NASDAQ: CRML

Critical Metals (CRML) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$6.82−0.04 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Critical Metals this week centers on its Tanbreez rare earth project in Greenland, which received government approval for its mining and closure plans through 2050, covering 19 rare earth and rare-scattered elements including heavy rare earths such as Dy, Tb, and Y, as well as PrNd. Coverage framed this as a regulatory milestone removing a hurdle for the project, though commentary also noted that significant challenges remain before heavy rare earth deliveries to the U.S. can begin, and one piece questioned whether a 3.2x price-to-book is still warranted. Separately, rare earth peers USA Rare Earth and MP Materials fell 5% amid a broader sector slide, with CRML down 3% in sympathy, and short interest was reported rising to 35.74% of the float.

CRML closed at $6.82, down 0.6% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $7.08 and 200-day average of $9.57, with the shorter average below the longer one. The stock is down 14% over three months and 24.3% over six months, though up 6.1% over the past month. The GekkoIndex reads 60, placing CRML in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 21.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $8.64.

No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar, with the last report on 25 September 2026 showing an in-line EPS of -0.07 and a -6.4% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage includes 2 buy and 1 hold ratings among 3 firms, with a consensus target of $13. Given typical 20-day moves of 17.4%, volatility bears watching.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Critical Metals price vs fair value

$8.64$6.82Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $6.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $8.64

Critical Metals quick facts

Market cap
$1.00B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$1.87
Revenue, TTM
$1.89M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.95
Volume
2.65M avg 9.62M
1-year return
−53.6%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±17.4%
50-day average
$7.08
200-day average
$9.57
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
146.9M
52-week range
$5.12$32.15

Critical Metals swing-trade checklist

Critical Metals scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 3 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $6.82 is below the 50-day ($7.08) and 200-day ($9.57) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60, Accumulation

    Reading 60 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.1% below

    Price is 21.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Critical Metals stock chart and price history

Critical Metals closed at $6.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −53.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.12 to $32.15.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Critical Metals share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$10$15$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct6.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.1%
3 months
−14.0%
6 months
−24.3%
1 year
−53.6%
The full CRML chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CRML in Gekko

Follow Critical Metals through every session

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About Critical Metals

Critical Metals is a mining company focused on exploration and development, working to locate and advance deposits of minerals viewed as essential to today's industries. Its attention centers specifically on lithium and rare earth elements, materials that sit at the heart of its exploration efforts. The company's activity falls on the earlier end of the mining process, concerned with identifying promising sites and moving them toward development rather than with finished mined products.

In terms of how it fits together as a business, Critical Metals operates as a subsidiary, forming part of the corporate structure of European Lithium Limited. This parent relationship ties the company's lithium exploration work to a broader group also engaged in lithium mining activity, linking the two entities within the same corporate family.

Critical Metals is based in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CRML.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Precious metals
Website
criticalmetalscorp.com

Critical Metals GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Critical Metals’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010060Accumulation

Up 1.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43−5.1%−5.6%−8.7%−10.6%
Accumulation (current zone)274+5.1%+6.8%+12.3%+25.5%
Neutral308−1.4%+3.1%+8.0%+20.0%
Distribution30+12.8%−2.1%−22.3%−31.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CRML share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CRML price, zone by zone.Track CRML in Gekko

Is Critical Metals stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Critical Metals trades 21.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.64, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Critical Metals shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$8.64

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

21.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 34.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$9$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CRML in Gekko

Critical Metals insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Critical Metals, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CRML in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CRML insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRML in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CRML were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CRML, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRML in Gekko

Buybacks

Critical Metals has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2023
$14.52M
As a share of market cap
1.45%

From company filings.

Critical Metals earnings: next date and track record

Critical Metals beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 4 reports, moving 7.4% on average across the report.

0 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.8%Jun ’24−5.9%Nov ’24−3.7%Mar ’25+1.4%Mar ’25+25.6%Oct ’25−2.0%Mar ’26+6.4%Sep ’26−6.4%Sep ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 25, 2026−$0.07
est −$0.07
0.0%$1.32M
est $4.00M
−67.0%−6.4%
Sep 2, 2026−$0.07
est −$0.07
0.0%$660K
est $6.00M
−89.0%+6.4%
Mar 13, 2026−$0.08
est −$0.06
−41.7%—
est $113K
—−2.0%
Oct 6, 2025−$0.16
est −$0.03
−433.3%$100K—+25.6%
Mar 31, 2025−$0.19—$100K—+1.4%
Mar 19, 2025−$0.08—$180K—−3.7%
Nov 14, 2024−$0.08—$180K—−5.9%
Jun 30, 2024−$0.90—$59K—−7.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Critical Metals stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Critical Metals is $13.00, +90.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$13.00consensus 12-month target, +90.6% from the last close
Low $8High $20
Buy2
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Clear StreetBuy, maintained$20+193.3%
Aug 17Clear StreetBuy, maintained$20+193.3%
Aug 11Freedom Capital MarketsHold, downgraded$8+17.3%
Jul 14Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, initiated$18+163.9%
+12.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Critical Metals market cap and key statistics

Critical Metals’s market cap is $1.00B and revenue of $1.89M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.00B
EPS, TTM
−$1.87
Gekko Fair Value
$8.64

Trading

Volume
2.65M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.62M
52-week high
$32.15
52-week low
$5.12
Shares outstanding
146.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.89M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-99.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.95
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±17.4%

Critical Metals peers

Critical Metals’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEMNewmont+0.5%Accumulation7.3% above
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines+0.7%Accumulation7.0% below
BBarrick Mining+0.4%Neutral4.8% above
WPMWheaton Precious Metals+0.8%Accumulation5.3% above
FNVFranco-Nevada+1.0%Neutral1.3% above
KGCKinross Gold+0.6%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Critical Metals stock FAQ

What is Critical Metals’s market cap?

Critical Metals’s market cap is $1.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.82, with 146.9M shares outstanding.

What is the Critical Metals stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Critical Metals is $13.00, +90.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Critical Metals stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Critical Metals is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.82 is 21.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.64. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Critical Metals’s 52-week high and low?

Critical Metals’s 52-week high is $32.15 and its 52-week low is $5.12; it closed at $6.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −53.6% over the past year.

Is Critical Metals stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 3 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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