NYSE: LII

Lennox International (LII) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$368.41−5.36 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Lennox International moves this week on a mix of analyst actions and continued scrutiny of residential demand. Wells Fargo initiated coverage at Equal Weight with a $424 price target, citing concerns over residential heating, ventilation, and air conditioning market fundamentals, while Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock to Hold despite what it called an attractive valuation. Commentary also points to weak residential demand and reduced profit guidance as the stock trades near 52-week lows, alongside a separate note suggesting the shares could be undervalued on a discounted cash flow basis. Lennox also declared a quarterly dividend of $1.36 per share, payable 15 October.

The stock closed at $368.41, down 1.4%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $416.12 and 200-day average of $489.48, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares trade near the 52-week low of $350.22 and well off the 52-week high of $587.27, down 35.2% over three months and 28.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 65.8, placing Lennox in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $413.12.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is due 28 October, 29 days away. Smart money activity in the past 90 days shows 1 congressional buy and 0 sales, alongside 1 billionaire holder. Seasonality over 5 years shows a -1.2% average return across this 20-day stretch, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 10 firms includes 3 buy, 6 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $492.69.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Lennox International price vs fair value

$413.12$368.41Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $368.41200-day averageGekko Fair Value $413.12

Lennox International quick facts

Market cap
$12.73B
P/E ratio
16.5
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$22.25
Revenue, TTM
$5.30B
Profit margin
14.9%
Dividend yield
1.41%
Beta
1.18
Volume
461,730 avg 496,857
1-year return
−28.6%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$416.12
200-day average
$489.48
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
34.56M
52-week range
$350.22$587.27

Lennox International swing-trade checklist

Lennox International scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $368.41 is below the 50-day ($416.12) and 200-day ($489.48) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.8, Accumulation

    Reading 65.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.8% below

    Price is 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Lennox International stock chart and price history

Lennox International closed at $368.41 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $350.22 to $587.27.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Lennox International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$350$400$450$500$550$600NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep368.41

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.8%
3 months
−35.2%
6 months
−15.9%
1 year
−28.6%
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Follow Lennox International through every session

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About Lennox International

Lennox International makes and supplies equipment for heating, cooling and refrigeration, serving homeowners as well as commercial and industrial buyers. It is recognized for its residential furnaces, air conditioners and heat pumps, alongside indoor air quality products and comfort controls used in both new homes and existing ones needing upgrades.

The company organizes its work into three areas. One focuses on residential heating and cooling equipment and replacement parts. Another serves light commercial customers with unitary HVAC systems, applied systems, controls, variable refrigerant flow technology, and related installation and maintenance work. The third supplies refrigeration components, including condensing units, unit coolers and industrial chillers, used by supermarkets, restaurants, warehouses, data centers and other industrial sites that need cooling or food preservation. Lennox International reaches these customers through direct sales, a distributor network, and its own retail locations for parts and supplies.

Founded in 1895, Lennox International is headquartered in Richardson, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker LII.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
lennox.com

Lennox International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Lennox International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.4 points over five sessions.

010065.8Accumulation

Down 5.4 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.6%+2.4%+1.0%+7.7%
Accumulation (current zone)215+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.8%
Neutral421−0.2%−0.3%−0.3%−0.5%
Distribution11−3.2%−5.8%−4.7%−5.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average LII share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LII price, zone by zone.Track LII in Gekko

Is Lennox International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Lennox International trades 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $413.12, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Lennox International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$413.12

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

10.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LII in Gekko

Lennox International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lennox International, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LII in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LII insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LII in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Lennox International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$132.7M
As a share of market cap
1.04%
Trailing four quarters
$343.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds LII.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Lennox International earnings: next date and track record

Lennox International reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.4%Oct ’24−8.5%Jan ’25−6.2%Apr ’25+7.2%Jul ’25−9.8%Oct ’25−0.5%Jan ’26+7.9%Apr ’26−23.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Lennox reported a mixed quarter: revenue rose 3% to $1.5B, total segment profit increased 2% to $355M, and adjusted EPS was flat at $7.72. The call highlighted a bifurcated performance across segments — Home Comfort Solutions (HCS / residential) experienced continued weakness with unit volumes down (one-step/residential new construction notably weak), while Building Climate Solutions (BCS / commercial) performed strongly with market share gains, emergency replacement momentum, and favorable margins. Management cited inflation, elevated market rates, historically low consumer confidence, competitive pressure in residential new construction, factory absorption headwinds from lower residential production, and tariff dynamics (IEEPA/301 and Section 232) as key near-term headwinds. Cash generation and working capital management remained strong; the company recognized most tariff refunds earlier than expected, supported free cash flow, and maintained a healthy balance sheet. Management reiterated long-term confidence in the industry and their portfolio, shifted some expectations for the timing of residential recovery into 2027, and emphasized investment in digital, distribution, and new factory capacity that is fueling commercial share gains.
Guidance
Management reduced its 2026 earnings outlook (specific EPS reduction not quantified on the call) and now expects the most meaningful residential recovery to shift into 2027 rather than H2 2026. HCS volume guide now calls for high-single-digit declines year-over-year (balance-of-year growth expected mostly in indirect channel; direct channel expected down low-single digits). Company maintains an inflation expectation of ~5% for the year. HCS revenue guide reflects a ~+1% (includes ~2 points from M&A), with volumes down ~5 points and M&A adding ~2 points. Management has recognized 100% of IEEPA tariff refunds they expect and received much of the related cash.
Risks flagged
Near-term residential demand weakness (new construction and one-step channel), pricing competition leading to walk-away from low-margin contracts, factory absorption headwinds from lower residential production, persistent inflation and commodity/fuel cost pressure, tariff/regulatory uncertainty affecting costs and mitigation timing, historically low consumer confidence, and potential macroeconomic headwinds that could delay recovery.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$7.72
est $7.63
+1.2%$1.55B
est $1.56B
−0.9%−23.3%
Apr 29, 2026$3.35
est $3.18
+5.3%$1.14B
est $1.07B
+6.0%+7.9%
Jan 28, 2026$4.45
est $4.72
−5.7%$1.20B
est $1.27B
−5.8%−0.5%
Oct 22, 2025$6.98
est $6.82
+2.3%$1.43B
est $1.47B
−3.0%−9.8%
Jul 23, 2025$7.82
est $6.86
+14.0%$1.50B
est $1.47B
+2.0%+7.2%
Apr 23, 2025$3.37
est $3.28
+2.7%$1.07B
est $1.02B
+4.7%−6.2%
Jan 29, 2025$5.60
est $4.24
+32.1%$1.35B
est $1.24B
+8.5%−8.5%
Oct 23, 2024$6.68
est $6.01
+11.1%$1.50B
est $1.42B
+5.7%+4.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Lennox International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lennox International is $492.69, +33.7% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$492.69consensus 12-month target, +33.7% from the last close
Low $375High $575
Buy3
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24J.P. MorganHold, initiated$424+15.1%
Sep 16UBSHold, maintained$490+33.0%
Sep 14Deutsche Bank Hold, downgraded$444+20.5%
Sep 3Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$375+1.8%
Jul 31Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$547+48.5%
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Lennox International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Lennox International averaged −1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.2%2021+2.3%2022−4.2%2023+1.4%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%4 of 5

For scale, LII’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Lennox International market cap and key statistics

Lennox International’s market cap is $12.73B, with a P/E ratio of 16.5 and revenue of $5.30B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.73B
P/E ratio
16.5
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$22.25
Gekko Fair Value
$413.12

Trading

Volume
461,730
Avg volume, 20 days
496,857
52-week high
$587.27
52-week low
$350.22
Shares outstanding
34.56M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.30B
Profit margin
14.9%
Return on equity
71.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+0.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.18
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
1.41%

Lennox International stock news this week

Coverage of Lennox International this week reads negative: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Lennox International peers

Lennox International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Lennox International stock FAQ

What is Lennox International’s market cap?

Lennox International’s market cap is $12.73B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $368.41, with 34.56M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.5.

What is the Lennox International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lennox International is $492.69, +33.7% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Lennox International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Lennox International is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $368.41 is 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $413.12. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Lennox International report earnings next?

Lennox International is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $7.49 per share on revenue of $1.58B. Lennox International beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.5% on average across the report.

What is Lennox International’s 52-week high and low?

Lennox International’s 52-week high is $587.27 and its 52-week low is $350.22; it closed at $368.41 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $689.44 on Jul 23, 2025.

Is Lennox International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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