NYSE: GGG

Graco (GGG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$78.25+0.39 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Graco's CEO Mark Sheahan appeared on "Power Lunch" this week to discuss the company's data center buildout and AI infrastructure play, alongside the company's 100th anniversary. Separately, Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a new position in Graco of approximately $57.95 million, while other filings showed reduced stakes from Andra AP fonden and Corient Private Wealth LP.

Graco shares closed at $78.25, up 0.5%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $79.07 and the 200-day average of $81.95, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 56.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 6.5 points over the past five sessions. Price sits 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $80.97.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October, 29 days out, after market close, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. In the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $267,500 and no call premium recorded. Analyst coverage from 6 firms shows 1 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $91.29, implying 16.7% consensus upside. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +0.1%, rising in 2 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Graco price vs fair value

$80.97$78.25Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $78.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $80.97

Graco quick facts

Market cap
$12.67B
P/E ratio
24.5
Forward P/E
22.1
EPS, TTM
$3.18
Revenue, TTM
$2.27B
Profit margin
23.5%
Dividend yield
1.50%
Beta
0.91
Volume
1.37M avg 2.50M
1-year return
−6.9%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$79.07
200-day average
$81.95
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
162.0M
52-week range
$72.51$95.69

Graco swing-trade checklist

Graco scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $78.25 is below the 50-day ($79.07) and 200-day ($81.95) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.5, Neutral

    Reading 56.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Graco stock chart and price history

Graco closed at $78.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $72.51 to $95.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Graco share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$80$85$90$95NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep78.25

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.7%
3 months
+3.3%
6 months
−6.6%
1 year
−6.9%
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About Graco

Graco designs, builds, and distributes equipment used to handle, measure, control, and apply fluids and powders in industrial and commercial settings. Its products range from foam and coating proportioners to pumps, valves, and spraying equipment used across manufacturing, construction, and vehicle service industries. The company is particularly recognized for its dispensing and fluid-handling systems used in demanding industrial applications.

The business operates through three segments. Its Industrial segment covers proportioning and dispensing systems for coatings, sealants, adhesives, and composites, along with liquid finishing and powder coating equipment sold under the Gema and SAT brands. The Process segment produces pumps and valves for moving chemicals, water, petroleum, food, and lubricants, along with equipment used in oil and gas operations and lubrication systems for industrial and vehicle equipment. Its Contractor segment supplies sprayers used for painting, roof coatings, and line marking on roads, parking areas, and floors, serving customers such as vehicle service centers, fleet operators, dealerships, and equipment builders.

Graco was established in 1926 and is based in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GGG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Industrial machinery
Website
graco.com

Graco GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Graco’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.5, in the Neutral zone, down 6.5 points over five sessions.

010056.5Neutral

Down 6.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying50+0.9%+0.9%+0.8%+1.1%
Accumulation2250.0%+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%
Neutral (current zone)384−0.2%−0.4%−0.5%−1.4%
Distribution12+0.9%+0.4%−3.9%−9.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average GGG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GGG price, zone by zone.Track GGG in Gekko

Is Graco stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Graco trades 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $80.97, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Graco shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$80.97

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

3.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GGG in Gekko

Graco insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Graco, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GGG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GGG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GGG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GGG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GGG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GGG in Gekko

Buybacks

Graco has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 26, 2026
$319.4M
As a share of market cap
2.52%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 4, $268K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GGG.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Graco earnings: next date and track record

Graco reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.7%Oct ’24−2.9%Jan ’25+1.9%Apr ’25−2.7%Jul ’25−2.6%Oct ’25+1.3%Jan ’26−5.8%Apr ’26+6.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Graco reported record fiscal Q2 sales of $591 million and record earnings, with growth across all three segments and margin expansion driven by price realization, manufacturing performance, tariff refunds, and disciplined cost management. Organic sales were roughly flat, with acquisitions and currency contributing to reported growth. Backlog increased materially (up $57 million or 28% YTD) and recent 6-week orders rose, supporting management's confidence in a stronger second half. Management announced a change to provide quarterly consolidated sales guidance going forward (while maintaining the full-year revenue outlook). The company completed a major acquisition (VELCRO Meltan) to expand its packaging dispense capabilities and sees cross-selling and margin opportunities. Cash flow remained strong (approximately $298 million YTD), and capital allocation will remain balanced: invest organically, pursue strategic M&A, and opportunistically repurchase shares while maintaining dividends.
Guidance
Management announced they will provide consolidated quarterly sales guidance going forward and indicated they have not changed their full-year revenue outlook for the year. No specific numeric quarterly or annual guidance figures were provided in the transcript.
Risks flagged
Timing risk on project revenue (e.g., finishing systems/powder coatings) that can cause quarter-to-quarter volatility; lumpy demand in semiconductor/end markets despite near-term strength; competition and pricing dynamics in newly acquired VELCRO Meltan’s markets; reliance on tariff refund benefit (not recurring) that boosted margins; general macroeconomic uncertainty and possible installation/timing delays that can push revenue between quarters.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.91
est $0.81
+12.3%$590.6M
est $608.1M
−2.9%+6.3%
Apr 22, 2026$0.66
est $0.74
−11.1%$540.1M
est $560.6M
−3.7%−5.8%
Jan 26, 2026$0.77
est $0.77
0.0%$593.2M
est $590.5M
+0.5%+1.3%
Oct 22, 2025$0.73
est $0.74
−1.1%$543.4M
est $562.1M
−3.3%−2.6%
Jul 23, 2025$0.75
est $0.79
−5.3%$571.8M
est $590.8M
−3.2%−2.7%
Apr 23, 2025$0.70
est $0.67
+4.6%$528.3M
est $524.7M
+0.7%+1.9%
Jan 27, 2025$0.64
est $0.77
−16.9%$548.7M
est $556.9M
−1.5%−2.9%
Oct 23, 2024$0.71
est $0.76
−6.6%$519.2M
est $536.3M
−3.2%−1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Graco stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Graco is $91.29, +16.7% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$91.29consensus 12-month target, +16.7% from the last close
Low $94High $96
Buy1
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 27D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained——
Jul 24Robert W. BairdHold, maintained$94+20.1%
Jul 24William BlairHold, maintained——
Jul 23RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$96+22.7%
Jul 23D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained——
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Graco seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Graco averaged +0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.9%2021+4.6%2022−1.9%2023−5.1%2024−2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.5%4 of 5

For scale, GGG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

Graco market cap and key statistics

Graco’s market cap is $12.67B, with a P/E ratio of 24.5 and revenue of $2.27B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.67B
P/E ratio
24.5
Forward P/E
22.1
EPS, TTM
$3.18
Gekko Fair Value
$80.97

Trading

Volume
1.37M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.50M
52-week high
$95.69
52-week low
$72.51
Shares outstanding
162.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.27B
Profit margin
23.5%
Return on equity
21.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.91
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
1.50%

Graco stock news this week

Coverage of Graco this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Graco peers

Graco’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LRCXLam Research+0.2%Neutral7.7% above
AMATApplied Materials+1.0%Neutral11.5% below
PHParker-Hannifin−0.4%Neutral5.9% above
TTTrane Technologies0.0%Neutral13.7% above
JCIJohnson Controls International−0.5%Neutral11.4% above
CARRCarrier Global−0.3%Accumulation4.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Graco stock FAQ

What is Graco’s market cap?

Graco’s market cap is $12.67B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $78.25, with 162.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.5.

What is the Graco stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Graco is $91.29, +16.7% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Graco stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Graco is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $78.25 is 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $80.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Graco report earnings next?

Graco is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of $587.2M. Graco beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Graco’s 52-week high and low?

Graco’s 52-week high is $95.69 and its 52-week low is $72.51; it closed at $78.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.9% over the past year.

Is Graco stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Graco?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Graco over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $268K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 4, 2026 with $268K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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