Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RGLD in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RGLD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGLD in Gekko
NASDAQ: RGLD
Royal Gold (RGLD) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$240.32−12.17 (−4.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week Royal Gold appeared at Mining Forum Americas 2026 and detailed its portfolio shift at a company event, with President and CEO Bill Heissenbuttel outlining the reshaping of the business following the Sandstorm acquisition and a Kansanshi transaction. The company pointed to reduced asset concentration, a longer reserve life and a broader pipeline of development-stage growth assets. Separately, Royal Gold announced participation in the John Tumazos Very Independent Research 2026 Virtual Conference on October 7.
RGLD closed at $240.32, down 4.8% on the day, with the close sitting between its 50-day average of $236.91 and 200-day average of $240.81. The stock's one-month return stands at -10.6%, against a three-month return of 18.9% and a one-year return of 24.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 60.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 3.8 over five days. Price sits 6% above Gekko Fair Value of $226.65.
The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter showed a GAAP EPS of $2.56 against a $2.62 estimate, with a 5.9% reaction. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows a mean 20-day return of 1%, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst coverage from 5 firms shows 3 buy, 1 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $307.33. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Royal Gold price vs fair value
Close $240.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $226.65
Royal Gold quick facts
- Market cap
- $20.40B
- P/E ratio
- 27.9
- Forward P/E
- 24.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.04
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.54B
- Profit margin
- 48%
- Dividend yield
- 0.38%
- Beta
- 0.50
- Volume
- 746,115 avg 657,501
- 1-year return
- +24.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- 50-day average
- $236.91
- 200-day average
- $240.81
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 84.73M
Royal Gold swing-trade checklist
Royal Gold scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $240.32 sits between the 50-day ($236.91) and 200-day ($240.81) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.6, Accumulation
Reading 60.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
6.0% above
Price is 6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Royal Gold stock chart and price history
Royal Gold closed at $240.32 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $168.88 to $306.25.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −10.6%
- 3 months
- +18.9%
- 6 months
- +1.2%
- 1 year
- +24.4%
The full RGLD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RGLD in Gekko
Follow Royal Gold through every session
Put RGLD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track RGLD in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
Royal Gold GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Royal Gold’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.8 points over five sessions.
60.6Accumulation
Up 3.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +0.6% | +3.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 156 | +0.5% | +4.1% | ||
| Neutral | 420 | +0.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Distribution | 64 | +0.8% | +3.2% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RGLD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RGLD price, zone by zone.Track RGLD in Gekko
Is Royal Gold stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Royal Gold trades 6.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $226.65, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Royal Gold shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$226.65
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
6.0% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RGLD in Gekko
Royal Gold insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Royal Gold, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in RGLD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for RGLD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGLD in Gekko
Buybacks
Royal Gold has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $24.43M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.12%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RGLD.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Royal Gold earnings: next date and track record
Royal Gold reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.53
- Revenue estimate
- $439.7M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Royal Gold reported a strong second quarter 2026 with record operating cash flow and substantial year-over-year increases across revenue, operating cash flow and earnings following a year of transformational acquisitions in 2025. Revenue was $451 million (up 115%), operating cash flow reached a record $335 million (up 119%), and GAAP earnings were $236 million (up 79%). The portfolio is more diversified with no single asset larger than 13% of revenue and gold contributing 76% of revenue. Adjusted net income and per-share metrics improved versus the prior year, adjusted EBITDA margin remained high at 83%, dividends increased 6% year-over-year, and the company repaid debt and repurchased shares. Management emphasized portfolio diversification, disciplined capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, debt repayment and new investments), and a busy acquisition pipeline, while being cautious on near-term guidance adjustments due to variability from the Antamina NPI royalty and other metal exposures. Operational comments highlighted solid performance across many assets and ramp-up progress at several operations. Q&A focused on Hod Maden timing and remaining CapEx, buyback criteria, Antamina NPI variability, and the deal pipeline.
- Guidance
- No formal upward or downward change to full-year guidance was issued. Management said gold and silver are tracking well to guidance ranges, copper and other metals are trending toward or above the top end of ranges, but they are uncomfortable changing guidance now due to variability in the Antamina NPI and limited visibility into some assets; G&A is expected to finish near the high end of the previously stated $50 million to $60 million range. Management will update visibility at the Q3 call (early November).
- Risks flagged
- Key risk items called out on the call include variability and limited visibility related to the Antamina NPI royalty (material impact on copper and 'other' metals revenue), potential geopolitical/regulatory developments affecting Entrée shares (Rio/government of Mongolia discussions), timing and remaining CapEx payments and construction timing at Hod Maden (could shift payments across 2027–2028), variability of partner-operated mines (production/delivery timing differences), and general market/valuation risk that could affect buyback decisions.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $2.56 est $2.62 | $450.5M est $458.9M | +5.9% |
| May 6, 2026 | $2.72 est $2.75 | $469.1M est $471.8M | +3.0% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $1.92 est $2.59 | $375.3M est $391.8M | −2.6% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $2.06 est $2.15 | $252.1M est $254.0M | +0.3% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $1.81 est $1.70 | $209.6M est $213.7M | +3.2% |
| May 7, 2025 | $1.51 est $1.43 | $193.4M est $182.2M | −3.1% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $1.63 est $1.48 | $202.6M est $163.0M | +6.0% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $1.47 est $1.32 | $193.8M est $183.9M | −0.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Royal Gold stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Royal Gold is $307.33, +27.9% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$307.33consensus 12-month target, +27.9% from the last close
Now $240.32Avg $307.33
Low $218High $311
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Bank of America Securities | $218 | −9.3% |
| Aug 17 | RBC Capital | $305 | +26.9% |
| Aug 10 | Bank of America Securities | $218 | −9.3% |
| Aug 10 | Bank of America Securities | $218 | −9.3% |
| Aug 7 | UBS | $285 | +18.6% |
+4.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Royal Gold seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Royal Gold averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.0% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, RGLD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.
Royal Gold market cap and key statistics
Royal Gold’s market cap is $20.40B, with a P/E ratio of 27.9 and revenue of $1.54B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $20.40B
- P/E ratio
- 27.9
- Forward P/E
- 24.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.04
- Gekko Fair Value
- $226.65
Trading
- Volume
- 746,115
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 657,501
- 52-week high
- $306.25
- 52-week low
- $168.88
- Shares outstanding
- 84.73M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.54B
- Profit margin
- 48%
- Return on equity
- 13.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +38.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.50
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.38%
Royal Gold stock news this week
4 headlines about Royal Gold from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Presents at Mining Forum Americas 2026 TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Sep 28
- Royal Gold Details Transformational Portfolio Shift, Growth Pipeline at ConferenceMarketBeat, Sep 28
- RGLD 261016 280.00C (RGLD261016C280000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & NewsMoomoo, Sep 27
- Royal Gold Presenting at the John Tumazos Very Independent Research 2026 Virtual ConferenceYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 24
Royal Gold peers
Royal Gold’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NEMNewmont | Accumulation | 18.4% below |
| AEMAgnico Eagle Mines | Accumulation | 7.4% below |
| BBarrick Mining | Accumulation | 7.3% above |
| WPMWheaton Precious Metals | Accumulation | 4.2% above |
| FNVFranco-Nevada | Accumulation | 10.4% above |
| KGCKinross Gold | Buying | 2.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Royal Gold stock FAQ
What is Royal Gold’s market cap?
Royal Gold’s market cap is $20.40B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $240.32, with 84.73M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.9.
What is the Royal Gold stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Royal Gold is $307.33, +27.9% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Royal Gold stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Royal Gold is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $240.32 is 6.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $226.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Royal Gold report earnings next?
Royal Gold is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.53 per share on revenue of $439.7M. Royal Gold beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.
What is Royal Gold’s 52-week high and low?
Royal Gold’s 52-week high is $306.25 and its 52-week low is $168.88; it closed at $240.32 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.4% over the past year.
Is Royal Gold stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Royal Gold the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.