NYSE: DOV

Dover (DOV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$191.48−0.40 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's activity centers on a wave of analyst attention. Wells Fargo & Company initiated coverage on Dover with an "overweight" rating and a $229.00 price target, citing recovering orders, improving backlog conversion, and exposure to secular growth markets. Seaport Global adjusted its price target to $245 from $265 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, and Dover has also drawn a "Moderate Buy" consensus recommendation from fifteen analysts with a consensus price target of $238.21. A Dover business unit also announced new connected-packaging products.

Dover closed at $191.48, down 0.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $199.19 and 200-day average of $210.26, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 5.1% over one month and 14.5% over three months, though still up 15.6% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 61.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 8.1 over five points. Gekko Fair Value stands at $191.77, putting price just 0.2% below that level.

Dover's next earnings date falls on 22 October 2026, 23 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $2.28 versus $2.27 estimated, with a 4% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Dover price vs fair value

$191.77$191.48Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $191.48200-day averageGekko Fair Value $191.77

Dover quick facts

Market cap
$25.79B
P/E ratio
23.2
Forward P/E
16.9
EPS, TTM
$8.27
Revenue, TTM
$8.42B
Profit margin
13.5%
Dividend yield
1.11%
Beta
1.15
Volume
1.27M avg 1.39M
1-year return
+15.6%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$199.19
200-day average
$210.26
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
134.7M
52-week range
$158.97$237.54

Dover swing-trade checklist

Dover scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $191.48 is below the 50-day ($199.19) and 200-day ($210.26) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.6, Accumulation

    Reading 61.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Dover stock chart and price history

Dover closed at $191.48 on Sep 28, 2026, +15.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $158.97 to $237.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Dover share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$180$200$220NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep191.48

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.1%
3 months
−14.5%
6 months
−7.3%
1 year
+15.6%
The full DOV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DOV in Gekko

Follow Dover through every session

Put DOV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Dover

Dover makes and sells industrial machinery, parts, consumables, software and support services across several distinct business lines. It is known for supplying equipment used in areas such as automotive aftermarket service, waste handling, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, fluid dispensing, and hoisting and winching, alongside components like clamps, indexers, conveyors, robotic pick-and-place systems and end-of-arm tooling for manufacturing lines.

The company operates through several segments. One handles fuel and hazardous material transport equipment along with support for fuel stations, convenience retail sites and vehicle washes. Another provides marking, coding, packaging and traceability solutions along with digital textile printing gear, serving consumer goods, pharmaceutical, industrial and apparel markets. A further segment builds pumps, flow meters, connectors and processing machinery for plastics and polymers, while another produces refrigeration systems, display cases, freezer doors and heat exchangers used in cooling and climate control. Dover sells through direct channels as well as a network of distributors.

Dover was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DOV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
dovercorporation.com

Dover GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Dover’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 8.1 points over five sessions.

010061.6Accumulation

Down 8.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+2.0%+3.5%+5.0%+9.9%
Accumulation (current zone)200+0.2%+0.4%+1.6%+2.6%
Neutral412+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%+1.2%
Distribution35+0.8%+0.8%+0.5%+3.9%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average DOV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DOV price, zone by zone.Track DOV in Gekko

Is Dover stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Dover trades 0.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $191.77, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Dover shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$191.77

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.2% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DOV in Gekko

Dover insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dover, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DOV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DOV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DOV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DOV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOV in Gekko

Buybacks

Dover has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.19M
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$596.8M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold DOV.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Dover earnings: next date and track record

Dover reports on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.0%Jul ’24−2.5%Oct ’24+3.2%Jan ’25+1.6%Apr ’25−2.3%Jul ’25+5.9%Oct ’25−2.2%Jan ’26+4.0%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Dover reported strong Q1 2026 results with double-digit revenue growth and adjusted EPS of $2.28, up 11% year-over-year. Bookings reached $2.5 billion, up 24% YoY with book-to-bill of 1.2x across all five segments. Climate & Sustainability Technologies led with 15% organic growth driven by data center cooling and CO2 refrigeration. Clean Energy and Fueling grew 11% organically. Free cash flow was $131 million, up $22 million versus prior year.
Guidance
Dover reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance, targeting double-digit adjusted EPS growth, with management signaling performance trending toward the top end of the range based on current order rates. Full-year capex guidance maintained at $190-$210 million. Guidance will be revisited next quarter.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 23, 2026$2.28
est $2.27
+0.4%$2.05B
est $2.00B
+2.5%+4.0%
Jan 29, 2026$2.51
est $2.49
+0.8%$2.10B
est $2.09B
+0.6%−2.2%
Oct 23, 2025$2.62
est $2.51
+4.4%$2.08B
est $2.11B
−1.5%+5.9%
Jul 24, 2025$2.44
est $2.39
+2.1%$2.05B
est $2.04B
+0.5%−2.3%
Apr 24, 2025$2.05
est $1.98
+3.5%$1.87B
est $1.88B
−0.5%+1.6%
Jan 30, 2025$2.20
est $2.08
+5.8%$1.93B
est $1.95B
−1.1%+3.2%
Oct 24, 2024$2.27
est $2.18
+4.1%$1.98B
est $2.02B
−1.8%−2.5%
Jul 25, 2024$2.36
est $2.21
+6.8%$2.18B
est $2.15B
+1.4%+5.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Dover stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dover is $244.84, +27.9% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$244.84consensus 12-month target, +27.9% from the last close
Low $215High $274
Buy8
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28Seaport GlobalBuy, reiterated$245+28.0%
Sep 25Wells FargoBuy, initiated$229+19.6%
Sep 24Wells FargoBuy, initiated$229+19.6%
Aug 31Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$274+43.1%
Aug 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Dover seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Dover averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021+8.6%2022−7.9%2023+0.4%2024+6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.2%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.9%4 of 5

For scale, DOV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Dover market cap and key statistics

Dover’s market cap is $25.79B, with a P/E ratio of 23.2 and revenue of $8.42B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$25.79B
P/E ratio
23.2
Forward P/E
16.9
EPS, TTM
$8.27
Gekko Fair Value
$191.77

Trading

Volume
1.27M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.39M
52-week high
$237.54
52-week low
$158.97
Shares outstanding
134.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.42B
Profit margin
13.5%
Return on equity
14.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.15
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.11%

Dover peers

Dover’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Dover stock FAQ

What is Dover’s market cap?

Dover’s market cap is $25.79B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $191.48, with 134.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.2.

What is the Dover stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dover is $244.84, +27.9% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Dover stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Dover is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $191.48 is 0.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $191.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Dover report earnings next?

Dover is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.86 per share on revenue of $2.21B. Dover beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is Dover’s 52-week high and low?

Dover’s 52-week high is $237.54 and its 52-week low is $158.97; it closed at $191.48 on Sep 28, 2026, +15.6% over the past year.

Is Dover stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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