NYSE: GTES

Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$26.67−0.19 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Gates Industrial completes its acquisition of the belts business from The Timken Company, a deal that closes on 28 September and follows Timken's completion of the sale of the same unit, with both companies describing the move as sharpening focus on core operations and improving profitability. No other company-specific news accompanies the move this week.

Shares close at $26.67, down 0.7%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $26.62 and the 200-day average of $25.26, with the shorter average also above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.7, placing GTES in the Neutral zone, down 6.7 points over five sessions. Price sits close to Gekko Fair Value of $26.76, a gap of -0.3%.

The next earnings date falls on 30 October, 31 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 12 February showed EPS of $0.38 against a $0.37 estimate, with a 5.5% reaction, and beats in 5 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.5% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Nine covering analysts show 6 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $33.33.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Gates Industrial price vs fair value

$26.76$26.67Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $26.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.76

Gates Industrial quick facts

Market cap
$6.77B
P/E ratio
19.1
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
$1.41
Revenue, TTM
$3.50B
Profit margin
10.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.26
Volume
1.52M avg 1.85M
1-year return
+8.9%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
50-day average
$26.62
200-day average
$25.26
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
253.2M
52-week range
$20.88$30.34

Gates Industrial swing-trade checklist

Gates Industrial scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $26.67 is above the 50-day ($26.62) and 200-day ($25.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.7, Neutral

    Reading 55.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Gates Industrial stock chart and price history

Gates Industrial closed at $26.67 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.88 to $30.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Gates Industrial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$22$24$26$28$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep26.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.1%
3 months
−5.3%
6 months
+20.6%
1 year
+8.9%
The full GTES chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GTES in Gekko

Follow Gates Industrial through every session

Put GTES on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track GTES in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Gates Industrial

Gates Industrial designs, manufactures and sells power transmission and fluid power equipment to customers around the world. Its work centers on belts and hydraulic components used to move motion and fluid through machinery, ranging from drive systems and engine parts to lifting equipment, and it markets all of its output under the Gates brand.

The business runs through two divisions. The Power Transmission unit makes V-belts, CVT belts, Micro-V belts and related parts such as sprockets, pulleys, water pumps and tensioners, along with metal drive parts and kits sold into the automotive aftermarket. The Fluid Power unit produces hoses, tubing, fittings and pre-assembled hydraulic units for stationary and mobile systems. Together these serve construction, agriculture, energy, automotive, transportation, recreational vehicle, consumer product and industrial customers, supplying both original equipment manufacturers and the replacement parts market.

Gates Industrial was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GTES.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
gates.com

Gates Industrial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Gates Industrial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.7, in the Neutral zone, down 6.7 points over five sessions.

010055.7Neutral

Down 6.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+2.3%+1.7%+8.9%+22.4%
Accumulation207+1.2%+2.5%+5.0%+11.1%
Neutral (current zone)3700.0%+0.2%+1.0%+2.8%
Distribution74+2.1%+3.3%+2.9%+3.6%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average GTES share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GTES price, zone by zone.Track GTES in Gekko

Is Gates Industrial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Gates Industrial trades 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.76, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Gates Industrial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$26.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.3% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GTES in Gekko

Gates Industrial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Gates Industrial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GTES in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GTES insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GTES in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GTES were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GTES, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GTES in Gekko

Buybacks

Gates Industrial has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$22.10M
As a share of market cap
0.33%

From company filings.

Gates Industrial earnings: next date and track record

Gates Industrial reports on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.6%May ’24+0.1%Jul ’24+6.0%Oct ’24+8.7%Feb ’25+6.0%Apr ’25+0.2%Jul ’25−15.3%Oct ’25+5.5%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Gates Industrial delivered solid 2025 results with nearly 1% core growth despite contracting end markets. The company achieved record adjusted EBITDA dollars and record adjusted EPS of $1.52 (9% growth). Personal mobility business exceeded 25% core growth and data center business grew 4x versus 2024. Net leverage ratio improved to 1.85x and the company repurchased over $100 million in shares during Q4.
Guidance
Management enters 2026 with cautious optimism about industrial demand recovery. Book-to-bill ratio exited 2025 above 1x with positive order trends continuing in January. Industrial OEM demand activity is showing improvement.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 12, 2026$0.38
est $0.37
+2.7%$856.2M
est $853.3M
+0.3%+5.5%
Oct 29, 2025$0.39
est $0.38
+2.6%$855.7M
est $854.2M
+0.2%−15.3%
Jul 30, 2025$0.39
est $0.39
0.0%$883.7M
est $837.3M
+5.5%+0.2%
Apr 30, 2025$0.36
est $0.33
+9.1%$847.6M
est $867.0M
−2.2%+6.0%
Feb 6, 2025$0.36
est $0.33
+9.1%$829.4M
est $827.4M
+0.2%+8.7%
Oct 30, 2024$0.33
est $0.31
+6.5%$830.7M
est $833.3M
−0.3%+6.0%
Jul 31, 2024$0.36
est $0.36
0.0%$885.5M
est $895.6M
−1.1%+0.1%
May 1, 2024$0.31
est $0.32
−3.1%$862.6M
est $870.3M
−0.9%−6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Gates Industrial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Gates Industrial is $33.33, +25.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$33.33consensus 12-month target, +25.0% from the last close
Low $29High $39
Buy6
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 31D.A. DavidsonHold, initiated$29+8.7%
Aug 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$34+27.5%
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$30+12.5%
Aug 3J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$34+27.5%
Aug 3Wells FargoHold, reiterated$30+12.5%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Gates Industrial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Gates Industrial averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.2%2021+13.0%2022−7.4%2023+5.6%2024+4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.8%3 of 5

For scale, GTES’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.

Gates Industrial market cap and key statistics

Gates Industrial’s market cap is $6.77B, with a P/E ratio of 19.1 and revenue of $3.50B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.77B
P/E ratio
19.1
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
$1.41
Gekko Fair Value
$26.76

Trading

Volume
1.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.85M
52-week high
$30.34
52-week low
$20.88
Shares outstanding
253.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.50B
Profit margin
10.4%
Return on equity
10.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+205.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%

Gates Industrial stock news this week

2 headlines about Gates Industrial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Gates Industrial peers

Gates Industrial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Gates Industrial stock FAQ

What is Gates Industrial’s market cap?

Gates Industrial’s market cap is $6.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $26.67, with 253.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.1.

What is the Gates Industrial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Gates Industrial is $33.33, +25.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Gates Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Gates Industrial is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $26.67 is 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Gates Industrial report earnings next?

Gates Industrial is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.44 per share on revenue of $905.4M. Gates Industrial beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.

What is Gates Industrial’s 52-week high and low?

Gates Industrial’s 52-week high is $30.34 and its 52-week low is $20.88; it closed at $26.67 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.9% over the past year.

Is Gates Industrial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Gates Industrial the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.