NASDAQ: PTON

Peloton Interactive (PTON) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$5.14+0.02 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Peloton Interactive closed at $5.14 on 12 October 2026, +0.4% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($5.25) and 200-day ($5.30) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $3.65 to $8.19. The GekkoIndex reads 55, in the Neutral zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $9.42, so the price is 45.4% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 24 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 11.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +7% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

10 firms rate the stock: 4 buy, 5 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $7.90. A typical daily move is about 3.7%, and a typical 20-day move about 13.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Peloton Interactive price vs fair value

$9.42$5.14Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $5.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.42

Peloton Interactive quick facts

Market cap
$2.14B
P/E ratio
35.1
Forward P/E
4.3
EPS, TTM
$0.14
Revenue, TTM
$2.45B
Profit margin
2.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.55
Volume
7.01M avg 8.87M
1-year return
−30.1%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±13.5%
50-day average
$5.25
200-day average
$5.30
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
423.0M
52-week range
$3.65$8.19

Peloton Interactive swing-trade checklist

Peloton Interactive scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $5.14 is below the 50-day ($5.25) and 200-day ($5.30) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55, Neutral

    Reading 55 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    45.4% below

    Price is 45.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Peloton Interactive stock chart and price history

Peloton Interactive closed at $5.14 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.65 to $8.19.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Peloton Interactive share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$4$6$7$8NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct5.14

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.8%
3 months
−16.6%
6 months
+8.7%
1 year
−30.1%
The full PTON chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PTON in Gekko

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About Peloton Interactive

Peloton Interactive makes connected fitness machines, including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Tread+, each built with a touchscreen that streams live and recorded workout classes. Alongside the hardware, it is known for turning home exercise equipment into a platform for ongoing instructor-led training rather than a standalone purchase.

The company earns revenue both from selling this equipment and from household subscription plans that unlock its full catalog of classes, accessible as well through the Peloton Digital app. These offerings are aimed at consumers rather than businesses, and by mid-2021 the company counted roughly 5.9 million members using its content. Sales happen directly between Peloton and its customers, through company-run showrooms and its own website rather than third-party retailers.

Peloton Interactive was established in 2012 and runs its operations out of New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker PTON.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Other consumer services
Website
onepeloton.com

Peloton Interactive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Peloton Interactive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55, in the Neutral zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions.

010055Neutral

Down 4.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+4.2%+8.6%+6.4%+6.9%
Accumulation276+0.1%+0.3%−0.2%+0.3%
Neutral (current zone)346+0.2%+0.3%+2.1%+8.5%
Distribution14+0.5%−1.1%+7.7%+30.9%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average PTON share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PTON price, zone by zone.Track PTON in Gekko

Is Peloton Interactive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Peloton Interactive trades 45.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Peloton Interactive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$9.42

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

45.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 50.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$9$5Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PTON in Gekko

Peloton Interactive insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Peloton Interactive, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PTON in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PTON insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PTON in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PTON were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PTON, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PTON in Gekko

Buybacks

Peloton Interactive has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.20M
As a share of market cap
0.10%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PTON.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Peloton Interactive earnings: next date and track record

Peloton Interactive reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.0%Oct ’24+10.4%Feb ’25−11.7%May ’25+10.9%Aug ’25+7.4%Nov ’25−21.7%Feb ’26+9.4%May ’26−12.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Peloton closed FY2026 with progress across its four strategic pillars: member outcomes, omnichannel reach, retention, and business excellence. The company launched the Cross-Training Series, Peloton IQ (AI personalization used by 50%+ of MAUs in Q4), and acquired Scope to expand Pilates capabilities. Commercial Business Unit delivered double-digit revenue growth across all regions. Pilates workout time rose 53% YoY, reflecting strong engagement trends.
Guidance
Management expects accelerating Commercial Business Unit growth in FY2027, supported by new Peloton Commercial Series equipment and increased sales investment. The company plans to expand retail micro-store footprint by at least 7 additional locations and targets participation in the $7 trillion global wellness market.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.13
est $0.11
+18.2%$607.7M
est $596.6M
+1.9%−12.9%
May 7, 2026$0.06
est $0.08
−25.0%$630.9M
est $618.3M
+2.0%+9.4%
Feb 5, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.05
−76.1%$656.5M
est $675.5M
−2.8%−21.7%
Nov 6, 2025$0.03
est $0.01
+200.0%$550.8M
est $541.1M
+1.8%+7.4%
Aug 7, 2025$0.05
est −$0.07
+171.4%$606.9M
est $549.5M
+10.5%+10.9%
May 8, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.06
−100.0%$624.0M
est $579.4M
+7.7%−11.7%
Feb 6, 2025−$0.24
est −$0.19
−26.3%$673.9M
est $653.3M
+3.2%+10.4%
Oct 31, 2024$0.00
est −$0.16
+98.5%$586.0M
est $574.8M
+1.9%+9.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Peloton Interactive stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Peloton Interactive is $7.90, +53.7% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$7.90consensus 12-month target, +53.7% from the last close
Low $4.50High $10
Buy4
Hold5
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 23Canaccord GenuityBuy, maintained$10+94.6%
Sep 17Morgan StanleySell, maintained$4.50−12.5%
Sep 8UBSBuy, reiterated$10+94.6%
Sep 8Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$4.50−12.5%
Sep 8UBSBuy, maintained$10+94.6%
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Peloton Interactive seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Peloton Interactive averaged +7.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−39.6%2021+3.5%2022−6.9%2023+69.2%2024+10.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.1%3 of 5

For scale, PTON’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.5%.

Peloton Interactive market cap and key statistics

Peloton Interactive’s market cap is $2.14B, with a P/E ratio of 35.1 and revenue of $2.45B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.14B
P/E ratio
35.1
Forward P/E
4.3
EPS, TTM
$0.14
Gekko Fair Value
$9.42

Trading

Volume
7.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.87M
52-week high
$8.19
52-week low
$3.65
Shares outstanding
423.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.45B
Profit margin
2.6%
Return on equity
-847%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+160.6%

Risk and income

Beta
2.55
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±13.5%

Peloton Interactive stock news this week

1 headline about Peloton Interactive from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Peloton Interactive peers

Peloton Interactive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BKNGBooking−1.2%Accumulation28.5% below
EXPEExpedia−1.5%Neutral2.6% below
SCIService Corporation International+0.7%Accumulation2.1% above
LTHLife Time−0.6%Accumulation15.7% below
ANDGAndersen+2.8%Neutral8.0% below
HRBH&R Block+0.3%Neutral38.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Peloton Interactive stock FAQ

What is Peloton Interactive’s market cap?

Peloton Interactive’s market cap is $2.14B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.14, with 423.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 35.1.

What is the Peloton Interactive stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Peloton Interactive is $7.90, +53.7% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Peloton Interactive stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Peloton Interactive is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.14 is 45.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Peloton Interactive report earnings next?

Peloton Interactive is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.11 per share on revenue of $554.6M. Peloton Interactive beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is Peloton Interactive’s 52-week high and low?

Peloton Interactive’s 52-week high is $8.19 and its 52-week low is $3.65; it closed at $5.14 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $99.36 on Oct 26, 2021.

Is Peloton Interactive stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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