NYSE: CGAU

Centerra Gold (CGAU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$21.76−0.80 (−3.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Centerra Gold trades at $21.76, down 3.5%, with no fresh headlines this week to explain the move. The stock remains well above both its 50-day ($21.07) and 200-day ($18.16) moving averages, with the shorter average above the longer, a configuration generally read as supportive of trend. Over the past month the shares are down 10.3%, though they remain up 34.7% over three months and 119.4% over the past year.

The GekkoIndex reading sits at 59.7, placing CGAU in the Neutral zone, up 7.9 points over the past five sessions. Price sits well above Gekko Fair Value, with a gap of 39.4% versus the $15.61 fair value estimate. The 52-week range spans $9.93 to $24.52, with the stock trading closer to the top of that band.

Centerra's next earnings report is set for 27 October 2026, 28 days out, falling within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 28 July showed EPS of $0.39 against a $0.38 estimate, with a 3.4% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 7.7% from this point in the calendar, positive in 4 of those years. Consensus analyst target sits at $17.50, implying a -19.6% gap to the current price.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Centerra Gold price vs fair value

$21.76$15.61Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $21.76200-day averageGekko Fair Value $15.61

Centerra Gold quick facts

Market cap
$4.26B
P/E ratio
7.2
Forward P/E
12.6
EPS, TTM
$3.13
Revenue, TTM
$1.72B
Profit margin
36.9%
Dividend yield
0.88%
Beta
1.63
Volume
1.15M avg 1.03M
1-year return
+119.4%
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
50-day average
$21.07
200-day average
$18.16
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
195.6M
52-week range
$9.93$24.52

Centerra Gold swing-trade checklist

Centerra Gold scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $21.76 is above the 50-day ($21.07) and 200-day ($18.16) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.7, Neutral

    Reading 59.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    39.4% above

    Price is 39.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Centerra Gold stock chart and price history

Centerra Gold closed at $21.76 on Sep 28, 2026, +119.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.93 to $24.52.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Centerra Gold share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep21.76

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.3%
3 months
+34.7%
6 months
+29.8%
1 year
+119.4%
The full CGAU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CGAU in Gekko

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About Centerra Gold

Centerra Gold operates across the gold mining business, handling everything from acquiring and exploring mineral properties to developing and running mines that produce gold, copper, and molybdenum. The company's work extends across North America and Turkey, along with other international locations. It is particularly associated with two operations: the fully owned Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia, Canada, and the Öksüt Gold Mine situated in Turkey.

Its business centers on extracting these metals from the ground and bringing them to market, with revenue tied to the output of its mining assets rather than any single geographic base.

Centerra Gold traces its founding back to 2002 and runs its operations from headquarters in Toronto, Canada. The company's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CGAU.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Precious metals
Website
centerragold.com

Centerra Gold GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Centerra Gold’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.7, in the Neutral zone, up 7.9 points over five sessions.

010059.7Neutral

Up 7.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying18+2.1%+2.2%+4.1%+8.2%
Accumulation151+1.8%+2.8%+6.1%+12.9%
Neutral (current zone)430+0.9%+2.0%+4.4%+12.7%
Distribution71+2.3%+5.0%+8.7%+19.3%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CGAU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CGAU price, zone by zone.Track CGAU in Gekko

Is Centerra Gold stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Centerra Gold trades 39.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $15.61, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Centerra Gold shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$15.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

39.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CGAU in Gekko

Centerra Gold insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Centerra Gold, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CGAU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CGAU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CGAU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CGAU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CGAU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CGAU in Gekko

Buybacks

Centerra Gold has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$49.69M
As a share of market cap
1.17%
Trailing four quarters
$123.6M

From company filings.

Centerra Gold earnings: next date and track record

Centerra Gold reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.2%Oct ’24−4.2%Feb ’25+12.5%May ’25+3.1%Aug ’25+3.8%Oct ’25+1.7%Feb ’26−3.4%Apr ’26+3.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Centerra Gold reported strong Q2 2026 operational execution with Mount Milligan delivering its third consecutive on-plan quarter and Oksut achieving a 9% gold production guidance increase. Consolidated 2026 gold production guidance raised to 260,000-290,000 oz. The company completed $50M in share buybacks, approved up to $200M for full-year repurchases, and extended its revolving credit facility to $600M. Goldfield project CapEx increased to $60-70M in 2026 to reduce execution risk.
Guidance
2026 gold production guidance raised to 260,000-290,000 oz; copper guidance maintained at 50-60M lbs. Goldfield project total capital unchanged at $252M. Thompson Creek targeting first molybdenum production mid-2027; Kemess PFS expected mid-2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.39
est $0.38
+2.6%$442.7M
est $394.3M
+12.3%+3.4%
Apr 29, 2026$0.39
est $0.43
−9.3%$484.7M
est $369.0M
+31.4%−3.4%
Feb 19, 2026$0.41
est $0.33
+25.6%$401.6M
est $360.5M
+11.4%+1.7%
Oct 28, 2025$0.33
est $0.22
+50.0%$395.2M
est $339.8M
+16.3%+3.8%
Aug 6, 2025$0.26
est $0.16
+66.0%$288.3M
est $302.1M
−4.6%+3.1%
May 6, 2025$0.13
est $0.11
+25.2%$299.5M
est $290.6M
+3.1%+12.5%
Feb 20, 2025$0.17
est $0.20
−15.0%$302.4M
est $316.9M
−4.6%−4.2%
Oct 31, 2024$0.18
est $0.20
−10.0%$323.9M
est $327.0M
−0.9%−10.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Centerra Gold stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Centerra Gold is $17.50, −19.6% from the last close.

$17.50consensus 12-month target, −19.6% from the last close
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Centerra Gold seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Centerra Gold averaged +7.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+19.5%2021+9.7%2022+7.3%20230.0%2024+4.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+6.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.2%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.3%4 of 5

For scale, CGAU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.

Centerra Gold market cap and key statistics

Centerra Gold’s market cap is $4.26B, with a P/E ratio of 7.2 and revenue of $1.72B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.26B
P/E ratio
7.2
Forward P/E
12.6
EPS, TTM
$3.13
Gekko Fair Value
$15.61

Trading

Volume
1.15M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.03M
52-week high
$24.52
52-week low
$9.93
Shares outstanding
195.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.72B
Profit margin
36.9%
Return on equity
32.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.63
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
Dividend yield
0.88%

Centerra Gold peers

Centerra Gold’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEMNewmont+0.5%Accumulation18.4% below
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines+0.4%Accumulation7.4% below
BBarrick Mining+0.5%Accumulation7.3% above
WPMWheaton Precious Metals−0.2%Accumulation4.2% above
FNVFranco-Nevada−0.7%Accumulation10.4% above
KGCKinross Gold+1.2%Buying2.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Centerra Gold stock FAQ

What is Centerra Gold’s market cap?

Centerra Gold’s market cap is $4.26B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.76, with 195.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.2.

What is the Centerra Gold stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Centerra Gold is $17.50, −19.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Centerra Gold stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Centerra Gold is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.76 is 39.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $15.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Centerra Gold report earnings next?

Centerra Gold is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.44 per share on revenue of $436.1M. Centerra Gold beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.

What is Centerra Gold’s 52-week high and low?

Centerra Gold’s 52-week high is $24.52 and its 52-week low is $9.93; it closed at $21.76 on Sep 28, 2026, +119.4% over the past year.

Is Centerra Gold stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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