benefit in Industrial Motion), and investments to expand aerospace capacity. Key end markets showing strength were aerospace & defense, automation/robotics, infrastructure (construction, heavy industries), and India in APAC. Management emphasized continued geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East) and tariff dynamics but remains confident in execution and sees room for further margin improvement via mix, 80/20, and portfolio actions.
- Guidance
- Raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance (midpoint implies ~16% adjusted EPS growth vs prior 13%). Full-year organic sales guidance of ~3.5% (0.5 point raise). Pricing expected to be up more than 1% in 2026. Belts divestiture expected to close in Q3 and is modeled in guidance (pro forma ~200 bps Industrial Motion margin improvement). Management noted a $0.10 EPS headwind tied mostly to aerospace investments in the near term.
- Risks flagged
- Geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East) could weigh on demand; tariff policy changes remain uncertain although recent tariff replacement expected to be a wash; solar weakness impacting power & electrification; automotive OE softness; near-term costs and training/time-to-ramp to add aerospace capacity (6-9 months); execution risk tied to facility consolidation and 80/20 improvements (moderate); belts divestiture and ramp-down may create near-term revenue headwinds.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.83 est $1.63 | $1.26B est $1.23B | −7.4% |
| May 6, 2026 | $1.67 est $1.50 | $1.23B est $1.17B | +6.1% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $1.14 est $1.09 | $1.11B est $1.07B | +6.3% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $1.37 est $1.24 | $1.16B est $1.12B | +1.9% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.42 est $1.36 | $1.17B est $1.12B | −6.0% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.40 est $1.42 | $1.14B est $1.14B | −1.4% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $1.16 est $0.99 | $1.07B est $1.17B | +3.0% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $1.23 est $1.38 | $1.13B est $1.12B | −5.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Timken stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Timken is $147.75, +26.6% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$147.75consensus 12-month target, +26.6% from the last close
Now $116.75Avg $147.75
Low $135High $160
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Bank of America Securities | $135 | +15.6% |
| Sep 1 | Bank of America Securities | $135 | +15.6% |
| Aug 21 | J.P. Morgan | $160 | +37.0% |
| Aug 6 | Morgan Stanley | $160 | +37.0% |
| Aug 5 | Morgan Stanley | $160 | +37.0% |
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Timken seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Timken averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.4% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, TKR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.
Timken market cap and key statistics
Timken’s market cap is $8.11B, with a P/E ratio of 31.9 and revenue of $4.76B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.11B
- P/E ratio
- 31.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.68
- Gekko Fair Value
- $115.56
Trading
- Volume
- 913,234
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 953,345
- 52-week high
- $146.37
- 52-week low
- $70.57
- Shares outstanding
- 69.30M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.76B
- Profit margin
- 5.4%
- Return on equity
- 8.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −63.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.21
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.20%
Timken stock news this week
Coverage of Timken this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Timken Completes Sale of Belts Business to GatesPRNewsWire, Sep 28
- Gates Completes Acquisition of the Belts Business from The Timken CompanyPRNewsWire, Sep 28
- Timken CEO to be featured speaker at Canton chamber dinnerCanton Repository, Sep 26
- Here's Why Timken (TKR) is a Strong Value StockZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- Timken Company (The) (TKR) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 24
- Timken stock trades lower as earnings expectations riseAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
Timken peers
Timken’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LRCXLam Research | Neutral | 7.7% above |
| AMATApplied Materials | Neutral | 11.5% below |
| PHParker-Hannifin | Neutral | 5.9% above |
| TTTrane Technologies | Neutral | 13.7% above |
| JCIJohnson Controls International | Neutral | 11.4% above |
| CARRCarrier Global | Accumulation | 4.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Timken stock FAQ
What is Timken’s market cap?
Timken’s market cap is $8.11B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $116.75, with 69.30M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.9.
What is the Timken stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Timken is $147.75, +26.6% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Timken stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Timken is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $116.75 is 1.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $115.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Timken report earnings next?
Timken is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.47 per share on revenue of $1.21B. Timken beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
What is Timken’s 52-week high and low?
Timken’s 52-week high is $146.37 and its 52-week low is $70.57; it closed at $116.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +57.3% over the past year.
Is Timken stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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