Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TFPM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TFPM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFPM in Gekko
NYSE: TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$30.83−1.36 (−4.2%)
Gekko Brief
Triple Flag Precious Metals closed at $30.83 on 28 September 2026, -4.2% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($31.98) and 200-day ($33.28) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $26.61 to $41.70. The GekkoIndex reads 62.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $33.61, so the price is 8.3% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 3 November 2026, 35 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 3.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.5% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
A typical daily move is about 3.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).
Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Triple Flag Precious Metals price vs fair value
Close $30.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $33.61
Triple Flag Precious Metals quick facts
- Market cap
- $6.37B
- P/E ratio
- 16.1
- Forward P/E
- 23.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.00
- Revenue, TTM
- $488.6M
- Profit margin
- 84.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.72%
- Beta
- 0.34
- Volume
- 411,534 avg 405,372
- 1-year return
- +10.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- 50-day average
- $31.98
- 200-day average
- $33.28
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 206.0M
Triple Flag Precious Metals swing-trade checklist
Triple Flag Precious Metals scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $30.83 is below the 50-day ($31.98) and 200-day ($33.28) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.7, Accumulation
Reading 62.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.3% below
Price is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Triple Flag Precious Metals stock chart and price history
Triple Flag Precious Metals closed at $30.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.61 to $41.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −12.0%
- 3 months
- +2.4%
- 6 months
- −5.9%
- 1 year
- +10.2%
The full TFPM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TFPM in Gekko
Follow Triple Flag Precious Metals through every session
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About Triple Flag Precious Metals
Triple Flag Precious Metals acquires and manages streams, royalties, and other mineral interests tied to precious metals production. Its holdings span operations in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States, and the company is known for building its portfolio around these financing arrangements rather than operating mines directly.
Through this portfolio, Triple Flag holds exposure to a range of metals beyond gold and silver, including copper, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. This structure allows the company to gain interests across multiple mining projects and jurisdictions without taking on direct operating responsibilities at the mine sites.
Triple Flag Precious Metals was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TFPM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Precious metals
- Website
- tripleflagpm.com
Triple Flag Precious Metals GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Triple Flag Precious Metals’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 4 points over five sessions.
62.7Accumulation
Up 4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 14 | +5.7% | +6.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 164 | +1.5% | +4.9% | ||
| Neutral | 440 | +0.9% | +2.8% | ||
| Distribution | 53 | −2.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TFPM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TFPM price, zone by zone.Track TFPM in Gekko
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Triple Flag Precious Metals trades 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Triple Flag Precious Metals shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$33.61
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
8.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TFPM in Gekko
Triple Flag Precious Metals insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Triple Flag Precious Metals, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TFPM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TFPM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFPM in Gekko
Buybacks
Triple Flag Precious Metals has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $19.41M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.30%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TFPM.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Triple Flag Precious Metals earnings: next date and track record
Triple Flag Precious Metals reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected after the close, 35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.28
- Revenue estimate
- $111.5M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Triple Flag Precious Metals reported Q2 2026 GEO sales of ~29,000, generating $117M adjusted EBITDA and $0.54 operating cash flow per share, up 42% YoY. Adjusted EPS rose 63% and EBITDA grew 54% YoY. Key developments include a Steppe Gold settlement, a $440M Ravenswood gold stream acquisition, and positive construction decision at Hope Bay. The company raised its dividend 4% to $0.24 annualized and repurchased $20M in shares.
- Guidance
- 2026 GEO guidance raised to 100,000-110,000 ounces; 2030 outlook increased to 150,000-160,000 GEOs. Company maintains $1.1B liquidity and expects to rapidly repay revolving credit facility during 2027 at current metal prices.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.39 est $0.33 | $129.2M est $129.2M | +7.4% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.45 est $0.43 | $147.0M est $147.0M | +4.3% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $0.33 est $0.32 | $118.9M est $118.9M | +3.2% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.24 est $0.22 | $93.46M est $114.9M | −0.7% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.24 est $0.21 | $94.09M est $87.46M | +8.8% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.20 est $0.19 | $82.25M est $73.90M | +1.3% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.18 est $0.16 | $74.21M est $74.10M | −4.6% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.15 est $0.14 | $74.26M est $74.00M | +0.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Triple Flag Precious Metals stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Triple Flag Precious Metals is $39.50, +28.1% from the last close.
$39.50consensus 12-month target, +28.1% from the last close
+4.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Triple Flag Precious Metals seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Triple Flag Precious Metals averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | 0.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.7% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, TFPM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.
Triple Flag Precious Metals market cap and key statistics
Triple Flag Precious Metals’s market cap is $6.37B, with a P/E ratio of 16.1 and revenue of $488.6M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $6.37B
- P/E ratio
- 16.1
- Forward P/E
- 23.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.00
- Gekko Fair Value
- $33.61
Trading
- Volume
- 411,534
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 405,372
- 52-week high
- $41.70
- 52-week low
- $26.61
- Shares outstanding
- 206.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $488.6M
- Profit margin
- 84.3%
- Return on equity
- 20.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +172.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.34
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.72%
Triple Flag Precious Metals stock news this week
3 headlines about Triple Flag Precious Metals from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Stock Down 4.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 82/100GuruFocus, Sep 28
- 54,654 Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. $TFPM Shares Sold by Squarepoint Ops LLCDefense World, Sep 25
- Head-To-Head Comparison: Materion (NYSE:MTRN) & Triple Flag Precious Metals (NYSE:TFPM)Defense World, Sep 21
Triple Flag Precious Metals peers
Triple Flag Precious Metals’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NEMNewmont | Accumulation | 18.4% below |
| AEMAgnico Eagle Mines | Accumulation | 7.4% below |
| BBarrick Mining | Accumulation | 7.3% above |
| WPMWheaton Precious Metals | Accumulation | 4.2% above |
| FNVFranco-Nevada | Accumulation | 10.4% above |
| KGCKinross Gold | Buying | 2.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Triple Flag Precious Metals stock FAQ
What is Triple Flag Precious Metals’s market cap?
Triple Flag Precious Metals’s market cap is $6.37B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.83, with 206.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.1.
What is the Triple Flag Precious Metals stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Triple Flag Precious Metals is $39.50, +28.1% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Triple Flag Precious Metals is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.83 is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Triple Flag Precious Metals report earnings next?
Triple Flag Precious Metals is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.28 per share on revenue of $111.5M. Triple Flag Precious Metals beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.
What is Triple Flag Precious Metals’s 52-week high and low?
Triple Flag Precious Metals’s 52-week high is $41.70 and its 52-week low is $26.61; it closed at $30.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.2% over the past year.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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