NASDAQ: VCTR

Victory Capital (VCTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$109.60+0.85 (+0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Victory Capital has drawn attention this week from a surge in implied volatility on its options, with investors flagged as needing to watch the movements in the options market closely. No results, guidance, deal or regulatory news accompanies this activity in the available coverage.

VCTR closes at $109.60, up 0.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $108.83 and its 200-day average of $83.75, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 5.1 over the past five sessions. Price sits just 0.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $109.29. Over the past month the stock has pulled back 9.5%, though it remains up 32.9% over three months, 68.3% over six months and 67.7% over the past year.

The next earnings report is set for 5 November 2026, 37 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, despite the options volatility noted in headlines. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.6% gain over five years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 7 firms shows 2 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $110.33.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Victory Capital price vs fair value

$109.60$109.29Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $109.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $109.29

Victory Capital quick facts

Market cap
$6.85B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
12.7
EPS, TTM
$5.49
Revenue, TTM
$1.56B
Profit margin
29.6%
Dividend yield
1.85%
Beta
1.11
Volume
326,599 avg 694,277
1-year return
+67.7%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$108.83
200-day average
$83.75
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
61.51M
52-week range
$57.03$123.55

Victory Capital swing-trade checklist

Victory Capital scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $109.60 is above the 50-day ($108.83) and 200-day ($83.75) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.4, Neutral

    Reading 59.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.3% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.3% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Victory Capital stock chart and price history

Victory Capital closed at $109.60 on Sep 28, 2026, +67.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $57.03 to $123.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Victory Capital share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep109.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.5%
3 months
+32.9%
6 months
+68.3%
1 year
+67.7%
The full VCTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VCTR in Gekko

Follow Victory Capital through every session

Put VCTR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Victory Capital

Victory Capital works as an asset manager with a global reach, relying on a network of subsidiaries to serve its clients. The firm handles investment advisory duties, administers funds, manages compliance and transfer agent tasks, and distributes funds as well, covering much of what goes into running investment products. It has built a reputation for crafting investment strategies suited to different types of clients rather than offering one standard product.

Its operations run through a set of franchises, each contributing its own strategies to a shared platform; by the close of 2021 this platform held 130 distinct investment strategies. Clients range from large institutions and financial intermediaries to retirement plan sponsors and everyday individual investors, with both retail and direct accounts represented. The company has also entered into a partnership with Xavier University of Louisiana.

Victory Capital traces its founding to 2013 and runs its operations out of San Antonio, Texas. Its Class A shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker VCTR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
vcm.com

Victory Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Victory Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.4, in the Neutral zone, down 5.1 points over five sessions.

010059.4Neutral

Down 5.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying8Too few readings yet
Accumulation148+0.9%+2.1%+3.8%+11.2%
Neutral (current zone)445+0.9%+1.8%+3.9%+8.6%
Distribution66+0.8%+1.6%+4.6%+13.5%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average VCTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VCTR price, zone by zone.Track VCTR in Gekko

Is Victory Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Victory Capital trades 0.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $109.29, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Victory Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$109.29

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

0.3% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VCTR in Gekko

Victory Capital insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Victory Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VCTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VCTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VCTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VCTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VCTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VCTR in Gekko

Buybacks

Victory Capital has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$91.44M
As a share of market cap
1.33%
Trailing four quarters
$387.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold VCTR.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Victory Capital earnings: next date and track record

Victory Capital reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away).

Victory Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Victory Capital is $110.33, +0.7% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$110.33consensus 12-month target, +0.7% from the last close
Low $87High $118
Buy2
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$91−17.0%
Sep 25Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$91−17.0%
Sep 17BarclaysHold, maintained$112+2.2%
Aug 27BarclaysHold, maintained$112+2.2%
Aug 27Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$91−17.0%
+3.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Victory Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Victory Capital averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.4%2021+13.4%2022−12.7%2023+7.1%2024−3.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.1%3 of 5

For scale, VCTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Victory Capital market cap and key statistics

Victory Capital’s market cap is $6.85B, with a P/E ratio of 19.3 and revenue of $1.56B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.85B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
12.7
EPS, TTM
$5.49
Gekko Fair Value
$109.29

Trading

Volume
326,599
Avg volume, 20 days
694,277
52-week high
$123.55
52-week low
$57.03
Shares outstanding
61.51M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.56B
Profit margin
29.6%
Return on equity
19.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+148.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
1.85%

Victory Capital stock news this week

1 headline about Victory Capital from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Victory Capital peers

Victory Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley−1.1%Accumulation12.7% below
BLKBlackRock−0.5%Accumulation10.3% below
UBSUBS−0.8%Accumulation9.5% below
BXBlackstone−2.1%Buying16.8% below
KKRKKR−2.2%Accumulation18.1% below
BNBrookfield−1.2%Buying21.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Victory Capital stock FAQ

What is Victory Capital’s market cap?

Victory Capital’s market cap is $6.85B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.60, with 61.51M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.3.

What is the Victory Capital stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Victory Capital is $110.33, +0.7% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Victory Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Victory Capital is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.60 is 0.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $109.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Victory Capital report earnings next?

Victory Capital is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.96 per share on revenue of $405.7M.

What is Victory Capital’s 52-week high and low?

Victory Capital’s 52-week high is $123.55 and its 52-week low is $57.03; it closed at $109.60 on Sep 28, 2026, +67.7% over the past year.

Is Victory Capital stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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