NYSE: LRN

Stride (LRN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$84.43−1.16 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Stride this week centers on governance change rather than operating results. The company entered a cooperation agreement with Fivespan Partners, under which Dylan Haggart joins the board on 30 October 2026, alongside the appointment of Dr. Steven Guttentag and the formation of a new Capital Allocation Committee co-chaired by Brian Shepherd and Haggart to review capital structure and allocation priorities. Separately, BMO Capital maintained a Market Perform rating while lowering its price target from $93 to $90, and Stride confirmed its first-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings call for 20 October 2026.

Shares closed at $84.43, down 1.4%, sitting between the 50-day average of $81.89 and the 200-day average of $85.07, a mixed trend signal. The GekkoIndex reads 51, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, though the index has fallen 10.8 over the past five sessions. Price stands 42% below Gekko Fair Value of $145.59, a gap that stands out against the otherwise mixed technical picture.

Earnings arrive on 20 October 2026 after close, seven days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the last reaction to results was -2.7% despite a beat, and average absolute moves around reports have run 17.9%. Seasonality from this point has averaged -2.9% over 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, while three trailblazer holders are recorded. Analyst consensus target sits at $107.5, with 1 buy and 2 hold ratings among 3 firms.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Stride price vs fair value

$145.59$84.43Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $84.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $145.59

Stride quick facts

Market cap
$3.59B
P/E ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$7.14
Revenue, TTM
$2.52B
Profit margin
13.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.14
Volume
690,775 avg 635,984
1-year return
−41.7%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$81.89
200-day average
$85.07
Next earnings
Oct 20 after close
Shares outstanding
41.56M
52-week range
$60.61$155.06

Stride swing-trade checklist

Stride scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $84.43 sits between the 50-day ($81.89) and 200-day ($85.07) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51, Neutral

    Reading 51 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    42.0% below

    Price is 42% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 8 days

    Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 8 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Stride stock chart and price history

Stride closed at $84.43 on Oct 12, 2026, −41.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.61 to $155.06.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Stride share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct84.43

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.0%
3 months
−2.8%
6 months
−8.1%
1 year
−41.7%
The full LRN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LRN in Gekko

Follow Stride through every session

Put LRN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track LRN in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Stride

Stride develops digital education programs aimed at students from kindergarten through twelfth grade, pairing its own course content with outside materials, software, and support services. It is known for operating virtual and blended public schools, and it also sells single online courses and study aids in subjects like math, science, English, and history. Beyond younger students, it runs adult career-training programs under names such as Galvanize, Tech Elevator, and MedCerts, teaching skills for jobs in software engineering, healthcare, and related fields.

The company's platforms assist schools in recruiting, enrolling, teaching, and tracking the progress of their students, and it also provides staffing and workforce-development services to employers. Its client base includes public and private schools, districts, charter boards, individual learners, companies, and government agencies, covering both education and job-training markets.

Stride began operating in 2000 under the name K12 Inc. before adopting its current name in December 2020. The business is based in Reston, Virginia, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker LRN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Other consumer services
Website
stridelearning.com

Stride GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Stride’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51, in the Neutral zone, down 10.8 points over five sessions.

010051Neutral

Down 10.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+4.9%+12.2%+18.1%+17.3%
Accumulation194+1.8%+1.8%+2.6%+7.2%
Neutral (current zone)380−0.6%−0.2%+1.3%+5.1%
Distribution58+0.9%+0.4%−2.0%+0.3%
Selling12+1.7%+0.6%−1.2%+3.1%

Average LRN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LRN price, zone by zone.Track LRN in Gekko

Is Stride stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Stride trades 42.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $145.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Stride shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$145.59

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

42.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$146$86Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LRN in Gekko

Stride insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Stride, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LRN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LRN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LRN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LRN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LRN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LRN in Gekko

Buybacks

Stride has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$188.7M
As a share of market cap
5.25%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold LRN.

2added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Stride earnings: next date and track record

Stride reports on Oct 20, 2026, after the close (8 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±17.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.6%Aug ’24+38.8%Oct ’24+7.6%Jan ’25+1.0%Apr ’25+13.8%Aug ’25−54.1%Oct ’25+15.6%Jan ’26−2.7%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Stride reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $629.9 million, up 2.7% year-over-year, with total enrollments growing 1.8% to 244,500. Career Learning revenue surged 15.9% to $259.5 million on 11.6% enrollment growth, offsetting a 3.6% decline in General Education revenue. Gross margins contracted 380 basis points to 36.8% due to platform investment costs. SG&A declined 13.5% to $102.5 million. Revenue per enrollment rose 2.9% to $2,485.
Guidance
Full-year gross margins expected at 37%-37.4%, with SG&A down 6%-8% versus prior year. Total revenue per enrollment anticipated up approximately 2% for full year. Platform-related costs expected to moderate entering FY2027; fall enrollment outlook pending Q4 update.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 28, 2026$2.30
est $2.21
+4.1%$629.9M
est $629.7M
0.0%−2.7%
Jan 27, 2026$2.12
est $2.01
+5.5%$631.3M
est $627.9M
+0.5%+15.6%
Oct 28, 2025$1.52
est $1.07
+42.1%$620.9M
est $613.3M
+1.2%−54.1%
Aug 5, 2025$2.29
est $1.83
+25.1%$653.6M
est $625.1M
+4.6%+13.8%
Apr 29, 2025$2.02
est $2.09
−3.3%$613.4M
est $626.2M
−2.1%+1.0%
Jan 28, 2025$2.03
est $2.03
0.0%$587.2M
est $569.7M
+3.1%+7.6%
Oct 22, 2024$0.94
est $0.27
+248.1%$551.1M
est $504.3M
+9.3%+38.8%
Aug 6, 2024$1.42
est $1.27
+11.8%$534.2M
est $525.8M
+1.6%+9.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Stride stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Stride is $107.50, +27.3% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$107.50consensus 12-month target, +27.3% from the last close
Low $90High $125
Buy1
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5BMO CapitalHold, maintained$90+6.6%
Oct 1BarringtonBuy, reiterated$125+48.1%
Sep 22William BlairHold, maintained——
Aug 31BMO CapitalHold, maintained$93+10.2%
Aug 5William BlairHold, maintained——
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Stride seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Stride averaged −2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.8%2021−22.2%2022+23.4%2023+34.9%2024−50.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.1%3 of 5

For scale, LRN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Stride market cap and key statistics

Stride’s market cap is $3.59B, with a P/E ratio of 11.4 and revenue of $2.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.59B
P/E ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$7.14
Gekko Fair Value
$145.59

Trading

Volume
690,775
Avg volume, 20 days
635,984
52-week high
$155.06
52-week low
$60.61
Shares outstanding
41.56M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.52B
Profit margin
13.4%
Return on equity
21.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+69.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.14
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%

Stride peers

Stride’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BKNGBooking−1.2%Accumulation28.5% below
EXPEExpedia−1.5%Neutral2.6% below
SCIService Corporation International+0.7%Accumulation2.1% above
LTHLife Time−0.6%Accumulation15.7% below
ANDGAndersen+2.8%Neutral8.0% below
HRBH&R Block+0.3%Neutral38.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Stride stock FAQ

What is Stride’s market cap?

Stride’s market cap is $3.59B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $84.43, with 41.56M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.4.

What is the Stride stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Stride is $107.50, +27.3% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Stride stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Stride is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $84.43 is 42.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $145.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Stride report earnings next?

Stride is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026, after the market closes (8 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.07 per share on revenue of $612.3M. Stride beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 17.9% on average across the report.

What is Stride’s 52-week high and low?

Stride’s 52-week high is $155.06 and its 52-week low is $60.61; it closed at $84.43 on Oct 12, 2026, −41.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $171.17 on Aug 27, 2025.

Is Stride stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Stride the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.