Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARIS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ARIS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARIS in Gekko
NYSE: ARIS
Aris Mining (ARIS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$16.95−0.38 (−2.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAris Mining moves this week on preliminary production news: nine-month gold output rose 16.4%, reaching 217,300 ounces, keeping the company on track to meet the lower end of its 2026 production guidance of 300,000 to 350,000 ounces. The Marmato CIP plant is advancing toward first gold in Q4 2026, with Segovia and Marmato cited as strong contributors. A separate piece compares ARIS with Century Aluminum (CENX) across institutional ownership, dividends, valuation, risk, profitability and earnings.
Shares close at $16.95, down 2.2%, sitting between the 50-day average of $18.48 and the 200-day average of $17.96, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 62.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 32.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.06.
Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, after close, 23 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July showed EPS of $0.47 against a $0.39 estimate, with a -1.5% reaction, and five beats across six quarters, averaging a 6% absolute move. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The consensus target stands at $37, implying 118.3% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Aris Mining price vs fair value
Close $16.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.06
Aris Mining quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.50B
- P/E ratio
- 12.1
- Forward P/E
- 6.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.39
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.27B
- Profit margin
- 22.4%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.08
- Volume
- 665,697 avg 1.52M
- 1-year return
- +65.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
- 50-day average
- $18.48
- 200-day average
- $17.96
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 206.4M
Aris Mining swing-trade checklist
Aris Mining scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $16.95 sits between the 50-day ($18.48) and 200-day ($17.96) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.2, Accumulation
Reading 62.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
32.4% below
Price is 32.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−1.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Aris Mining stock chart and price history
Aris Mining closed at $16.95 on Oct 12, 2026, +65.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.75 to $23.29.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.3%
- 3 months
- +16.7%
- 6 months
- −18.4%
- 1 year
- +65.4%
The full ARIS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARIS in Gekko
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About Aris Mining
Aris Mining is engaged in the extraction of gold, overseeing a portfolio of active mining sites located in Colombia. Its holdings include the Segovia, Soto Norte, Toroparu, Juby, and Marmato operations, and the company is primarily recognized for this cluster of Colombian gold mines.
The business is structured around running these multiple mine sites as its core operation, drawing revenue from the gold produced across them. The Colombian locations form the backbone of its operational footprint, with each site contributing to the company's overall extraction activities.
Aris Mining traces its founding to 1982 and operates its headquarters out of Vancouver, Canada. Its shares trade publicly and are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ARIS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Precious metals
- Website
- aris-mining.com
Aris Mining GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Aris Mining’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.5 points over five sessions.
62.2Accumulation
Up 0.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 14 | +4.9% | +7.7% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 164 | +1.9% | +7.8% |
| Neutral | 414 | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| Distribution | 78 | +1.4% | +7.9% |
| Selling | 12 | +1.7% | +14.2% |
Average ARIS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARIS price, zone by zone.Track ARIS in Gekko
Is Aris Mining stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Aris Mining trades 32.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.06, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Aris Mining shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$25.06
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
32.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 32.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARIS in Gekko
Aris Mining insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Aris Mining, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARIS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARIS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARIS in Gekko
Buybacks
Aris Mining has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2022
- $43K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ARIS.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Aris Mining earnings: next date and track record
Aris Mining reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 6 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected after the close, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.46
- Revenue estimate
- $297.1M
5 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Aris Mining reported Q2 2026 gold production of 74,000 ounces, adjusted EBITDA of $179 million, and a cash balance of $426 million. First-half gold sales rose 27% year-over-year, driving record revenue and EBITDA. After-tax operating cash flow of $200 million nearly covered $196 million in capex. Segovia's AISC of $1,623/oz remained below guidance, with all-in sustaining margins of $356 million for H1. Marmato construction is progressing toward Q4 first gold.
- Guidance
- Full-year 2026 production guidance of 300,000-350,000 ounces remains intact, with stronger H2 expected from Segovia underground ramp-up and Marmato's new CIP plant commissioning in Q4. Toroparu pre-feasibility study targets H2 completion, supporting a construction decision in early 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.47 est $0.39 | $321.0M est $327.5M | −1.5% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.59 | $364.0M est $371.5M | +9.9% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.21 | $255.3M est $294.7M | +9.9% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.19 est $0.25 | $203.5M est $195.6M | −6.6% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.30 | $157.5M est $159.2M | −1.3% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $0.13 | $151.1M est $115.7M | +11.3% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.34 est $0.30 | $134.7M est $157.8M | −6.6% |
| Aug 13, 2024 | $0.29 est $0.24 | $117.2M est $103.5M | −1.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Aris Mining stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Aris Mining is $37.00, +118.3% from the last close.
$37.00consensus 12-month target, +118.3% from the last close
+7.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Aris Mining seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Aris Mining averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, ARIS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.
Aris Mining market cap and key statistics
Aris Mining’s market cap is $3.50B, with a P/E ratio of 12.1 and revenue of $1.27B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.50B
- P/E ratio
- 12.1
- Forward P/E
- 6.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.39
- Gekko Fair Value
- $25.06
Trading
- Volume
- 665,697
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.52M
- 52-week high
- $23.29
- 52-week low
- $8.75
- Shares outstanding
- 206.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.27B
- Profit margin
- 22.4%
- Return on equity
- 19.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +4,601.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.08
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
Aris Mining stock news this week
4 headlines about Aris Mining from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Preliminary gold output rose 16.4% at Aris Mining (ARIS) as a new plant advances toward first gold.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- Aris Mining reports 16% rise in nine-month gold productionInvesting.com, Oct 7
- Aris Mining Reports Q3 2026 ProductionBusiness Wire, Oct 7
- Contrasting Aris Mining (NYSE:ARIS) & Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX)Defense World, Oct 6
Aris Mining peers
Aris Mining’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NEMNewmont | Accumulation | 7.3% above |
| AEMAgnico Eagle Mines | Accumulation | 7.0% below |
| BBarrick Mining | Neutral | 4.8% above |
| WPMWheaton Precious Metals | Accumulation | 5.3% above |
| FNVFranco-Nevada | Neutral | 1.3% above |
| KGCKinross Gold | Accumulation | 3.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Aris Mining stock FAQ
What is Aris Mining’s market cap?
Aris Mining’s market cap is $3.50B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.95, with 206.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.1.
What is the Aris Mining stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Aris Mining is $37.00, +118.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Aris Mining stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Aris Mining is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.95 is 32.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Aris Mining report earnings next?
Aris Mining is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.46 per share on revenue of $297.1M. Aris Mining beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 6 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.
What is Aris Mining’s 52-week high and low?
Aris Mining’s 52-week high is $23.29 and its 52-week low is $8.75; it closed at $16.95 on Oct 12, 2026, +65.4% over the past year.
Is Aris Mining stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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