Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AER in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
This week's activity centers on AerCap's debt financing and continued analyst attention. AerCap priced $1.5 billion in senior notes through its subsidiary, split between $750 million of 5.500% notes due 2030 and $750 million of 5.875% notes due 2033. Separately, analyst commentary highlighted a consensus 12-month price target of $172.56, with eleven analysts maintaining an average "Buy" rating, alongside comparative coverage weighing AER against peer WAB in the leasing sector.
AER closed at $146.51, down 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $147.66 and 200-day average of $144.20. The GekkoIndex reads 55.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Fair value assessment puts Gekko Fair Value at $160.32, leaving the current price 8.6% below that level.
Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. In the last 90 days, no insider or Congress buying activity is on record, and no unusual options signals appear in the last 30 days. AerCap holds one billionaire holder among tracked positions. Seasonality data shows that from this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.5% gain over five years, with gains in three of those years. Analyst sentiment remains largely favorable, with 9 of 10 firms rating the stock a buy and one holding a neutral stance.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
AerCap scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
Averages disagree
Close $146.51 sits between the 50-day ($147.66) and 200-day ($144.20) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart55.3, Neutral
Reading 55.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex8.6% below
Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+3.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AerCap closed at $146.51 on Sep 28, 2026, +19.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $118.96 to $158.81.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put AER on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
AerCap buys, leases, sells and manages commercial aircraft and engines for customers across the aviation world, with activity concentrated in markets such as China, Hong Kong, Macau, the United States and Ireland. It is recognized for the scale of its aircraft and engine fleet, which by the end of 2021 stood at 2,369 units either owned outright, managed on behalf of others, or on order.
The company's work goes beyond simply owning aircraft. It remarkets planes and engines to new operators, collects rent and maintenance payments, inspects and maintains equipment, arranges deliveries and redelivery, and checks on the financial health of the airlines it leases to. When leases run into trouble, it can renegotiate terms or repossess aircraft, and it also arranges insurance, registration and valuations, alongside treasury and administrative functions like budgeting and financial reporting. It further supplies airframe and engine parts through supply chain arrangements serving airlines, maintenance and repair organizations, and parts distributors.
AerCap was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AER.
AerCap’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.3, in the Neutral zone, down 7.5 points over five sessions.
Down 7.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 10 | +4.6% | +15.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 126 | +1.6% | +5.0% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 476 | +0.2% | +1.2% | ||
| Distribution | 59 | +0.8% | +1.2% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AER share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
AerCap trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $160.32, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AerCap shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$160.32
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
8.6% Undervalued
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AerCap, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AER in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in AER were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
AerCap has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AER.
AerCap reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | $5.39 est $3.70 | $2.24B est $2.07B | +3.7% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | $3.95 est $3.40 | $2.24B est $2.11B | −1.0% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $4.97 est $3.10 | $1.89B est $1.98B | +7.8% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $2.83 est $2.68 | $1.89B est $2.01B | −4.8% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $3.68 est $2.80 | $2.08B est $2.01B | +0.1% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $3.31 est $2.57 | $2.07B est $1.96B | +1.0% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $2.41 est $2.41 | $1.95B est $1.92B | −2.3% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | $3.01 est $2.37 | $1.89B est $1.89B | −7.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AerCap is $179.30, +22.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Jul 30 | TD Cowen | $180 | +22.9% |
| Jul 30 | J.P. Morgan | $183 | +24.9% |
| Jul 30 | Morgan Stanley | $165 | +12.6% |
| Jul 30 | Truist Financial | $180 | +22.9% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AerCap averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +14.4% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, AER’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.
AerCap’s market cap is $23.10B, with a P/E ratio of 7.3 and revenue of $8.96B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of AerCap this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
AerCap’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| VVisa | Neutral | 5.4% below |
| MAMastercard | Neutral | 6.5% below |
| AXPAmerican Express | Accumulation | 12.9% below |
| COFCapital One Financial | Accumulation | 14.8% below |
| URIUnited Rentals | Neutral | 9.0% below |
| RKTRocket Companies | Accumulation | 23.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
AerCap’s market cap is $23.10B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $146.51, with 157.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.3.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AerCap is $179.30, +22.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate AerCap is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $146.51 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $160.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
AerCap is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.15 per share on revenue of $2.08B. AerCap beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.
AerCap’s 52-week high is $158.81 and its 52-week low is $118.96; it closed at $146.51 on Sep 28, 2026, +19.8% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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