NYSE: AGI

Alamos Gold (AGI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$32.72−1.78 (−5.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Alamos Gold this week outlined plans to increase annual gold production from more than 500,000 ounces currently to 1 million ounces by 2030, driven primarily by expansions at its Island Gold District in Ontario and the development of the Lynn Lake project in Manitoba. This follows separate coverage of setbacks at Young-Davidson, where seismic events have disrupted operations, pressuring 2026 production and costs, though the company expects stronger performance in the second half.

AGI closed at $32.72, down 5.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $33.76 and its 200-day average of $39.13, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The one-month return stands at -13.6% and the six-month return at -23.1%, while the three-month return is 6.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 15.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.76.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 29 days away, which is outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report on 29 July 2026 showed EPS of $0.59 against an estimate of $0.52, with a -1.4% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal appears, with put premium of $957,283 and no call premium recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.6% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years. The consensus analyst target stands at $46.25.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Alamos Gold price vs fair value

$38.76$32.72Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $32.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $38.76

Alamos Gold quick facts

Market cap
$13.74B
P/E ratio
12.4
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$2.79
Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
52.6%
Dividend yield
0.38%
Beta
1.39
Volume
5.09M avg 3.35M
1-year return
−1.8%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$33.76
200-day average
$39.13
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
418.6M
52-week range
$27.05$55.41

Alamos Gold swing-trade checklist

Alamos Gold scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $32.72 is below the 50-day ($33.76) and 200-day ($39.13) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.9, Accumulation

    Reading 64.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.6% below

    Price is 15.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Alamos Gold stock chart and price history

Alamos Gold closed at $32.72 on Sep 28, 2026, −1.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.05 to $55.41.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Alamos Gold share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep32.72

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.6%
3 months
+6.4%
6 months
−23.1%
1 year
−1.8%
The full AGI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGI in Gekko

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About Alamos Gold

Alamos Gold works as a producer of gold, with operations located in Canada and Mexico. A central part of its business involves exploring for gold deposits, searching out and identifying sites where gold can be found and eventually brought into production. This exploration work sits alongside its producing operations, meaning the company is engaged both in searching for new gold sources and in extracting gold from the deposits it has already developed.

The company's activities are organized around these two countries, Canada and Mexico, where it carries out both the exploration and production sides of its business. Its output is gold, produced from the deposits it locates and develops across its operations in these two markets.

Alamos Gold was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada, which serves as its home base for the operations it runs across Canada and Mexico. The company's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AGI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Precious metals
Website
alamosgold.com

Alamos Gold GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Alamos Gold’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.5 points over five sessions.

010064.9Accumulation

Up 7.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying18+3.6%+0.1%+2.5%+17.3%
Accumulation (current zone)164+1.4%+3.1%+5.6%+11.4%
Neutral424+1.0%+2.0%+3.5%+8.9%
Distribution65−0.6%−0.5%+3.6%+8.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AGI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGI price, zone by zone.Track AGI in Gekko

Is Alamos Gold stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Alamos Gold trades 15.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Alamos Gold shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$38.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

15.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGI in Gekko

Alamos Gold insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Alamos Gold, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AGI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AGI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AGI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGI in Gekko

Buybacks

Alamos Gold has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$48.50M
As a share of market cap
0.35%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 2, $957K in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

Alamos Gold earnings: next date and track record

Alamos Gold reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.1%Nov ’24+2.5%Feb ’25−8.5%Apr ’25−5.4%Jul ’25−1.6%Oct ’25+5.9%Feb ’26−4.2%Apr ’26−1.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
AGI is advancing its Island Gold district with reserves/resources growing from under 2M oz in 2017 to nearly 7M oz net of production. Underground mining rates at Island Gold improved to 1,550 tpd in Q2, targeting 2,000 tpd by year-end. Cost guidance increased by $90/oz due to contractor inflation, higher underground development reliance, and a mid-year $30/oz retention program for Canadian operations. Exploration at Cline Pick returned 178 g/t gold over 3.5m and 68 g/t over 3.1m.
Guidance
Management targets 2,000 tpd underground mining rates at Island Gold by year-end. A truck shop completion by year-end should reduce contractor reliance and associated cost pressure. The retention program will continue accruing costs over the next couple of years.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.59
est $0.52
+13.5%$594.1M
est $593.6M
+0.1%−1.4%
Apr 29, 2026$0.54
est $0.54
0.0%$596.7M
est $612.3M
−2.6%−4.2%
Feb 18, 2026$0.54
est $0.49
+10.2%$575.3M
est $568.0M
+1.3%+5.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.37
est $0.37
0.0%$457.2M
est $640.9M
−28.7%−1.6%
Jul 30, 2025$0.34
est $0.33
+3.0%$438.2M
est $493.6M
−11.2%−5.4%
Apr 30, 2025$0.14
est $0.19
−26.3%$333.0M
est $363.3M
−8.3%−8.5%
Feb 19, 2025$0.25
est $0.24
+4.2%$375.8M
est $388.1M
−3.2%+2.5%
Nov 6, 2024$0.19
est $0.21
−9.5%$360.9M
est $343.9M
+5.0%−2.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Alamos Gold stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Alamos Gold is $46.25, +41.4% from the last close.

$46.25consensus 12-month target, +41.4% from the last close
+5.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Alamos Gold seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Alamos Gold averaged +7.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.7%2021+17.1%2022+12.9%2023+3.2%2024−7.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.7%3 of 5

For scale, AGI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

Alamos Gold market cap and key statistics

Alamos Gold’s market cap is $13.74B, with a P/E ratio of 12.4 and revenue of $2.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.74B
P/E ratio
12.4
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$2.79
Gekko Fair Value
$38.76

Trading

Volume
5.09M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.35M
52-week high
$55.41
52-week low
$27.05
Shares outstanding
418.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
52.6%
Return on equity
27.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+68.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.39
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
Dividend yield
0.38%

Alamos Gold stock news this week

4 headlines about Alamos Gold from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Alamos Gold peers

Alamos Gold’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEMNewmont+0.5%Accumulation18.4% below
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines+0.4%Accumulation7.4% below
BBarrick Mining+0.5%Accumulation7.3% above
WPMWheaton Precious Metals−0.2%Accumulation4.2% above
FNVFranco-Nevada−0.7%Accumulation10.4% above
KGCKinross Gold+1.2%Buying2.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Alamos Gold stock FAQ

What is Alamos Gold’s market cap?

Alamos Gold’s market cap is $13.74B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.72, with 418.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.4.

What is the Alamos Gold stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Alamos Gold is $46.25, +41.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Alamos Gold stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Alamos Gold is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.72 is 15.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Alamos Gold report earnings next?

Alamos Gold is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.47 per share on revenue of $529.0M. Alamos Gold beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Alamos Gold’s 52-week high and low?

Alamos Gold’s 52-week high is $55.41 and its 52-week low is $27.05; it closed at $32.72 on Sep 28, 2026, −1.8% over the past year.

Is Alamos Gold stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Alamos Gold?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Alamos Gold over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $957K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 2, 2026 with $957K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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