Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$12.73+0.08 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Banco BBVA Argentina closed at $12.73 on 12 October 2026, +0.6% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($14.69) and 200-day ($16.57) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $9.15 to $22.47. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $18.50, so the price is 31.2% below it.

Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 6.4% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +21.7% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

A typical daily move is about 4.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 11.3%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Banco BBVA Argentina price vs fair value

$18.50$12.73Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $12.73200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.50

Banco BBVA Argentina quick facts

Market cap
$2.60B
P/E ratio
9.8
Forward P/E
3.2
EPS, TTM
$1.33
Revenue, TTM
$3.19T
Profit margin
8.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.06
Volume
216,573 avg 546,718
1-year return
+30.8%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%
50-day average
$14.69
200-day average
$16.57
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
204.2M
52-week range
$9.15$22.47

Banco BBVA Argentina swing-trade checklist

Banco BBVA Argentina scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.73 is below the 50-day ($14.69) and 200-day ($16.57) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.2, Accumulation

    Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.2% below

    Price is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +21.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +21.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Banco BBVA Argentina stock chart and price history

Banco BBVA Argentina closed at $12.73 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.15 to $22.47.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Banco BBVA Argentina share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.73

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.5%
3 months
−36.5%
6 months
−21.9%
1 year
+30.8%
The full BBAR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BBAR in Gekko

Follow Banco BBVA Argentina through every session

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About Banco BBVA Argentina

Banco BBVA Argentina provides a full range of banking services across Argentina, serving everyday customers as well as businesses of varying sizes. Individuals can access checking and savings accounts, term deposits, credit cards, personal and mortgage loans, insurance and investment products. The bank is recognized for this broad retail offering alongside its reach into corporate finance.

Smaller and mid-sized businesses are served through financing arrangements, factoring, payroll processing, deposit accounts and insurance and investment options. Larger corporations and multinational companies operating in the country have access to more specialized services, including transaction management, capital markets activity such as securities brokerage and risk management, long-term and project financing, syndicated loans, and advisory work covering mergers, acquisitions and capital raising. The bank reaches these customers through a mix of physical branches, ATMs, self-service terminals and digital banking channels.

Headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina, the bank traces its founding back to 1886 and operated for many years as BBVA Banco Francés before adopting its current name in July 2019. Its shares trade under the ticker BBAR.

Sector
Finance
Website
bbva.com.ar

Banco BBVA Argentina GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Banco BBVA Argentina’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions.

010067.2Accumulation

Down 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying49−1.6%−5.2%−5.8%+26.8%
Accumulation (current zone)196−0.5%0.0%+4.4%+10.8%
Neutral342+1.8%+3.0%+4.3%+5.0%
Distribution48+1.6%+4.2%+3.6%+19.0%
Selling0Not available

Average BBAR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BBAR price, zone by zone.Track BBAR in Gekko

Is Banco BBVA Argentina stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Banco BBVA Argentina trades 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.50, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Banco BBVA Argentina shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.50

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

31.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 32.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$13Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BBAR in Gekko

Banco BBVA Argentina insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Banco BBVA Argentina, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BBAR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BBAR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBAR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BBAR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BBAR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBAR in Gekko

Banco BBVA Argentina earnings: next date and track record

Banco BBVA Argentina beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.4% on average across the report.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.9%Nov ’24−4.3%Jan ’25−3.2%May ’25−5.4%Aug ’25+13.8%Nov ’25+2.3%Mar ’26+14.5%May ’26−3.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BBVA Argentina reported Q2 2026 inflation-adjusted net income of ARS 131.6 billion, up 44.6% quarter-over-quarter, with ROE improving to 12.2%. NIM net of monetary position loss improved to 14.7% from 14.0%. Total private sector financing reached ARS 17.1 trillion with 12% loan market share. NPL ratio rose 49 bps to 6.09%, though early-stage delinquency indicators show improvement. Capital ratio stands at 18.8%, representing 128.7% excess over minimums.
Guidance
Management holds a constructive macro outlook for H2 2026, citing declining inflation, improving external accounts, and fiscal discipline as key anchors. Credit recovery is expected to gradually accelerate as interest rates decline and financial intermediation normalizes, though the path will be non-linear.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 27, 2026$0.44
est $0.35
+25.7%$630.6M
est $738.8M
−14.6%−3.0%
May 26, 2026$0.27
est $1.05
−74.3%$667.3M
est $686.3M
−2.8%+14.5%
Mar 4, 2026$0.18
est $0.34
−47.1%$563.6M
est $638.5M
−11.7%+2.3%
Nov 25, 2025$0.20
est $0.20
0.0%$512.4M
est $512.4M
0.0%+13.8%
Aug 20, 2025$0.21
est $0.37
−43.2%$992.4M
est $870.2M
+14.1%−5.4%
May 21, 2025$0.34
est $0.69
−50.7%$1.18B
est $814.4B
−99.9%−3.2%
Jan 30, 2025$0.28
est $0.37
−24.3%$918.9M—−4.3%
Nov 20, 2024$0.49
est $0.45
+8.9%$1.69B—−4.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Banco BBVA Argentina stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Banco BBVA Argentina is $24.50, +92.5% from the last close.

$24.50consensus 12-month target, +92.5% from the last close
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+21.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Banco BBVA Argentina seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Banco BBVA Argentina averaged +21.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021−1.3%2022+3.4%2023+32.1%2024+71.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+17.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+21.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+18.0%3 of 5

For scale, BBAR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.3%.

Banco BBVA Argentina market cap and key statistics

Banco BBVA Argentina’s market cap is $2.60B, with a P/E ratio of 9.8 and revenue of $3.19T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.60B
P/E ratio
9.8
Forward P/E
3.2
EPS, TTM
$1.33
Gekko Fair Value
$18.50

Trading

Volume
216,573
Avg volume, 20 days
546,718
52-week high
$22.47
52-week low
$9.15
Shares outstanding
204.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.19T
Profit margin
8.6%
Return on equity
8.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+71.3%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.06
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%

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Banco BBVA Argentina stock FAQ

What is Banco BBVA Argentina’s market cap?

Banco BBVA Argentina’s market cap is $2.60B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.73, with 204.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.8.

What is the Banco BBVA Argentina stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Banco BBVA Argentina is $24.50, +92.5% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Banco BBVA Argentina stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Banco BBVA Argentina is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.73 is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.50. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Banco BBVA Argentina’s 52-week high and low?

Banco BBVA Argentina’s 52-week high is $22.47 and its 52-week low is $9.15; it closed at $12.73 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $25.01 on Jan 7, 2025.

Is Banco BBVA Argentina stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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