NYSE: AAUC

Allied Gold (AAUC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$20.20−0.36 (−1.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Allied Gold's Kurmuk Mine in Ethiopia, with repeated updates on exploration and drilling results. The company reports high-grade intercepts at the Ashashire, Dish Mountain, Tsenge Trend, and Urchin targets, along with resource growth and potential mine life extension as the mine completes commissioning, designed for 240,000 gold ounces per year. Alongside this, analyst activity is mixed: Wall Street Zen cut AAUC to "Hold" from "Buy," while Stifel Nicolaus reaffirmed a Buy rating, citing quarterly revenues of C$366.3 million and net profit of C$37.25 million, though it lowered its price target to $39.28 from an earlier C$56.00 figure.

AAUC closes at $20.20, down 1.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $21.93 and its 200-day average of $26.42, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 62.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions. Price stands 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.89.

Earnings are set for 4 November 2026, 22 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed EPS of $0.44 against a $0.25 estimate, with a 9.8% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, and no seasonal pattern is established given limited history.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Allied Gold price vs fair value

$21.89$20.20Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $20.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.89

Allied Gold quick facts

Market cap
$2.56B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
3.7
EPS, TTM
−$1.36
Revenue, TTM
$1.49B
Profit margin
-4.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.83
Volume
157,399 avg 404,836
1-year return
+14.1%
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$21.93
200-day average
$26.42
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
139.3M
52-week range
$14.60$32.20

Allied Gold swing-trade checklist

Allied Gold scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $20.20 is below the 50-day ($21.93) and 200-day ($26.42) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.3, Accumulation

    Reading 62.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.7% below

    Price is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allied Gold stock chart and price history

Allied Gold closed at $20.20 on Oct 12, 2026, +14.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.60 to $32.20.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Allied Gold share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20.20

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.6%
3 months
−10.6%
6 months
−36.1%
1 year
+14.1%
The full AAUC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AAUC in Gekko

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About Allied Gold

Allied Gold explores for and produces gold, along with some silver, through mining operations across Africa. Its best-known asset is the Sadiola open pit gold mine in Mali, which anchors the company's production efforts.

Beyond Sadiola, Allied Gold holds interests in the Bonikro, Hiré, and Agbaou mines in Côte d'Ivoire, along with full ownership of the Kurmuk gold project in Ethiopia. Together these properties span exploration and active production, giving the company a presence at multiple stages of the mining process across different African countries. The company operates through subsidiaries that manage these individual sites.

Allied Gold is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. It previously operated under the names Allied Gold Corp Limited and Allied Merger Corporation before adopting its current name in September 2023. Shares of the company are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AAUC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Precious metals
Website
alliedgold.com

Allied Gold GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allied Gold’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010062.3Accumulation

Down 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+7.8%+6.3%+9.8%+13.6%
Accumulation (current zone)128+2.0%+2.9%+6.1%+14.7%
Neutral288+0.5%+2.4%+6.1%+16.4%
Distribution70+1.8%+3.3%+2.3%+12.2%
Selling10−3.3%−3.9%−2.0%+7.6%

Average AAUC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AAUC price, zone by zone.Track AAUC in Gekko

Is Allied Gold stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allied Gold trades 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.89, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allied Gold shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$21.89

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AAUC in Gekko

Allied Gold insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allied Gold, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AAUC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AAUC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AAUC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AAUC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AAUC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AAUC in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AAUC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Allied Gold earnings: next date and track record

Allied Gold reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 5 reports.

1 of 5reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.5%average move across the report
3 of 7reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−13.5%Nov ’24−1.5%May ’25−14.4%Aug ’25+1.1%Nov ’25+0.9%Mar ’26−4.4%May ’26+9.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Allied Gold (AAUC) reported Q2 2026 production of just over 97,000 ounces across operations in Mali, Cote d'Ivoire, and Ethiopia. The company maintains a treasury of $190M+ with a pro forma cash balance near $500M post-Zijin Gold strategic investment. Production platform targets growth from ~200,000 to ~350,000 ounces annually. Kurmuk mine in Ethiopia, expected to produce 250,000+ oz/year, is in commissioning with production start targeted September 2026.
Guidance
Company reaffirmed annual production guidance from existing mines, with H2 improvement driven by higher feed grades at Sadiola and Bonikro and Kurmuk startup. Exploration budget increased to $36M following H1 successes. Cote d'Ivoire complex targets 200,000 oz/year for at least 10 years.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.44
est $0.25
+76.0%$366.3M
est $411.5M
−11.0%+9.8%
May 14, 2026−$0.47
est $0.36
−229.2%$394.1M
est $458.0M
−13.9%−4.4%
Mar 31, 2026−$0.19
est $0.61
−131.1%$427.8M
est $427.5M
+0.1%+0.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.29
est $0.47
−38.3%$305.6M
est $323.5M
−5.5%+1.1%
Aug 7, 2025$0.14
est $0.29
−51.9%$252.0M
est $289.0M
−12.8%−14.4%
May 7, 2025$0.12—$346.4M
est $360.0M
−3.8%−1.5%
Nov 8, 2024−$1.28—$188.9M
est $209.5M
−9.9%−13.5%
Aug 9, 2024$0.10—$195.6M
est $195.3M
+0.2%—

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allied Gold market cap and key statistics

Allied Gold’s market cap is $2.56B and revenue of $1.49B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.56B
Forward P/E
3.7
EPS, TTM
−$1.36
Gekko Fair Value
$21.89

Trading

Volume
157,399
Avg volume, 20 days
404,836
52-week high
$32.20
52-week low
$14.60
Shares outstanding
139.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.49B
Profit margin
-4.2%
Return on equity
-2.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.83
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%

Allied Gold stock news this week

Coverage of Allied Gold this week reads positive: 7 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Allied Gold peers

Allied Gold’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEMNewmont+0.5%Accumulation7.3% above
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines+0.7%Accumulation7.0% below
BBarrick Mining+0.4%Neutral4.8% above
WPMWheaton Precious Metals+0.8%Accumulation5.3% above
FNVFranco-Nevada+1.0%Neutral1.3% above
KGCKinross Gold+0.6%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Allied Gold stock FAQ

What is Allied Gold’s market cap?

Allied Gold’s market cap is $2.56B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.20, with 139.3M shares outstanding.

Is Allied Gold stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allied Gold is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.20 is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Allied Gold report earnings next?

Allied Gold is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $348.0M. Allied Gold beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 5 reports, moving 6.5% on average across the report.

What is Allied Gold’s 52-week high and low?

Allied Gold’s 52-week high is $32.20 and its 52-week low is $14.60; it closed at $20.20 on Oct 12, 2026, +14.1% over the past year.

Is Allied Gold stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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