NYSE: NEM

Newmont (NEM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$118.11+10.64 (+9.9%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Newmont closed at $118.11 on 4 November 2026, +9.9% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($119.36) and 200-day ($112.38) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $78.60 to $135.29. The GekkoIndex reads 57.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $109.22, so the price is 8.1% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 18 February 2027, 105 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 4.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

12 firms rate the stock: 11 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $135.46. A typical daily move is about 3.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 8%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Newmont price vs fair value

$118.11$109.22Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $118.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $109.22

Newmont quick facts

Market cap
$122.7B
P/E ratio
12.5
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
$8.62
Revenue, TTM
$26.61B
Profit margin
34.7%
Dividend yield
0.95%
Beta
0.57
Volume
10.90M avg 6.21M
1-year return
+44.7%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$119.36
200-day average
$112.38
Next earnings
Feb 18
Shares outstanding
1.04B
52-week range
$78.60$135.29

Newmont swing-trade checklist

Newmont scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $118.11 sits between the 50-day ($119.36) and 200-day ($112.38) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.5, Neutral

    Reading 57.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.1% above

    Price is 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 105 days

    Next report Feb 18, 2027, 105 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Newmont stock chart and price history

Newmont closed at $118.11 on Nov 4, 2026, +44.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $78.60 to $135.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Newmont share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct118.11

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.5%
3 months
+12.0%
6 months
+2.6%
1 year
+44.7%
The full NEM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NEM in Gekko

Follow Newmont through every session

Put NEM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Newmont

Newmont focuses on finding and extracting gold, and it is widely recognized for this core activity. Beyond gold, the company also searches for and mines other metals, both precious and base, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. This mix of activities makes it a presence in the broader metals extraction space, with gold as its most prominent output.

The company's mining and exploration activities span a wide range of countries, including the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. Its land holdings are extensive, and as of the end of 2021 it held proven and probable gold reserves amounting to 92.8 million ounces across a portfolio covering 62,800 square kilometers.

Newmont was established in 1916 and operates out of its headquarters in Denver, Colorado. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker NEM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Precious metals
Website
newmont.com

Newmont GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Newmont’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010057.5Neutral

Down 3.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying390.0%−1.1%−0.4%+9.3%
Accumulation156+1.0%+1.8%+5.4%+14.9%
Neutral (current zone)412+1.5%+2.8%+4.8%+12.5%
Distribution89−0.6%+0.3%+2.0%+5.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average NEM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NEM price, zone by zone.Track NEM in Gekko

Is Newmont stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Newmont trades 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $109.22, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Newmont shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$109.22

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

8.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$109$107Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NEM in Gekko

Newmont insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Newmont, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NEM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NEM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NEM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NEM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEM in Gekko

Buybacks

Newmont has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$1.78B
As a share of market cap
1.45%
Trailing four quarters
$5.67B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NEM.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Newmont earnings: next date and track record

Newmont reports on Feb 18, 2027 (105 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.4%Feb ’25+2.1%Apr ’25+7.0%Jul ’25−4.2%Oct ’25−2.1%Feb ’26+7.9%Apr ’26−2.7%Jul ’26−7.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Newmont produced 1.3M gold ounces, 23K tons copper, and 11M silver ounces in Q3 2026, generating $1.9B free cash flow and record adjusted net income of $2.20/share. The company returned $1.9B to shareholders and repurchased 115M+ shares (~10% of outstanding) since February 2024. Key milestones include Tanami shaft construction completion, Fourmile JV amendment with Nevada Gold Mines, and Lihir shutdown completed on schedule.
Guidance
Full year cost guidance improved; production, capital, and other metrics remain on track. Production growth expected to begin in 2027 as company moves beyond 2026 trough. Closure spending projected $200M lower in 2027 and $400M lower in 2028 versus 2026, with Red Chris block cave full funds decision anticipated early next year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 22, 2026$2.20
est $1.96
+12.2%$6.36B
est $6.27B
+1.5%−7.1%
Jul 23, 2026$2.10
est $2.05
+2.4%$6.12B
est $6.35B
−3.7%−2.7%
Apr 23, 2026$2.90
est $2.20
+31.8%$7.31B
est $6.77B
+8.0%+7.9%
Feb 19, 2026$2.52
est $2.07
+21.7%$6.82B
est $6.23B
+9.5%−2.1%
Oct 23, 2025$1.71
est $1.44
+18.8%$5.38B
est $5.19B
+3.6%−4.2%
Jul 24, 2025$1.43
est $0.97
+47.7%$5.28B
est $4.70B
+12.3%+7.0%
Apr 23, 2025$1.25
est $0.92
+36.5%$5.01B
est $4.70B
+6.5%+2.1%
Feb 20, 2025$1.40
est $1.03
+35.8%$5.72B
est $5.15B
+11.2%−4.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Newmont stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Newmont is $135.46, +14.7% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$135.46consensus 12-month target, +14.7% from the last close
Low $115High $165
Buy11
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Freedom Capital MarketsHold, maintained$115−2.6%
Oct 27ScotiabankBuy, maintained$148+25.3%
Oct 26BarclaysBuy, maintained$123+4.1%
Oct 26RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$155+31.2%
Oct 26UBSBuy, reiterated$150+27.0%
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Newmont seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Newmont averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.3%2021+15.8%2022+5.3%2023−9.2%2024+13.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.5%4 of 5

For scale, NEM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

Newmont market cap and key statistics

Newmont’s market cap is $122.7B, with a P/E ratio of 12.5 and revenue of $26.61B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$122.7B
P/E ratio
12.5
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
$8.62
Gekko Fair Value
$109.22

Trading

Volume
10.90M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.21M
52-week high
$135.29
52-week low
$78.60
Shares outstanding
1.04B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$26.61B
Profit margin
34.7%
Return on equity
27.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+40.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
Dividend yield
0.95%

Newmont peers

Newmont’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines+3.9%Neutral9.2% below
BBarrick Mining+3.2%Neutral7.6% above
WPMWheaton Precious Metals+6.1%Neutral6.6% above
FNVFranco-Nevada+1.8%Neutral1.3% above
KGCKinross Gold+1.7%Accumulation1.6% below
RGLDRoyal Gold+1.3%Neutral4.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Precious metals

Newmont stock FAQ

What is Newmont’s market cap?

Newmont’s market cap is $122.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.11, with 1.04B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.5.

What is the Newmont stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Newmont is $135.46, +14.7% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Newmont stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Newmont is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.11 is 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $109.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Newmont report earnings next?

Newmont is expected to report on Feb 18, 2027 (105 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.10 per share on revenue of $6.42B. Newmont beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Newmont’s 52-week high and low?

Newmont’s 52-week high is $135.29 and its 52-week low is $78.60; it closed at $118.11 on Nov 4, 2026, +44.7% over the past year.

Is Newmont stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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