Ladder Capital (LADR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$8.72−0.05 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Ladder Capital declared a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per Class A share on 8 October, payable 15 October to shareholders of record as of 30 September, maintaining the previous payout amount and signaling stable shareholder distributions.

The stock closed at $8.72, down 0.6% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $9.49 and its 200-day average of $10.09, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 9.3% over one month, 11.3% over three months and 16.5% over six months, trading near the 52-week low of $8.48 against a high of $11.48. The GekkoIndex reads 66.3, placing LADR in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 46.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $16.36.

Ladder Capital's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 October, nine days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 February showed an EPS of $0.21 against an estimate of $0.23, with a 7.1% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters with an average absolute reaction of 2.9%. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 6.9% from this point in the calendar, positive in 5 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. The consensus from 4 covering analysts stands at 3 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $12.00, implying upside of 37.6%.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ladder Capital price vs fair value

▲$16.36$8.72Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $8.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $16.36

Ladder Capital quick facts

Market cap
$1.11B
P/E ratio
20.6
Forward P/E
2.4
EPS, TTM
$0.43
Revenue, TTM
$217.5M
Profit margin
24%
Dividend yield
10.60%
Beta
1.03
Volume
1.52M avg 1.66M
1-year return
−16.5%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$9.49
200-day average
$10.09
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
126.9M
52-week range
$8.48$11.48

Ladder Capital swing-trade checklist

Ladder Capital scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $8.72 is below the 50-day ($9.49) and 200-day ($10.09) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.3, Accumulation

    Reading 66.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    46.7% below

    Price is 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 10 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 10 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.9% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ladder Capital stock chart and price history

Ladder Capital closed at $8.72 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.48 to $11.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ladder Capital share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$9$10$11NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct8.72

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.3%
3 months
−11.3%
6 months
−14.6%
1 year
−16.5%
The full LADR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LADR in Gekko

Follow Ladder Capital through every session

Put LADR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ladder Capital

Ladder Capital provides financing and investment services tied to commercial real estate. It originates first mortgage loans, including conduit loans against stable, income-producing properties and balance sheet loans for assets going through transition such as lease-up, sale, or renovation. It also extends capital through structured debt arrangements like note purchase financings, subordinated debt, and mezzanine loans, work that forms the core of what the company is known for.

Beyond lending, Ladder Capital is organized around two further areas. One invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities, U.S. Agency Securities, corporate bonds, and equity positions. The other holds and manages a mix of commercial and residential real estate, covering offices, student housing, hotels, industrial buildings, retail space, and condominiums, giving the company exposure across property types rather than a single asset class.

Ladder Capital was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in New York City. It operates as a real estate investment trust for federal tax purposes, which generally lets it avoid federal corporate income tax provided it distributes at least 90 percent of its taxable income to shareholders. Its shares trade under the ticker LADR.

Sector
Finance
Website
laddercapital.com

Ladder Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ladder Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 13.1 points over five sessions.

010066.3Accumulation

Down 13.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying52−0.6%−0.6%+2.0%+4.0%
Accumulation (current zone)2110.0%−0.1%+0.7%+0.3%
Neutral363−0.2%−0.3%−1.3%−2.3%
Distribution9Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average LADR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LADR price, zone by zone.Track LADR in Gekko

Is Ladder Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ladder Capital trades 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.36, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ladder Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$16.36

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

46.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$16$9Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LADR in Gekko

Ladder Capital insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ladder Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LADR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LADR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LADR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LADR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LADR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LADR in Gekko

Buybacks

Ladder Capital has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$13.39M
As a share of market cap
1.21%
Trailing four quarters
$29.60M

From company filings.

Ladder Capital earnings: next date and track record

Ladder Capital reports on Oct 22, 2026 (10 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.8%Apr ’24+3.0%Jul ’24+2.8%Oct ’24+4.8%Feb ’25+0.1%Apr ’25+0.4%Jul ’25+0.4%Oct ’25−7.1%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ladder Capital reported Q4 2025 distributable earnings of $21.4M ($0.17/share), or $26.4M ($0.21/share) adjusted for a $5M reserved loan loss. Full-year distributable earnings reached $109.9M with 7.1% ROE and 2.0x leverage. The company achieved investment-grade ratings from Moody's and Fitch, originated $1.4B in new loans (highest since 2021), and maintained a $2.2B loan portfolio and $2.1B securities portfolio.
Guidance
Management enters 2026 focused on earnings growth, with $250M in loans already closed and $450M+ under application. The $850M revolving credit facility is expanding toward $1.25B with $100M in new commitments anticipated to close this quarter.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 5, 2026$0.21
est $0.23
−8.7%$50.47M
est $58.67M
−14.0%−7.1%
Oct 23, 2025$0.25
est $0.23
+8.7%$101.9M
est $61.00M
+67.1%+0.4%
Jul 24, 2025$0.23
est $0.22
+4.5%$97.75M
est $61.95M
+57.8%+0.4%
Apr 24, 2025$0.20
est $0.22
−9.1%$91.55M
est $59.83M
+53.0%+0.1%
Feb 6, 2025$0.27
est $0.29
−6.9%$121.2M
est $68.70M
+76.4%+4.8%
Oct 24, 2024$0.30
est $0.26
+15.4%$67.88M
est $74.60M
−9.0%+2.8%
Jul 25, 2024$0.31
est $0.30
+3.3%$74.42M
est $86.80M
−14.3%+3.0%
Apr 25, 2024$0.33
est $0.31
+6.5%$66.84M
est $96.63M
−30.8%+4.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ladder Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ladder Capital is $12.00, +37.6% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.00consensus 12-month target, +37.6% from the last close
Low $10.25High $13.50
Buy3
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12BTIGBuy, maintained$13.50+54.8%
Oct 6B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, initiated$13+49.1%
Aug 12KBWBuy, maintained$10.75+23.3%
Jul 29Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$10.25+17.5%
Jul 28Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$10.25+17.5%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ladder Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Ladder Capital averaged +6.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.9%2021+18.3%2022+4.7%2023+6.0%2024+1.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.4%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.9%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.9%5 of 5

For scale, LADR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

Ladder Capital market cap and key statistics

Ladder Capital’s market cap is $1.11B, with a P/E ratio of 20.6 and revenue of $217.5M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.11B
P/E ratio
20.6
Forward P/E
2.4
EPS, TTM
$0.43
Gekko Fair Value
$16.36

Trading

Volume
1.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.66M
52-week high
$11.48
52-week low
$8.48
Shares outstanding
126.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$217.5M
Profit margin
24%
Return on equity
3.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−15.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.03
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
Dividend yield
10.60%

Ladder Capital stock news this week

1 headline about Ladder Capital from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Ladder Capital stock FAQ

What is Ladder Capital’s market cap?

Ladder Capital’s market cap is $1.11B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.72, with 126.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.6.

What is the Ladder Capital stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ladder Capital is $12.00, +37.6% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ladder Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ladder Capital is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.72 is 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ladder Capital report earnings next?

Ladder Capital is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (10 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $79.10M. Ladder Capital beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.

What is Ladder Capital’s 52-week high and low?

Ladder Capital’s 52-week high is $11.48 and its 52-week low is $8.48; it closed at $8.72 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $12.70 on Apr 14, 2022.

Is Ladder Capital stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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