NASDAQ: STEP

StepStone (STEP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$43.11−1.25 (−2.8%)

Gekko Brief

StepStone closed at $43.11 on 28 September 2026, -2.8% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($47.55) and 200-day ($52.28) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $38.85 to $77.80. The GekkoIndex reads 67.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $56.26, so the price is 23.4% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 37 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 3.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +2.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

8 firms rate the stock: 7 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $69.56. A typical daily move is about 4.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 7.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

StepStone price vs fair value

$56.26$43.11Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $43.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $56.26

StepStone quick facts

Market cap
$5.56B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
18.5
EPS, TTM
−$7.70
Revenue, TTM
$2.01B
Profit margin
-30.5%
Dividend yield
2.49%
Beta
1.28
Volume
751,286 avg 1.07M
1-year return
−33.3%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$47.55
200-day average
$52.28
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
82.29M
52-week range
$38.85$77.80

StepStone swing-trade checklist

StepStone scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $43.11 is below the 50-day ($47.55) and 200-day ($52.28) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.5, Accumulation

    Reading 67.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.4% below

    Price is 23.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

StepStone stock chart and price history

StepStone closed at $43.11 on Sep 28, 2026, −33.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.85 to $77.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
StepStone share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep43.11

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.1%
3 months
+7.1%
6 months
−5.2%
1 year
−33.3%
The full STEP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STEP in Gekko

Follow StepStone through every session

Put STEP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About StepStone

StepStone provides private equity and venture capital investment services, working across primary commitments, direct deals, fund of funds, and secondary transactions. It is known for the breadth of its approach, covering everything from early seed and venture financing through to buyouts, turnarounds, and growth capital in established mid-market and mature companies.

Its direct investment activity spans a wide range of industries, including natural resources, technology, healthcare, consumer goods, financials, telecommunications, infrastructure, real estate, and credit, among others. Through its fund of funds work, StepStone also allocates to private equity, venture capital, real estate, infrastructure, and distressed or special situation funds, taking both minority and majority stakes and considering co-investments, follow-ons, and partial fund interests. Its reach extends globally, with particular focus on the United States, wider North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and Australia, and it allocates a portion of its portfolio to emerging markets.

StepStone was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York, with further offices spread across North and South America, Europe, Asia, South Korea, and Australia. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker STEP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
stepstonegroup.com

StepStone GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

StepStone’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions.

010067.5Accumulation

Up 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29−1.2%−2.9%−5.1%+10.5%
Accumulation (current zone)164+0.6%+1.7%+4.8%+6.8%
Neutral428+0.6%+0.8%+1.5%+3.0%
Distribution40−0.9%−0.5%−3.6%−0.7%
Selling11+1.2%+2.8%+6.2%+6.5%

Average STEP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STEP price, zone by zone.Track STEP in Gekko

Is StepStone stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

StepStone trades 23.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.26, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what StepStone shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$56.26

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

23.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STEP in Gekko

StepStone insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for StepStone, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STEP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STEP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STEP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STEP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STEP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STEP in Gekko

Buybacks

StepStone has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$19.22M
As a share of market cap
0.35%

From company filings.

StepStone earnings: next date and track record

StepStone reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.0%Aug ’24+2.9%Nov ’24−0.5%Feb ’25+4.4%May ’25−1.7%Aug ’25−2.4%Nov ’25−2.4%Feb ’26+4.2%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
StepStone reported Q4 FY2026 GAAP net loss of $7.8M (-$0.10/share) but achieved record fee-related earnings of $105M, up 12% YoY with 40% FRE margin. Core FRE (excluding retroactive fees) grew 28% YoY to $101M. Adjusted net income was $69M ($0.57/share), down from $81M due to lower performance-related earnings. Record quarterly fundraising of ~$14B capped a record fiscal year of $38B gross AUM additions. Private wealth subscriptions hit record highs with $2.3B in new subscriptions.
Guidance
Management expects continued top-line growth and operating leverage to drive FRE growth in fiscal 2027. Private wealth momentum remains strong with March and April each exceeding $800M in monthly subscriptions, with May tracking similarly.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 20, 2026$0.57
est $0.50
+14.0%——+4.2%
Feb 5, 2026$0.65
est $0.60
+8.3%$494.5M
est $395.0M
+25.2%−2.4%
Nov 6, 2025$0.54
est $0.49
+11.3%$454.2M
est $272.3M
+66.8%−2.4%
Aug 6, 2025$0.40
est $0.44
−9.1%$364.3M
est $238.4M
+52.8%−1.7%
May 22, 2025$0.68
est $0.44
+54.2%$377.7M
est $229.4M
+64.7%+4.4%
Feb 6, 2025$0.44
est $0.45
−2.2%$339.0M
est $226.2M
+49.8%−0.5%
Nov 7, 2024$0.45
est $0.46
−2.2%$271.7M
est $210.5M
+29.0%+2.9%
Aug 8, 2024$0.48
est $0.35
+37.1%$186.4M
est $181.2M
+2.9%+11.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

StepStone stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for StepStone is $69.56, +61.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$69.56consensus 12-month target, +61.4% from the last close
Low $56High $88
Buy7
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$65+50.8%
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$63+46.1%
Sep 15BarclaysBuy, maintained$62+43.8%
Sep 11RBC CapitalBuy, initiated$65+50.8%
Sep 9RBC CapitalBuy, initiated$65+50.8%
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

StepStone seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, StepStone averaged +2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.0%2021+14.8%2022−11.3%2023+8.4%2024−3.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.6%3 of 5

For scale, STEP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

StepStone market cap and key statistics

StepStone’s market cap is $5.56B and revenue of $2.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.56B
Forward P/E
18.5
EPS, TTM
−$7.70
Gekko Fair Value
$56.26

Trading

Volume
751,286
Avg volume, 20 days
1.07M
52-week high
$77.80
52-week low
$38.85
Shares outstanding
82.29M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.01B
Profit margin
-30.5%
Return on equity
-61.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−38.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.28
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
Dividend yield
2.49%

StepStone stock news this week

Coverage of StepStone this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

StepStone peers

StepStone’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley−1.1%Accumulation12.7% below
BLKBlackRock−0.5%Accumulation10.3% below
UBSUBS−0.8%Accumulation9.5% below
BXBlackstone−2.1%Buying16.8% below
KKRKKR−2.2%Accumulation18.1% below
BNBrookfield−1.2%Buying21.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

StepStone stock FAQ

What is StepStone’s market cap?

StepStone’s market cap is $5.56B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.11, with 82.29M shares outstanding.

What is the StepStone stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for StepStone is $69.56, +61.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is StepStone stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate StepStone is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.11 is 23.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.26. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does StepStone report earnings next?

StepStone is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $330.1M. StepStone beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is StepStone’s 52-week high and low?

StepStone’s 52-week high is $77.80 and its 52-week low is $38.85; it closed at $43.11 on Sep 28, 2026, −33.3% over the past year.

Is StepStone stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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