Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BPOP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BPOP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BPOP in Gekko
NASDAQ: BPOP
Popular (BPOP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$158.85−1.63 (−1.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryPopular's shares this week drew attention on two fronts: options traders showed notable interest in an October $105 call with high implied volatility, pointing to expectations of a sizable price swing, while a separately reported Q2 FY2026 earnings call disclosed net income of $278 million and EPS of $4.35, both up sharply from the prior quarter and year-over-year. Coverage also flagged Popular as a top-ranked value name and noted its 23.4% six-month rally compared with the broader industry's 12.9% gain.
The stock closed at $158.85, down 1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $169.55 and 200-day average of $149.50, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 65.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 12% below the $180.41 Gekko Fair Value.
Earnings are due on 22 October 2026, just 23 days away, placing the report inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period. No notable insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a decline of 2.1% over five years, rising in only 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Popular price vs fair value
Close $158.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $180.41
Popular quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.15B
- P/E ratio
- 10.9
- Forward P/E
- 9.7
- EPS, TTM
- $14.79
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.06B
- Profit margin
- 31.7%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
- Beta
- 0.62
- Volume
- 315,867 avg 550,929
- 1-year return
- +25.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.1%
- 50-day average
- $169.55
- 200-day average
- $149.50
- Next earnings
- Oct 22
- Shares outstanding
- 63.78M
Popular swing-trade checklist
Popular scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $158.85 sits between the 50-day ($169.55) and 200-day ($149.50) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.3, Accumulation
Reading 65.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
12.0% below
Price is 12% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Popular stock chart and price history
Popular closed at $158.85 on Sep 28, 2026, +25.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $108.74 to $179.24.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.4%
- 3 months
- −3.6%
- 6 months
- +22.2%
- 1 year
- +25.1%
The full BPOP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BPOP in Gekko
Follow Popular through every session
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About Popular
Popular provides retail, mortgage, and commercial banking services through its subsidiaries, operating in Puerto Rico, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands. Its deposit offerings include savings, NOW, and money market accounts, along with standard demand deposits and certificates of deposit. The company is also known for its wide-ranging lending activity, covering commercial and industrial loans, multi-family and commercial real estate financing, and residential mortgages.
Beyond core banking, Popular serves individual customers with personal loans, credit cards, auto financing, and home equity lines of credit, while also funding construction projects and offering lease financing, particularly for vehicles. The company extends into investment banking, equipment and auto leasing, broker-dealer activity, and insurance, and it gives customers access to their accounts through debit cards and online banking tools.
Founded in 1893, Popular is headquartered in Hato Rey, Puerto Rico. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker BPOP.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Regional banks
- Website
- popular.com
Popular GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Popular’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.5 points over five sessions.
65.3Accumulation
Down 2.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 19 | +0.9% | +3.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 165 | +1.2% | +5.5% | ||
| Neutral | 420 | +0.3% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 65 | +0.6% | −0.2% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BPOP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BPOP price, zone by zone.Track BPOP in Gekko
Is Popular stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Popular trades 12.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $180.41, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Popular shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$180.41
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
12.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BPOP in Gekko
Popular insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Popular, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BPOP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BPOP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BPOP in Gekko
Buybacks
Popular has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.00B, Jul 23, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $128.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.27%
- Trailing four quarters
- $556.3M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BPOP.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Popular earnings: next date and track record
Popular reports on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.92
- Revenue estimate
- $906.1M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jan 26, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Popular, Inc. delivered a strong 2025 with net income of $833 million, up 36% year-over-year, driven by loan growth, higher net interest income (NII), margin expansion, and lower operating expenses. Q4 net income was $234 million, EPS $3.53. Loan growth totaled $2.2 billion (6% yearly), with commercial loans leading. Credit quality remained stable; net charge-offs improved to 52 bps for the year. Capital ratios are healthy (CET1 15.7%); tangible book value per share rose 21% to $82.65. The company repurchased ~$500M in common stock in 2025 and increased the quarterly dividend by $0.05 to $0.75. Management reiterated a 14% ROTCE/ROX target, expects NII growth of 5–7% in 2026 and net charge-offs of 55–70 bps, and loan growth guide of 3–4% for 2026. They emphasized expense discipline, continued technology investments, focus on deposit growth and customer primacy, and openness to targeted, small-scale U.S. M&A that meets strict criteria. Risks discussed included PREPA (electric utility) uncertainty, affordability pressures impacting credit, potential consumer auto weakness, and macro/geopolitical risks. Management tone was confident and measured; Q&A responses were direct and informative. The call included prepared remarks followed by a Q&A session with multiple analysts.
- Guidance
- - NII growth guide for 2026: 5% to 7% (management comfortable with this range). - Net charge-offs expectation for 2026: 55 to 70 basis points. - Loan growth guide for 2026: 3% to 4%. - ROTCE/ROX objective: sustainable ~14% (management intent to continue capital and operating actions to drive this). - No explicit margin numeric guidance beyond expectation of marginal expansion (~5–10 bps implied comments).
- Risks flagged
- - PREPA (Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority) bankruptcy/uncertainty impacting economic growth and business costs. - Affordability pressures for consumers (housing, inflation) that could affect credit demand and performance. - Potential softening in consumer auto loans. - Competitive deposit environment in Puerto Rico and the U.S., particularly rate-sensitive deposits and brokered deposit dynamics. - Concentration risks from commercial relationships (noted isolated commercial credit issues).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | $3.40 est $2.92 | $863.0M est $839.2M | +7.1% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $3.14 est $2.87 | $779.3M est $821.0M | −3.1% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $3.09 est $2.54 | $762.2M est $804.1M | −0.7% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $2.56 est $2.16 | $719.9M est $765.6M | +7.2% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $2.52 est $2.10 | $720.4M est $752.3M | 0.0% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $2.16 est $2.38 | $702.2M est $766.6M | −11.0% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | $2.46 est $2.12 | $695.5M est $588.3M | −0.7% |
| Apr 23, 2024 | $1.88 est $1.86 | $680.4M est $559.8M | +3.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Popular stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Popular is $196.70, +23.8% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$196.70consensus 12-month target, +23.8% from the last close
Now $158.85Avg $196.70
Low $181High $216
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Citi | $192 | +20.9% |
| Sep 16 | Barclays | $200 | +25.9% |
| Aug 31 | Benchmark Co. | $216 | +36.0% |
| Aug 10 | Wells Fargo | $200 | +25.9% |
| Aug 3 | Barclays | $200 | +25.9% |
+5.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Popular seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Popular averaged −2.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, BPOP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.
Popular market cap and key statistics
Popular’s market cap is $10.15B, with a P/E ratio of 10.9 and revenue of $3.06B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.15B
- P/E ratio
- 10.9
- Forward P/E
- 9.7
- EPS, TTM
- $14.79
- Gekko Fair Value
- $180.41
Trading
- Volume
- 315,867
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 550,929
- 52-week high
- $179.24
- 52-week low
- $108.74
- Shares outstanding
- 63.78M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.06B
- Profit margin
- 31.7%
- Return on equity
- 15.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +40.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.62
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
Popular stock news this week
Coverage of Popular this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Popular (BPOP) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Popular Stock?TradingView, Sep 25
- Popular Inc. R (PP4A.DU) Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcriptYahoo Finance, Sep 24
- Bloom Energy vs. Marathon Petroleum: Which Popular Energy Stock Is the Better Buy?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 23
- Popular (BPOP) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings GrowthEastern Progress, Sep 22
- How InvestingPro’s Fair Value spotted Popular’s 71% gain 18 months ago By Investing.comInvesting.com, Sep 22
Popular peers
Popular’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Accumulation | 4.8% below |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| NUNu | Buying | 24.1% below |
| TFCTruist Financial | Buying | 10.3% below |
| FITBFifth Third Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.5% below |
| MTBM&T Bank | Accumulation | 11.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Popular stock FAQ
What is Popular’s market cap?
Popular’s market cap is $10.15B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $158.85, with 63.78M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.9.
What is the Popular stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Popular is $196.70, +23.8% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Popular stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Popular is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $158.85 is 12.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $180.41. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Popular report earnings next?
Popular is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $906.1M. Popular beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.
What is Popular’s 52-week high and low?
Popular’s 52-week high is $179.24 and its 52-week low is $108.74; it closed at $158.85 on Sep 28, 2026, +25.1% over the past year.
Is Popular stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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