NYSE: AMTB

Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.99+0.22 (+0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's only notable item concerns an insider transaction at Amerant Bancorp: Michael E. Nursey, SEVP and Chief Domestic Banking Officer, received 500 shares of Class A Common Stock as restricted stock units vested on 8 October 2026, surrendering 122 shares to cover tax withholding obligations.

AMTB closed at $28.99, up 0.8% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $29.12 and 200-day average of $24.49, a mixed near-term trend set against six-month and one-year gains of 21.3% and 52.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price sits 4.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.24.

Amerant's next earnings report is due 22 October 2026, before the open, nine days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter's EPS beat estimate, 0.53 versus 0.36, with the stock reacting -1.6%, and the company has beaten in 4 of its last 7 quarters. No insider or Congress trading appears in the past 90 days, and no unusual options signals appear in the past 30 days. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 5-year average 20-trading-day return of 11.1%, with gains in 4 of those 5 years. Among 3 covering analysts, 1 rates it buy and 2 hold, with a consensus target of $31.88, a 10% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Amerant Bancorp price vs fair value

$30.24$28.99Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.24

Amerant Bancorp quick facts

Market cap
$1.14B
P/E ratio
20.9
Forward P/E
11.5
EPS, TTM
$1.39
Revenue, TTM
$391.3M
Profit margin
14.4%
Dividend yield
1.26%
Beta
0.81
Volume
317,937 avg 363,503
1-year return
+52.6%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
50-day average
$29.12
200-day average
$24.49
Next earnings
Oct 22 before open
Shares outstanding
39.19M
52-week range
$15.62$30.60

Amerant Bancorp swing-trade checklist

Amerant Bancorp scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $28.99 sits between the 50-day ($29.12) and 200-day ($24.49) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.1, Neutral

    Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 10 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 10 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Amerant Bancorp stock chart and price history

Amerant Bancorp closed at $28.99 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $15.62 to $30.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Amerant Bancorp share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.1%
3 months
+13.1%
6 months
+21.3%
1 year
+52.6%
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About Amerant Bancorp

Amerant Bancorp serves as the parent company of Amerant Bank, N.A., offering a broad range of banking products to individual and business customers across the United States. Its deposit and lending lineup spans checking, savings, and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and various commercial and consumer loans, including commercial real estate financing, residential mortgages, automobile and personal loans, and revolving credit arrangements. The company is also recognized for its wealth management and trust services tailored to high net worth clients.

Beyond standard deposit and loan products, Amerant Bancorp provides brokerage and investment advisory access to global capital markets, along with fiduciary and estate planning services. Its everyday banking offerings include debit and credit cards, wire transfers, letters of credit, remote deposit capture, and online and mobile banking tools, supported by a network of physical banking centers and ATMs. The company serves both retail customers and businesses seeking cash management and financial services.

Previously known as Mercantil Bank Holding Corporation before adopting its current name in June 2019, Amerant Bancorp traces its founding back to 1979 and is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AMTB.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Major banks
Website
amerantbank.com

Amerant Bancorp GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Amerant Bancorp’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, up 1.6 points over five sessions.

010058.1Neutral

Up 1.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+1.6%+1.4%−1.3%+3.5%
Accumulation226+0.4%+0.6%+3.9%+5.0%
Neutral (current zone)374+0.5%+1.1%+0.6%+2.5%
Distribution44−2.5%−4.7%−4.9%−3.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average AMTB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMTB price, zone by zone.Track AMTB in Gekko

Is Amerant Bancorp stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Amerant Bancorp trades 4.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.24, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Amerant Bancorp shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$30.24

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.1% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$30$29Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMTB in Gekko

Amerant Bancorp insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Amerant Bancorp, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AMTB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AMTB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMTB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AMTB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AMTB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMTB in Gekko

Buybacks

Amerant Bancorp has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$18.71M
As a share of market cap
1.65%
Trailing four quarters
$59.95M

From company filings.

Amerant Bancorp earnings: next date and track record

Amerant Bancorp reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (10 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reports.

4 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.2%Jul ’24+0.1%Oct ’24+3.3%Jan ’25−3.8%Mar ’25−11.5%Apr ’25+1.5%Jul ’25−4.6%Oct ’25−1.6%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Amerant Bancorp reported Q4 and full-year 2025 results, with total assets falling below $10 billion as part of deliberate balance sheet rightsizing. The company is executing a 3-year strategic plan focused on stabilization, optimization, and growth. Key priorities include credit transformation to improve asset quality, reducing non-core funding, and operational efficiency initiatives including AI-driven process optimization. A share repurchase program was approved, reflecting management confidence in intrinsic share value.
Guidance
Management is focused on stabilizing credit performance, exiting non-core markets, and improving operational efficiency with cost reduction updates forthcoming. Venezuela political developments are seen as a meaningful growth opportunity across deposits, wealth management, and commercial banking. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 22, 2026$0.53
est $0.36
+49.3%$112.2M
est $107.5M
+4.4%−1.6%
Oct 28, 2025$0.39
est $0.53
−26.4%$108.5M
est $110.2M
−1.5%−4.6%
Jul 23, 2025$0.57
est $0.38
+50.0%$108.5M
est $106.7M
+1.7%+1.5%
Apr 23, 2025$0.24
est $0.40
−40.0%$104.9M
est $101.8M
+3.0%−11.5%
Mar 4, 2025$0.40—$149.9M—−3.8%
Jan 22, 2025$0.50
est $0.33
+51.5%——+3.3%
Oct 23, 2024$0.27
est $0.23
+17.4%$102.2M
est $98.53M
+3.7%+0.1%
Jul 24, 2024$0.28
est $0.35
−20.0%$96.75M
est $93.65M
+3.3%−9.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Amerant Bancorp stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Amerant Bancorp is $31.88, +10.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$31.88consensus 12-month target, +10.0% from the last close
Low $28High $32
Buy1
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 12StephensHold, downgraded$32+10.4%
Aug 3KBWHold, maintained$31+6.9%
Jul 24Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$28−3.4%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+11.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Amerant Bancorp seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Amerant Bancorp averaged +11.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+18.7%2021+18.8%2022+2.5%2023+21.1%2024−6.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.8%4 of 5

For scale, AMTB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.

Amerant Bancorp market cap and key statistics

Amerant Bancorp’s market cap is $1.14B, with a P/E ratio of 20.9 and revenue of $391.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.14B
P/E ratio
20.9
Forward P/E
11.5
EPS, TTM
$1.39
Gekko Fair Value
$30.24

Trading

Volume
317,937
Avg volume, 20 days
363,503
52-week high
$30.60
52-week low
$15.62
Shares outstanding
39.19M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$391.3M
Profit margin
14.4%
Return on equity
6.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−3.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.81
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
Dividend yield
1.26%

Amerant Bancorp stock news this week

1 headline about Amerant Bancorp from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Amerant Bancorp peers

Amerant Bancorp’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
JPMJP Morgan Chase0.0%Accumulation6.9% below
BACBank of America+0.2%Accumulation13.1% below
RYRoyal Bank Of Canada+0.4%Accumulation6.5% below
WFCWells Fargo−0.8%Neutral8.5% below
CCitigroup+1.5%Neutral6.6% below
TDToronto Dominion Bank+1.2%Accumulation2.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Amerant Bancorp stock FAQ

What is Amerant Bancorp’s market cap?

Amerant Bancorp’s market cap is $1.14B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.99, with 39.19M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.9.

What is the Amerant Bancorp stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Amerant Bancorp is $31.88, +10.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Amerant Bancorp stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Amerant Bancorp is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.99 is 4.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.24. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Amerant Bancorp report earnings next?

Amerant Bancorp is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (10 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.57 per share on revenue of $103.4M. Amerant Bancorp beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Amerant Bancorp’s 52-week high and low?

Amerant Bancorp’s 52-week high is $30.60 and its 52-week low is $15.62; it closed at $28.99 on Oct 12, 2026, +52.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $36.72 on Dec 17, 2021.

Is Amerant Bancorp stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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