NASDAQ: AFYA

Afya (AFYA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.85+0.10 (+0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Afya shares have drawn attention this week from several value-focused commentaries, including a comparison against Universal Technical Institute and a piece questioning whether the stock remains attractive for value investors, alongside a note that shares climbed 4.5% to $13.91 on 6 October. A Form 4 filing on 11 October coincided with a reported 4.24% increase in the stock but carried little additional detail. Together, the coverage centers on valuation questions rather than new operational or regulatory developments.

Afya closed at $14.85, up 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $13.77 and 200-day average of $14.31, a mixed trend signal. The GekkoIndex reads 46.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, though the index has fallen 14.2 points over the past five sessions. The price stands 40.8% below the Gekko Fair Value of $25.07, a gap that remains wide relative to recent trading levels.

Afya's next earnings report is scheduled for 12 November 2026 after the close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the prior eight quarters, the company beat estimates 7 times, with an average absolute reaction of 4% to results. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 3.7% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, leaving analyst sentiment, where both covering firms rate the stock a buy with a consensus target of $17.61, as the more visible signal worth noting.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Afya price vs fair value

▲$25.07$14.85Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.07

Afya quick facts

Market cap
$1.34B
P/E ratio
8.6
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
$1.64
Revenue, TTM
$3.83B
Profit margin
20.4%
Dividend yield
4.64%
Beta
0.37
Volume
114,742 avg 497,712
1-year return
−0.8%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$13.77
200-day average
$14.31
Next earnings
Nov 12 after close
Shares outstanding
49.90M
52-week range
$11.62$16.16

Afya swing-trade checklist

Afya scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $14.85 sits between the 50-day ($13.77) and 200-day ($14.31) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.2, Neutral

    Reading 46.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.8% below

    Price is 40.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Afya stock chart and price history

Afya closed at $14.85 on Oct 12, 2026, −0.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.62 to $16.16.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Afya share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$13$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.85

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.9%
3 months
+5.7%
6 months
−5.2%
1 year
−0.8%
The full AFYA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AFYA in Gekko

Follow Afya through every session

Put AFYA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Afya

Afya works through a group of subsidiaries to provide medical education across Brazil. Its programs cover medical schools, residency preparation, graduate studies, and continuing education for professionals at different stages of their careers, offered both through its own network and to outside institutions. It is also known for a subscription-based digital platform, reached by app or website, that gives clinicians and students tools like medical calculators, reference material, prescription guidance, scoring systems, and lab test information to support decisions at the point of care.

Its academic offerings reach beyond medicine into fields such as dentistry, nursing, psychology, pharmacy, physiotherapy, nutrition, and biomedicine, and extend further into business, accounting, law, and engineering degrees. Afya rounds out this structure with postgraduate medical programs, printed and digital course materials, an online learning platform, and practical training components, built around a network of undergraduate and graduate medical campuses with a set number of approved and operating seats for students.

Afya was founded in 1999 and is based in Nova Lima, Brazil. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AFYA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Other consumer services
Website
afya.com.br

Afya GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Afya’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.2, in the Neutral zone, down 14.2 points over five sessions.

010046.2Neutral

Down 14.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+1.5%+0.8%+5.2%+2.3%
Accumulation270+0.5%+1.0%+0.6%−1.2%
Neutral (current zone)353−0.8%−1.6%−2.7%−4.0%
Distribution7Too few readings yet
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average AFYA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AFYA price, zone by zone.Track AFYA in Gekko

Is Afya stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Afya trades 40.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.07, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Afya shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$25.07

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

40.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 7.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$25$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AFYA in Gekko

Afya insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Afya, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AFYA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AFYA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFYA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AFYA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AFYA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFYA in Gekko

Afya earnings: next date and track record

Afya reports on Nov 12, 2026, after the close (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.9%May ’24+7.3%Aug ’24−7.8%Nov ’24+11.6%Mar ’25+0.5%May ’25+0.9%Aug ’25+1.5%Nov ’25−0.1%Mar ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Mar 27, 2026$2.25
est $1.89
+19.0%——−0.1%
Nov 12, 2025$2.08
est $1.76
+18.2%$174.0M
est $174.5M
−0.3%+1.5%
Aug 14, 2025$2.27
est $1.98
+14.6%$169.3M
est $173.0M
−2.2%+0.9%
May 8, 2025$2.76
est $2.55
+8.2%$160.3M
est $165.5M
−3.1%+0.5%
Mar 13, 2025$2.10
est $1.61
+30.4%$136.9M
est $160.5M
−14.7%+11.6%
Nov 13, 2024$1.79
est $1.84
−2.7%$154.0M
est $146.3M
+5.2%−7.8%
Aug 14, 2024$2.29
est $1.95
+17.4%$145.0M
est $26.93M
+438.4%+7.3%
May 9, 2024$2.74
est $2.35
+16.6%$158.8M
est $29.51M
+437.9%−1.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Afya stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Afya is $17.61, +18.6% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$17.61consensus 12-month target, +18.6% from the last close
Low $17High $19
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7J.P. MorganBuy, upgraded$19+27.9%
Sep 24BradescoBuy, upgraded$17+14.5%
−2.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Afya seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Afya averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−13.6%2021+9.8%2022+15.0%2023+11.4%2024−2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.7%4 of 5

For scale, AFYA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

Afya market cap and key statistics

Afya’s market cap is $1.34B, with a P/E ratio of 8.6 and revenue of $3.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.34B
P/E ratio
8.6
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
$1.64
Gekko Fair Value
$25.07

Trading

Volume
114,742
Avg volume, 20 days
497,712
52-week high
$16.16
52-week low
$11.62
Shares outstanding
49.90M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.83B
Profit margin
20.4%
Return on equity
16.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+17.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.37
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
4.64%

Afya stock news this week

4 headlines about Afya from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Afya peers

Afya’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BKNGBooking−1.2%Accumulation28.5% below
EXPEExpedia−1.5%Neutral2.6% below
SCIService Corporation International+0.7%Accumulation2.1% above
LTHLife Time−0.6%Accumulation15.7% below
ANDGAndersen+2.8%Neutral8.0% below
HRBH&R Block+0.3%Neutral38.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Afya stock FAQ

What is Afya’s market cap?

Afya’s market cap is $1.34B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.85, with 49.90M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.6.

What is the Afya stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Afya is $17.61, +18.6% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Afya stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Afya is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.85 is 40.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.07. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Afya report earnings next?

Afya is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, after the market closes (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $194.4M. Afya beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Afya’s 52-week high and low?

Afya’s 52-week high is $16.16 and its 52-week low is $11.62; it closed at $14.85 on Oct 12, 2026, −0.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $22.48 on Jan 19, 2024.

Is Afya stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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