Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HOMB in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HOMB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HOMB in Gekko
NYSE: HOMB
Home BancShares (HOMB) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$28.86−0.33 (−1.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's coverage of HOMB centers on whether the stock is fully valued after its recent run, with one piece noting a common narrative puts fair value at $32.29 against a P/E ratio of 12.2x that sits above the industry average. A separate upgrade to Buy also surfaced, alongside commentary on the stock's dividend profile and a note that shares recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, with analysts maintaining a "Moderate Buy" consensus and an average price target of $33.00 cited in that piece.
HOMB closed at $28.86, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $30.28 and 200-day average of $28.46. The GekkoIndex reads 66.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $31.47. Over the past six months the stock has returned 9.2%, though the one-month return is -2.7%.
Earnings are set for 14 October 2026, 15 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 15 July showed EPS of $0.64 against a $0.62 estimate, with a 5.8% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 4 buy and 5 hold ratings across 9 firms, with a consensus target of $33.25.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Home BancShares price vs fair value
Close $28.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $31.47
Home BancShares quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.81B
- P/E ratio
- 12.1
- Forward P/E
- 11
- EPS, TTM
- $2.42
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.10B
- Profit margin
- 43.6%
- Dividend yield
- 2.87%
- Beta
- 0.67
- Volume
- 1.20M avg 1.54M
- 1-year return
- +1.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- 50-day average
- $30.28
- 200-day average
- $28.46
- Next earnings
- Oct 14
- Shares outstanding
- 200.1M
Home BancShares swing-trade checklist
Home BancShares scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $28.86 sits between the 50-day ($30.28) and 200-day ($28.46) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.9, Accumulation
Reading 66.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.3% below
Price is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 15 days
Reports on Oct 14, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Home BancShares stock chart and price history
Home BancShares closed at $28.86 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.50 to $31.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.7%
- 3 months
- +0.3%
- 6 months
- +9.2%
- 1 year
- +1.0%
The full HOMB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HOMB in Gekko
Follow Home BancShares through every session
Put HOMB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Home BancShares
Home BancShares operates as the holding company behind Centennial Bank, which provides a wide range of banking services to businesses, property developers, investors, individuals, and local government bodies. Through Centennial Bank, customers can access checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit, along with loans covering commercial real estate, construction, residential mortgages, consumer needs, agriculture, and industrial financing. The bank is also known for extending into insurance underwriting, covering property, casualty, life, health, and employee benefits.
Beyond core deposit and lending products, Centennial Bank supports customers with online and mobile banking, cash management tools, overdraft protection, direct deposit, automated transfers, and voice response systems. It also offers safe deposit boxes and access to U.S. savings bonds, rounding out a broad mix of everyday banking conveniences alongside its commercial and insurance offerings.
Home BancShares was established in 1998 and is headquartered in Conway, Arkansas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker HOMB.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Regional banks
- Website
- homebancshares.com
Home BancShares GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Home BancShares’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.
66.9Accumulation
Up 2.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 22 | +2.3% | +7.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 218 | +0.6% | +2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 407 | −0.1% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 18 | −0.4% | −2.6% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HOMB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HOMB price, zone by zone.Track HOMB in Gekko
Is Home BancShares stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Home BancShares trades 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $31.47, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Home BancShares shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$31.47
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
8.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HOMB in Gekko
Home BancShares insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Home BancShares, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HOMB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HOMB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HOMB in Gekko
Buybacks
Home BancShares has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $40.85M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.70%
- Trailing four quarters
- $79.67M
From company filings.
Home BancShares earnings: next date and track record
Home BancShares reports on Oct 14, 2026 (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 14, 2026
15 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.64
- Revenue estimate
- $294.4M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Home Bancshares reported a strong Q2 2026 with record adjusted net income of $128.1 million (EPS $0.64), stable margins (reported NIM 4.51%, core margin 4.47%), solid deposit and loan additions driven partly by the Mountain Commerce acquisition, and improving tangible book value. Management highlighted ~ $12.7 million of merger-related expenses this quarter, $5.5–$6.0 million of expected annual cost savings from the Mountain Commerce conversion (expected to realize materially after November conversion), continued share repurchases (1.5M shares / $40.4M this quarter and ~15M shares remaining under authorization), and nearly $450M of parent company cash. Loan production rebounded (~$1.4B production, ~ $1B from the Community Bank footprint), with surprising modest organic loan growth (+$26M vs prior expected -$600M). Asset quality improved (declines in NPAs and NPLs, reserve coverage ~177% of NPLs) and noninterest income was elevated (~$53M) due to loan recoveries, higher fee income at CCFG, and increased SBIC-related income.
- Guidance
- Management did not provide a formal numerical forward-looking revenue or EPS guide. They provided actionable forward-looking commentary: (1) They will no longer forecast next quarter loan growth (i.e., removed prior loan-growth guidance). (2) Expected annualized pre-tax cost savings from Mountain Commerce conversion: approximately $5.5M–$6.0M (materially realized after the November conversion). (3) Capital deployment intention: continue share repurchases (targeted to offset shares issued in M&A) with flexibility to be opportunistic. (4) ALCO rate sensitivity: modeled ~6% increase in income in a +100 bps rate environment.
- Risks flagged
- Competition and deposit pricing pressure (CD maturities and market rate competition), higher-than-expected paydowns in future quarters, uncertain timing of loan pipelines (timing risk), potential for merger-related costs and integration risk, and structural market risk from aggressive competitor underwriting/structures. Also noted seasonal and payoff-related variability in fee/PAA accretion and noninterest income.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | $0.64 est $0.62 | $295.1M est $288.7M | +5.8% |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.59 | $266.7M est $272.9M | −4.4% |
| Jan 14, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.60 | $282.1M est $272.5M | +2.9% |
| Oct 15, 2025 | $0.61 est $0.60 | $279.7M est $270.0M | −6.4% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.58 | $266.6M est $270.0M | +2.2% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $0.56 est $0.54 | $256.9M est $255.2M | +1.4% |
| Jan 15, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.52 | $254.8M est $252.6M | +3.4% |
| Oct 16, 2024 | $0.50 est $0.53 | $254.4M est $258.9M | −0.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Home BancShares stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Home BancShares is $33.25, +15.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$33.25consensus 12-month target, +15.2% from the last close
Now $28.86Avg $33.25
Low $31High $36
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | KBW | $32 | +10.9% |
| Sep 11 | StoneX | — | — |
| Sep 8 | Hovde Group | $34 | +17.8% |
| Aug 19 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $31 | +7.4% |
| Jul 21 | Citi | $32 | +10.9% |
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Home BancShares seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Home BancShares averaged −0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, HOMB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.
Home BancShares market cap and key statistics
Home BancShares’s market cap is $5.81B, with a P/E ratio of 12.1 and revenue of $1.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.81B
- P/E ratio
- 12.1
- Forward P/E
- 11
- EPS, TTM
- $2.42
- Gekko Fair Value
- $31.47
Trading
- Volume
- 1.20M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.54M
- 52-week high
- $31.70
- 52-week low
- $25.50
- Shares outstanding
- 200.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.10B
- Profit margin
- 43.6%
- Return on equity
- 11.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −1.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.67
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- Dividend yield
- 2.87%
Home BancShares stock news this week
Coverage of Home BancShares this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Home BancShares (HOMB) Gets A Zacks Lift, Is The Stock Already Fully Valued?Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 26
- Home BancShares (HOMB) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- Home BancShares (HOMB) Could Be a Great ChoiceZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- 638,954 Shares in Home BancShares, Inc. $HOMB Bought by Bank of America Corp DEMarketBeat, Sep 25
- Home BancShares (NYSE:HOMB) Stock Cross Above 200 Day Moving Average - What's Next?MarketBeat, Sep 22
Home BancShares peers
Home BancShares’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Accumulation | 4.8% below |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| NUNu | Buying | 24.1% below |
| TFCTruist Financial | Buying | 10.3% below |
| FITBFifth Third Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.5% below |
| MTBM&T Bank | Accumulation | 11.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Home BancShares stock FAQ
What is Home BancShares’s market cap?
Home BancShares’s market cap is $5.81B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.86, with 200.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.1.
What is the Home BancShares stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Home BancShares is $33.25, +15.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Home BancShares stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Home BancShares is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.86 is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $31.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Home BancShares report earnings next?
Home BancShares is expected to report on Oct 14, 2026 (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.64 per share on revenue of $294.4M. Home BancShares beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.
What is Home BancShares’s 52-week high and low?
Home BancShares’s 52-week high is $31.70 and its 52-week low is $25.50; it closed at $28.86 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $32.91 on Nov 25, 2024.
Is Home BancShares stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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